Martins Tharp
CMiami Cyclones · Post Scorer / Anchor Big
Scrappy shot-blocking center
A solid center. Excels in post execution (15 rating, 83rd pctl) and mid-range shooting (15 rating, 72nd pctl). Limited by floor spacing (1 rating, 1st pctl) and ball handling (1 rating, 2nd pctl).
-
Impact
28
Future
2.5
CA
3.5
PA
21
Age
$1.8M
2.748
Bal WV
Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)
Strengths
Post Defense 15 (coef=0.0333)
Defensive Rebounding 15 (coef=0.0226)
Inside Shooting 17 (coef=0.0155)
Rim Protection 15 (coef=0.0168)
Offensive Rebounding 14 (coef=0.0160)
Weaknesses
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 3 (coef=0.0330)
3PT Shooting 5 (coef=0.0196)
Spacing 1 (coef=0.0196)
Passing 8 (coef=0.0156)
Ball Dominance 8 (coef=0.0152)
Play Style
Driving Frequency
93:7%
Positional Fit
Guard
10%
Wing
40%
Big
70%
Future Value
Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.
28
/ 100
#510 of 450
Cumulative Wins — 50% weight
20
Peak Ceiling — 20% weight
20
Contract Surplus — 30% weight
46
Tendencies
Salary
$1.8M
Years Left
2
Expiry
2052
Option
Team Option
Status
-
Trade Value
0.138
Contract Breakdown
| Season | Salary | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| 2050-51 | $1,750,000 | Signed rookie scale deal with Miami Cyclones |
| 2051-52 | $1,750,000 | |
| Total Owed | $3,500,000 |
Win Model Development
Win Model Score
2.736
Expected WM
3.138
Dev Residual
-0.4019
Peak Age
28
Peak Win Model
3.220
PA Tier
Medium
Upside Gap
1.0
Dev Status
Behind Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.
Win Model Trajectory
Most Similar Players
Predicted Archetype
Offensive
Defensive
Win Value Development
Stage
Developing
Peak Age
29
Peak Win Value
11.2
Years to Peak
6
Current Win Value
9.0
Confidence
HIGH
Win Value Trajectory
Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)
Current WV
2.040
Projected Peak WV
2.555
Peak Age
29
Years to Peak
8
WV Growth
+0.516
Rating Trainability
| Rating | Current | Growth/yr | Class | Peak Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Foul Drawing | 9 | +1.23 | High Growth | 31 |
| Help Defense | 13 | +0.66 | High Growth | 27 |
| Off-Ball Defense | 7 | +0.55 | High Growth | 28 |
| Ball Dominance | 8 | +0.55 | High Growth | 28 |
| Gravity | 7 | +0.52 | High Growth | 29 |
| Spacing | 1 | +0.45 | High Growth | 18 |
| Post Execution | 15 | +0.40 | High Growth | 29 |
| Playmaking | 2 | +0.40 | High Growth | 29 |
| Stealing | 6 | +0.38 | High Growth | 19 |
| Finishing | 11 | +0.37 | High Growth | 27 |
| Defensive Rebounding | 15 | +0.37 | High Growth | 18 |
| Offensive Rebounding | 14 | +0.36 | High Growth | 18 |
| Strength | 9 | +0.35 | High Growth | 18 |
| Pick & Roll Execution | 5 | +0.34 | High Growth | 18 |
| Passing | 8 | +0.33 | High Growth | 18 |
| Self-Creation | 14 | +0.32 | High Growth | 19 |
| Isolation Execution | 11 | +0.32 | High Growth | 18 |
| 3PT Shooting | 5 | +0.31 | High Growth | 19 |
| Ball Handling | 1 | +0.30 | High Growth | 19 |
| On-Ball Perimeter Defense | 3 | +0.30 | High Growth | 18 |
| Shoot Off Dribble | 2 | +0.28 | Moderate Growth | 18 |
| Rim Protection | 15 | +0.26 | Moderate Growth | 18 |
| Inside Shooting | 17 | +0.25 | Moderate Growth | 18 |
| Post Defense | 15 | +0.17 | Moderate Growth | 18 |
| Basketball IQ | 11 | +0.07 | Low Growth | 19 |
| Endurance | 13 | +0.05 | Low Growth | 20 |
| Speed | 3 | +0.01 | Low Growth | 18 |
| Free Throws | 14 | +0.00 | Unknown | - |
| First Step | 6 | -0.01 | Low Growth | 18 |
| Mid-Range Shooting | 15 | -0.03 | Low Growth | 19 |
| Quickness | 10 | -0.08 | Low Growth | 19 |
| Athleticism | 5 | -0.08 | Low Growth | 19 |