Dashboard›JBL Players›Marcus Hayes
Marcus Hayes

Marcus Hayes

SG

Minneapolis Blizzards · Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper

College: UConn · Hengoed, United Kingdom

Cerebral 3-and-d forward

A star-level two-way shooting guard averaging 9.0 PPG, 2.0 RPG, 2.0 APG. Excels in interior scoring (20 rating, 100th pctl), mid-range shooting (19 rating, 100th pctl) and perimeter defense (20 rating, 100th pctl). Limited by defensive rebounding (8 rating, 24th pctl).

61
Impact
65
Future
5.0
CA
3.0
PA
25
Age
$3.0M
Salary
3.952
Bal WV

Skill Badges

(11)
O Floater Game (S) O Pop Threat (B) O Gravity Generator (B) O Pull-Up Threat (B) O Speed Demon (B) O PnR Maestro (B) D Clamps (S) D Interceptor (B) D Pick Dodger (B) D Help Defender (B) D Versatile Defender (B)
Franz Wagner
NBA Comparison
Discount Franz Wagner
2024-25
85%
Style
85%
Level
6'10" · 220lbs
24.2/5.7/4.7 (PPG/RPG/APG)
3PT specialist
Alt comp
Jalen Williams
2024-25 · 80%
2050 Projection
Peak Ridge: 14.6
Stage: Prime
Peak Age: 29 (1yr away)
Future Value: 65
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG 9.0 53
RPG 2.0 30
APG 2.0 54
SPG 0.8 56
BPG 0.5 56
MPG 15.9 33
Shooting
FG% 0.44 33
3P% 0.35 50
FT% 0.857 67
TS% 0.548 30
Impact
Impact 61 82
Off Impact 60 82
Def Impact 54 70
Advanced
Player Efficiency Rating 15.9 65
WS 2.0 40
Box Score Impact 1.0 61
Value Over Replacement 1.0 63
Positional BSI 1.18 -0.18

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 20 (coef=0.0330)
3PT Shooting 16 (coef=0.0196)
Inside Shooting 20 (coef=0.0155)
Stealing 19 (coef=0.0145)
Ball Dominance 17 (coef=0.0152)
Weaknesses
Defensive Rebounding 8 (coef=0.0226)
Passing 11 (coef=0.0156)
Foul Drawing 13 (coef=0.0102)
Athleticism 11 (coef=-0.0094)
Post Execution 3 (coef=0.0074)

Expected vs Actual Production

Stat Actual Expected Delta
PPG 9.0 8.3 +0.7
RPG 2.0 1.9 +0.1
APG 2.0 0.6 +1.4
SPG 0.8 0.9 -0.1
BPG 0.5 0.7 -0.1
TPG - 0.8
FG% 0.44 0.5 -0.0
3P% 0.35 0.3 +0.0
FT% 0.857 0.5 +0.4

Play Style

Driving Frequency
81:19%

Positional Fit

Guard 80%
Wing 90%
Big 70%

Player Impact Breakdown

Solid starter score driven by strong Win Model Score.

61 / 100 #85 of 435
On-Court Impact — 60% weight +0.53z
On-Court Impact +1.36 (Off +1.36, Def -0.01)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight +1.02z
Win Model Score: 3.9339
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.00z
Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
60
#90
Defense
54
#142
Confidence
92%
1300 min
Position Model (SF)
Predicted Positional BSI: 1.18 Actual: 1.0 -0.18
Performing in line with SF model predictions

Future Value

Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.

65 / 100 #48 of 450
Cumulative Wins — 50% weight 67
Peak Ceiling — 20% weight 67
Contract Surplus — 30% weight 61
Future Value in line with current Impact (61)

League Percentile Profile

PPG
41
TS%
26
BPM
59
WS/48
29
RAPM
80
USG%
85
PA/100
65
BCI
60

Shot Quality

PA/100
+2.47
Points Added
+17.9
Selection
0.982
FGA
727
Zone Breakdown
Short Midrange
33.6%
125 FGA (17%)
Rim
61.5%
195 FGA (27%)
Above Break Three
35.9%
323 FGA (44%)
Long Midrange
36.1%
83 FGA (11%)
Other
0.0%
1 FGA (0%)

Creation & Scoring Load

Box Creation
10.38
Load Tier
Below Average
Eff Delta
-2.9%
USG%
24.9%
Tendencies
Salary
$3.0M
Years Left
1
Expiry
2051
Option
None
Status
-
Trade Value
0.558

Contract Breakdown

Season Salary Notes
2050-51 $3,000,000 Re-signed with Minneapolis Blizzards

Win Model Development

Win Model Score
3.934
Expected WM
3.379
Dev Residual
+0.5549
Peak Age
33
Peak Win Model
4.272
PA Tier
Medium
Upside Gap
-2.0
Dev Status
Ahead of Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
J
Jonas Baumann San Diego Calaveras 20 3.5 97.2% Secondary Creator / Chaser
V
Viktor Morozov Cleveland Giants 0 3.0 97.2% Secondary Creator / Chaser
L
Lenzelle Ndefo Philadelphia Warriors 24 3.5 96.8% Slasher / Wing Stopper
D
Denzel Cruz Dallas Predators 21 4.0 95.7% Slasher / Chaser
A
Aidan Clark Las Vegas Scorpions 29 5.0 95.7% Secondary Creator / Chaser

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive

Win Value Development

Stage
Prime
Peak Age
29
Peak Win Value
14.6
Years to Peak
1
Current Win Value
14.0
Confidence
MEDIUM

Win Value Trajectory

Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)

Current WV
2.864
Projected Peak WV
2.993
Peak Age
29
Years to Peak
4
WV Growth
+0.129

Rating Trainability

Rating Current Growth/yr Class Peak Age
Foul Drawing 13 +1.23 High Growth 31
Help Defense 16 +0.66 High Growth 27
Off-Ball Defense 15 +0.55 High Growth 28
Ball Dominance 17 +0.55 High Growth 28
Gravity 17 +0.52 High Growth 29
Spacing 10 +0.45 High Growth 18
Post Execution 3 +0.40 High Growth 29
Playmaking 10 +0.40 High Growth 29
Stealing 19 +0.38 High Growth 19
Finishing 15 +0.37 High Growth 27
Defensive Rebounding 8 +0.37 High Growth 18
Offensive Rebounding 15 +0.36 High Growth 18
Strength 18 +0.35 High Growth 18
Pick & Roll Execution 17 +0.34 High Growth 18
Passing 11 +0.33 High Growth 18
Self-Creation 14 +0.32 High Growth 19
Isolation Execution 14 +0.32 High Growth 18
3PT Shooting 16 +0.31 High Growth 19
Ball Handling 13 +0.30 High Growth 19
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 20 +0.30 High Growth 18
Shoot Off Dribble 14 +0.28 Moderate Growth 18
Rim Protection 12 +0.26 Moderate Growth 18
Inside Shooting 20 +0.25 Moderate Growth 18
Post Defense 10 +0.17 Moderate Growth 18
Basketball IQ 16 +0.07 Low Growth 19
Endurance 16 +0.05 Low Growth 20
Speed 16 +0.01 Low Growth 18
Free Throws 16 +0.00 Unknown -
First Step 15 -0.01 Low Growth 18
Mid-Range Shooting 19 -0.03 Low Growth 19
Quickness 15 -0.08 Low Growth 19
Athleticism 11 -0.08 Low Growth 19
← Back to Roster