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Josiah Peters

Josiah Peters

SG

New York Renegades · Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper

College: Villanova · St. Paul, Minnesota

Skilled lockdown forward

A fringe shooting guard averaging 15.9 PPG, 2.6 RPG, 2.0 APG. Excels in stealing (19 rating, 99th pctl), ball handling (19 rating, 98th pctl) and foul drawing (18 rating, 93rd pctl). Limited by shoot off dribble (3 rating, 21st pctl) and post defense (3 rating, 21st pctl).

32
Impact
51
Future
4.0
CA
3.0
PA
23
Age
$2.5M
Salary
3.170
Bal WV

Skill Badges

(6)
O Ankle Breaker (S) O PnR Maestro (B) O Gravity Generator (B) O Floater Game (B) O Floor General (B) D Interceptor (S)
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
NBA Comparison
Budget Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
2024-25
60%
Style
60%
Level
6'6" · 195lbs
32.7/5.0/6.4 (PPG/RPG/APG)
Volume scorer Efficient scorer Lockdown defender Free throw merchant Inside scorer
Alt comp
Donovan Mitchell
2024-25 · 51%
2050 Projection
Peak Ridge: 14.0
Stage: Developing
Peak Age: 29 (7yr away)
Future Value: 51
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG 15.9 83
RPG 2.6 39
APG 2.0 54
SPG 1.2 72
BPG 0.1 33
MPG 19.5 45
Shooting
FG% 0.522 78
3P% 0.311 33
FT% 0.806 45
TS% 0.601 71
Impact
Impact 32 9
Off Impact 33 8
Def Impact 45 28
Advanced
Player Efficiency Rating 22.2 98
WS 2.6 49
Box Score Impact -1.3 31
Value Over Replacement 0.2 40
Positional BSI -0.49 -0.81

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
Stealing 19 (coef=0.0145)
Ball Dominance 18 (coef=0.0152)
Passing 17 (coef=0.0156)
Spacing 13 (coef=0.0196)
Foul Drawing 18 (coef=0.0102)
Weaknesses
Post Defense 3 (coef=0.0333)
3PT Shooting 12 (coef=0.0196)
Rim Protection 3 (coef=0.0168)
Offensive Rebounding 8 (coef=0.0160)
Inside Shooting 15 (coef=0.0155)

Expected vs Actual Production

Stat Actual Expected Delta
PPG 15.9 9.6 +6.3
RPG 2.6 3.4 -0.8
APG 2.0 3.5 -1.5
SPG 1.2 1.1 +0.1
BPG 0.1 0.2 -0.1
TPG - 1.1
FG% 0.522 0.5 +0.0
3P% 0.311 0.3 +0.0
FT% 0.806 0.5 +0.3

Play Style

Driving Frequency
88:12%

Positional Fit

Guard 80%
Wing 80%
Big 60%

Player Impact Breakdown

Below-average score driven by weak On-Court Impact. Defense is the primary value driver.

32 / 100 #402 of 435
On-Court Impact — 60% weight -0.99z
On-Court Impact -2.40 (Off -2.47, Def +0.04)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight -0.68z
Win Model Score: 3.1546
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.00z
Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
33
#404
Defense
45
#329
Confidence
90%
1226 min
Position Model (PG)
Predicted Positional BSI: -0.49 Actual: -1.3 -0.81
Underperforming PG model predictions

Future Value

Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.

51 / 100 #254 of 450
Cumulative Wins — 50% weight 50
Peak Ceiling — 20% weight 49
Contract Surplus — 30% weight 54
Future Value significantly exceeds current Impact (32) — buy-low candidate with major upside

League Percentile Profile

PPG
79
TS%
72
BPM
29
WS/48
49
RAPM
15
USG%
98
PA/100
22
BCI
65

Shot Quality

PA/100
-6.63
Points Added
-54.5
Selection
0.968
FGA
822
Zone Breakdown
Rim
50.6%
538 FGA (66%)
Short Midrange
31.2%
173 FGA (21%)
Long Midrange
30.4%
46 FGA (6%)
Above Break Three
30.6%
62 FGA (8%)
Other
66.7%
3 FGA (0%)

Creation & Scoring Load

Box Creation
11.53
Load Tier
Good
Eff Delta
+2.2%
USG%
33.9%
Tendencies
Salary
$2.5M
Years Left
1
Expiry
2051
Option
None
Status
-
Trade Value
0.346

Contract Breakdown

Season Salary Notes
2050-51 $4,000,000
2050-51 $2,500,000 Re-signed with New York Renegades
Total Owed $6,500,000

Win Model Development

Win Model Score
3.155
Expected WM
3.293
Dev Residual
-0.1384
Peak Age
33
Peak Win Model
3.579
PA Tier
Medium
Upside Gap
-1.0
Dev Status
Behind Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
M
Martynas Rutkauskas Charlotte Drones 23 3.0 97.1% Secondary Creator / Chaser
T
Toso Benhayoune Salt Lake City Saints 24 4.0 96.7% Primary Ballhandler / Point Of Attack
A
Adrian Schwartz Cleveland Giants 30 4.5 96.2% Secondary Creator / Chaser
O
Orlando Fitzpatrick Chicago Jailbirds 0 4.0 96.0% Secondary Creator / Chaser
C
Chavis Weddle Salt Lake City Saints 26 4.0 95.6% Secondary Creator / Chaser

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive

Win Value Development

Stage
Developing
Peak Age
29
Peak Win Value
14.0
Years to Peak
7
Current Win Value
12.1
Confidence
HIGH

Win Value Trajectory

Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)

Current WV
2.350
Projected Peak WV
2.720
Peak Age
29
Years to Peak
6
WV Growth
+0.370

Rating Trainability

Rating Current Growth/yr Class Peak Age
Foul Drawing 18 +1.23 High Growth 31
Help Defense 12 +0.66 High Growth 27
Off-Ball Defense 18 +0.55 High Growth 28
Ball Dominance 18 +0.55 High Growth 28
Gravity 17 +0.52 High Growth 29
Spacing 13 +0.45 High Growth 18
Post Execution 8 +0.40 High Growth 29
Playmaking 11 +0.40 High Growth 29
Stealing 19 +0.38 High Growth 19
Finishing 13 +0.37 High Growth 27
Defensive Rebounding 14 +0.37 High Growth 18
Offensive Rebounding 8 +0.36 High Growth 18
Strength 15 +0.35 High Growth 18
Pick & Roll Execution 18 +0.34 High Growth 18
Passing 17 +0.33 High Growth 18
Self-Creation 16 +0.32 High Growth 19
Isolation Execution 9 +0.32 High Growth 18
3PT Shooting 12 +0.31 High Growth 19
Ball Handling 19 +0.30 High Growth 19
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 15 +0.30 High Growth 18
Shoot Off Dribble 3 +0.28 Moderate Growth 18
Rim Protection 3 +0.26 Moderate Growth 18
Inside Shooting 15 +0.25 Moderate Growth 18
Post Defense 3 +0.17 Moderate Growth 18
Basketball IQ 17 +0.07 Low Growth 19
Endurance 13 +0.05 Low Growth 20
Speed 17 +0.01 Low Growth 18
Free Throws 15 +0.00 Unknown -
First Step 13 -0.01 Low Growth 18
Mid-Range Shooting 12 -0.03 Low Growth 19
Quickness 14 -0.08 Low Growth 19
Athleticism 11 -0.08 Low Growth 19
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