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Tana Guevara

Tana Guevara

C

Kansas City Knights · Roll-and-Cut Big / Anchor Big

College: Virginia Tech · Roanoke, Virginia

Developmental center

A solid center. Limited by stealing (1 rating, 1st pctl) and three-point shooting (5 rating, 4th pctl).

-
Impact
19
Future
1.0
CA
3.0
PA
21
Age
$1.8M
Salary
2.463
Bal WV
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG - 2
RPG - 2
APG - 3
SPG - 5
BPG - 15
MPG - 2
Shooting
FG% - 2
3P% - 16
FT% - 4
TS% - 2
Impact
Impact -
Off Impact -
Def Impact -
Advanced
Player Efficiency Rating - 12
WS - 9
Box Score Impact - 49
Value Over Replacement - 29
Positional BSI -3.45

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
Post Defense 14 (coef=0.0333)
Defensive Rebounding 15 (coef=0.0226)
Rim Protection 14 (coef=0.0168)
Post Execution 10 (coef=0.0074)
Weaknesses
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 3 (coef=0.0330)
3PT Shooting 5 (coef=0.0196)
Spacing 2 (coef=0.0196)
Passing 8 (coef=0.0156)
Inside Shooting 15 (coef=0.0155)

Play Style

Driving Frequency
88:12%

Positional Fit

Guard 20%
Wing 40%
Big 70%

Future Value

Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.

19 / 100 #523 of 450
Cumulative Wins — 50% weight 11
Peak Ceiling — 20% weight 10
Contract Surplus — 30% weight 38
Tendencies
Salary
$1.8M
Years Left
1
Expiry
2051
Option
Team Option
Status
-
Trade Value
0.161

Contract Breakdown

Season Salary Notes
2050-51 $1,750,000

Win Model Development

Win Model Score
2.452
Expected WM
3.093
Dev Residual
-0.6403
Peak Age
28
Peak Win Model
2.898
PA Tier
Medium
Upside Gap
2.0
Dev Status
Behind Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
C
Chase Camby New York Renegades 20 3.5 99.1% Post Scorer / Anchor Big
O
Oumar John Miami Cyclones 0 2.5 98.6% Roll-and-Cut Big / Anchor Big
M
Martins Tharp Miami Cyclones 0 2.5 98.5% Post Scorer / Anchor Big
K
Kelvin Grady Philadelphia Warriors 30 4.5 98.4% Roll-and-Cut Big / Mobile Big
E
Emeka Nyambi Pittsburgh Vipers 33 3.5 98.2% Post Scorer / Anchor Big

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive

Win Value Development

Stage
Developing
Peak Age
29
Peak Win Value
10.2
Years to Peak
6
Current Win Value
8.0
Confidence
HIGH

Win Value Trajectory

Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)

Current WV
1.962
Projected Peak WV
2.478
Peak Age
29
Years to Peak
8
WV Growth
+0.516

Rating Trainability

Rating Current Growth/yr Class Peak Age
Foul Drawing 11 +1.23 High Growth 31
Help Defense 10 +0.66 High Growth 27
Off-Ball Defense 5 +0.55 High Growth 28
Ball Dominance 8 +0.55 High Growth 28
Gravity 5 +0.52 High Growth 29
Spacing 2 +0.45 High Growth 18
Post Execution 10 +0.40 High Growth 29
Playmaking 2 +0.40 High Growth 29
Stealing 1 +0.38 High Growth 19
Finishing 14 +0.37 High Growth 27
Defensive Rebounding 15 +0.37 High Growth 18
Offensive Rebounding 13 +0.36 High Growth 18
Strength 10 +0.35 High Growth 18
Pick & Roll Execution 6 +0.34 High Growth 18
Passing 8 +0.33 High Growth 18
Self-Creation 9 +0.32 High Growth 19
Isolation Execution 8 +0.32 High Growth 18
3PT Shooting 5 +0.31 High Growth 19
Ball Handling 3 +0.30 High Growth 19
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 3 +0.30 High Growth 18
Shoot Off Dribble 3 +0.28 Moderate Growth 18
Rim Protection 14 +0.26 Moderate Growth 18
Inside Shooting 15 +0.25 Moderate Growth 18
Post Defense 14 +0.17 Moderate Growth 18
Basketball IQ 13 +0.07 Low Growth 19
Endurance 6 +0.05 Low Growth 20
Speed 4 +0.01 Low Growth 18
Free Throws 13 +0.00 Unknown -
First Step 6 -0.01 Low Growth 18
Mid-Range Shooting 4 -0.03 Low Growth 19
Quickness 8 -0.08 Low Growth 19
Athleticism 5 -0.08 Low Growth 19
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