Kenan Aleksic

Kenan Aleksic

SG

Mexico City Jaguars · Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper

College: Florida · Knic, Serbia

Cerebral 3-and-d wing

A fringe shooting guard averaging 14.0 PPG, 2.7 RPG, 2.6 APG. Excels in mid-range shooting (19 rating, 100th pctl), stealing (19 rating, 99th pctl) and finishing (19 rating, 98th pctl). Limited by defensive rebounding (5 rating, 10th pctl).

39
Impact
62
Future
4.5
CA
3.5
PA
25
Age
$20.0M
Salary
4.001
Bal WV

Skill Badges

(16)
O Floater Game (G) O Catch & Shoot (S) O Slasher (S) O Sniper (S) O Pop Threat (S) O Iso Scorer (S) O Gravity Generator (B) O Speed Demon (B) D Interceptor (S) D Paint Wall (S) D Help Defender (S) D Rim Eraser (B) D Versatile Defender (B) D Pick Dodger (B) D Chasedown Artist (B) D Charge Taker (B)
Trey Murphy III
NBA Comparison
Trey Murphy III
2024-25
74%
Style
74%
Level
6'9" · 206lbs
21.2/5.1/3.5 (PPG/RPG/APG)
3PT specialist Lockdown defender Defensive anchor
Alt comp
Paul George
2023-24 · 73%
2050 Projection
Peak Ridge: 14.9
Stage: Prime
Peak Age: 29 (1yr away)
Future Value: 62
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG 14.0 74
RPG 2.7 40
APG 2.6 62
SPG 1.6 89
BPG 1.5 86
MPG 27.5 65
Shooting
FG% 0.473 56
3P% 0.382 66
FT% 0.872 72
TS% 0.6 71
Impact
Impact 39 16
Off Impact 49 49
Def Impact 30 4
Advanced
Player Efficiency Rating - 12
WS 4.1 68
Box Score Impact 2.6 79
Value Over Replacement 2.5 85
Positional BSI 1.31 +1.29

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
Post Defense 18 (coef=0.0333)
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 16 (coef=0.0330)
3PT Shooting 17 (coef=0.0196)
Spacing 17 (coef=0.0196)
Inside Shooting 19 (coef=0.0155)
Weaknesses
Defensive Rebounding 5 (coef=0.0226)
Offensive Rebounding 5 (coef=0.0160)
Passing 9 (coef=0.0156)
Athleticism 11 (coef=-0.0094)
Ball Handling 9 (coef=-0.0080)

Expected vs Actual Production

Stat Actual Expected Delta
PPG 14.0 14.7 -0.7
RPG 2.7 3.2 -0.5
APG 2.6 1.8 +0.8
SPG 1.6 1.3 +0.3
BPG 1.5 1.3 +0.2
TPG - 1.5
FG% 0.473 0.5 -0.0
3P% 0.382 0.4 +0.0
FT% 0.872 0.5 +0.4

Play Style

Driving Frequency
75:25%

Positional Fit

Guard 80%
Wing 90%
Big 80%

Player Impact Breakdown

Below-average score driven by weak On-Court Impact. Elite ratings haven't translated to on-court impact. Offense is the primary value driver.

39 / 100 #374 of 435
On-Court Impact — 60% weight -1.86z
On-Court Impact -4.55 (Off -1.32, Def -3.23)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight +0.75z
Win Model Score: 3.9849
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.00z
Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
49
#242
Defense
30
#418
Confidence
99%
2155 min
Position Model (SF)
Predicted Positional BSI: 1.31 Actual: 2.6 +1.29
Significantly outperforming SF model predictions

Future Value

Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.

62 / 100 #75 of 450
Cumulative Wins — 50% weight 68
Peak Ceiling — 20% weight 68
Contract Surplus — 30% weight 49
Future Value significantly exceeds current Impact (39) — buy-low candidate with major upside

League Percentile Profile

PPG
67
TS%
71
BPM
77
WS/48
42
RAPM
2
USG%
70
PA/100
77
BCI
43

Shot Quality

PA/100
+5.79
Points Added
+54.2
Selection
0.995
FGA
935
Zone Breakdown
Above Break Three
37.2%
411 FGA (44%)
Short Midrange
47.8%
136 FGA (14%)
Rim
56.8%
294 FGA (31%)
Long Midrange
32.6%
92 FGA (10%)
Other
50.0%
2 FGA (0%)

Creation & Scoring Load

Box Creation
7.44
Load Tier
Good
Eff Delta
+2.3%
USG%
21.8%
Tendencies
Salary
$20.0M
Years Left
3
Expiry
2053
Option
None
Status
-
Trade Value
0.353

Contract Breakdown

Season Salary Notes
2050-51 $20,000,000 Re-signed with Mexico City Jaguars
2051-52 $20,000,000
2052-53 $20,000,000
Total Owed $60,000,000

Win Model Development

Win Model Score
3.985
Expected WM
3.437
Dev Residual
+0.5479
Peak Age
33
Peak Win Model
4.358
PA Tier
Medium
Upside Gap
-1.0
Dev Status
Ahead of Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
K
Kinard Otero Nashville Stars 20 3.5 96.0% Slasher / Wing Stopper
W
Wen Dunmore Cincinnati Kings 0 3.0 95.1% Secondary Creator / Chaser
S
Solomone Bran Oakland Tritons 0 3.0 94.5% Stationary Shooter / Chaser
L
Lenzelle Ndefo Philadelphia Warriors 24 3.5 94.3% Slasher / Wing Stopper
D
Deandre Patterson Detroit Mustangs 21 3.0 94.2% Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive

Win Value Development

Stage
Prime
Peak Age
29
Peak Win Value
14.9
Years to Peak
1
Current Win Value
14.1
Confidence
MEDIUM

Win Value Trajectory

Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)

Current WV
2.889
Projected Peak WV
3.060
Peak Age
29
Years to Peak
4
WV Growth
+0.172

Rating Trainability

Rating Current Growth/yr Class Peak Age
Foul Drawing 16 +1.23 High Growth 31
Help Defense 18 +0.66 High Growth 27
Off-Ball Defense 16 +0.55 High Growth 28
Ball Dominance 12 +0.55 High Growth 28
Gravity 16 +0.52 High Growth 29
Spacing 17 +0.45 High Growth 18
Post Execution 8 +0.40 High Growth 29
Playmaking 11 +0.40 High Growth 29
Stealing 19 +0.38 High Growth 19
Finishing 19 +0.37 High Growth 27
Defensive Rebounding 5 +0.37 High Growth 18
Offensive Rebounding 5 +0.36 High Growth 18
Strength 12 +0.35 High Growth 18
Pick & Roll Execution 14 +0.34 High Growth 18
Passing 9 +0.33 High Growth 18
Self-Creation 19 +0.32 High Growth 19
Isolation Execution 18 +0.32 High Growth 18
3PT Shooting 17 +0.31 High Growth 19
Ball Handling 9 +0.30 High Growth 19
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 16 +0.30 High Growth 18
Shoot Off Dribble 7 +0.28 Moderate Growth 18
Rim Protection 17 +0.26 Moderate Growth 18
Inside Shooting 19 +0.25 Moderate Growth 18
Post Defense 18 +0.17 Moderate Growth 18
Basketball IQ 19 +0.07 Low Growth 19
Endurance 13 +0.05 Low Growth 20
Speed 19 +0.01 Low Growth 18
Free Throws 18 +0.00 Unknown -
First Step 16 -0.01 Low Growth 18
Mid-Range Shooting 19 -0.03 Low Growth 19
Quickness 14 -0.08 Low Growth 19
Athleticism 11 -0.08 Low Growth 19
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