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Nazeer Odiambo

Nazeer Odiambo

SF

Detroit Mustangs · Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper

College: Cincinnati · Cincinnati, Ohio

Multi-faceted 3-and-d guard

A fringe wing averaging 7.3 PPG, 1.6 RPG, 2.7 APG. Excels in foul drawing (18 rating, 93rd pctl), floor spacing (17 rating, 90th pctl) and playmaking (17 rating, 89th pctl). Limited by post defense (1 rating, 5th pctl) and finishing (10 rating, 12th pctl).

41
Impact
44
Future
3.5
CA
4.0
PA
20
Age
$1.8M
Salary
2.968
Bal WV

Skill Badges

(5)
O Pull-Up Threat (B) O Pop Threat (B) O Catch & Shoot (B) O PnR Maestro (B) O Sniper (B)
Malik Monk
NBA Comparison
Malik Monk
2024-25
74%
Style
74%
Level
6'3" · 200lbs
15.0/3.0/4.5 (PPG/RPG/APG)
Efficient scorer Ball handler
Alt comp
Jrue Holiday
2024-25 · 71%
2050 Projection
Peak Ridge: 15.1
Stage: Developing
Peak Age: 29 (10yr away)
Future Value: 44
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG 7.3 41
RPG 1.6 23
APG 2.7 63
SPG 1.0 64
BPG - 15
MPG 18.8 43
Shooting
FG% 0.507 72
3P% 0.409 80
FT% 0.794 40
TS% 0.624 86
Impact
Impact 41 19
Off Impact 55 68
Def Impact 31 5
Advanced
Player Efficiency Rating 14.6 51
WS 3.0 54
Box Score Impact 2.1 74
Value Over Replacement 1.1 65
Positional BSI 0.38 +1.72

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
Spacing 17 (coef=0.0196)
Offensive Rebounding 14 (coef=0.0160)
Shoot Off Dribble 16 (coef=0.0134)
Foul Drawing 18 (coef=0.0102)
Playmaking 17 (coef=0.0101)
Weaknesses
Post Defense 1 (coef=0.0333)
Defensive Rebounding 7 (coef=0.0226)
Rim Protection 3 (coef=0.0168)
Inside Shooting 14 (coef=0.0155)
Ball Dominance 8 (coef=0.0152)

Expected vs Actual Production

Stat Actual Expected Delta
PPG 7.3 8.1 -0.8
RPG 1.6 1.5 +0.1
APG 2.7 3.1 -0.4
SPG 1.0 0.8 +0.2
BPG 0.0 0.1 -0.1
TPG - 0.9
FG% 0.507 0.5 +0.1
3P% 0.409 0.3 +0.1
FT% 0.794 0.5 +0.3

Play Style

Driving Frequency
49:51%

Positional Fit

Guard 80%
Wing 80%
Big 60%

Player Impact Breakdown

Below-average score driven by weak Win Model Score. Offense is the primary value driver.

41 / 100 #363 of 435
On-Court Impact — 60% weight -0.07z
On-Court Impact -0.13 (Off +1.04, Def -1.17)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight -1.38z
Win Model Score: 2.9559
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.00z
Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
55
#151
Defense
31
#416
Confidence
85%
1071 min
Position Model (SG)
Predicted Positional BSI: 0.38 Actual: 2.1 +1.72
Significantly outperforming SG model predictions

Future Value

Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.

44 / 100 #371 of 450
Cumulative Wins — 50% weight 41
Peak Ceiling — 20% weight 41
Contract Surplus — 30% weight 51
Future Value in line with current Impact (41)

League Percentile Profile

PPG
27
TS%
89
BPM
71
WS/48
78
RAPM
8
USG%
23
PA/100
92
BCI
72

Shot Quality

PA/100
+11.84
Points Added
+39.4
Selection
0.978
FGA
333
Zone Breakdown
Short Midrange
40.0%
60 FGA (18%)
Above Break Three
40.4%
136 FGA (41%)
Rim
56.7%
104 FGA (31%)
Long Midrange
51.6%
31 FGA (9%)
Other
50.0%
2 FGA (1%)

Creation & Scoring Load

Box Creation
12.96
Load Tier
Elite
Eff Delta
+4.9%
USG%
15.3%
Tendencies
Salary
$1.8M
Years Left
1
Expiry
2051
Option
None
Status
-
Trade Value
0.397

Contract Breakdown

Season Salary Notes
2050-51 $1,750,000 Detroit Mustangs exercised option

Win Model Development

Win Model Score
2.956
Expected WM
3.446
Dev Residual
-0.4906
Peak Age
26
Peak Win Model
3.297
PA Tier
High
Upside Gap
0.5
Dev Status
Behind Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
J
Jamaine Curry Jr San Diego Calaveras 25 4.5 97.9% Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper
B
Briggs Greenaway Austin Rockets 22 4.5 97.1% Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper
G
Garvin Crouch San Diego Calaveras 21 3.0 97.0% Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper
L
Lyles Heimuli Miami Cyclones 20 3.0 96.7% Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper
K
Kahlil Justice Salt Lake City Saints 21 4.5 96.1% Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive

Win Value Development

Stage
Developing
Peak Age
29
Peak Win Value
15.1
Years to Peak
10
Current Win Value
11.2
Confidence
HIGH

Win Value Trajectory

Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)

Current WV
2.043
Projected Peak WV
2.758
Peak Age
29
Years to Peak
9
WV Growth
+0.715

Rating Trainability

Rating Current Growth/yr Class Peak Age
Foul Drawing 18 +1.23 High Growth 31
Help Defense 10 +0.66 High Growth 27
Off-Ball Defense 17 +0.55 High Growth 28
Ball Dominance 8 +0.55 High Growth 28
Gravity 15 +0.52 High Growth 29
Spacing 17 +0.45 High Growth 18
Post Execution 2 +0.40 High Growth 29
Playmaking 17 +0.40 High Growth 29
Stealing 13 +0.38 High Growth 19
Finishing 10 +0.37 High Growth 27
Defensive Rebounding 7 +0.37 High Growth 18
Offensive Rebounding 14 +0.36 High Growth 18
Strength 12 +0.35 High Growth 18
Pick & Roll Execution 17 +0.34 High Growth 18
Passing 13 +0.33 High Growth 18
Self-Creation 14 +0.32 High Growth 19
Isolation Execution 15 +0.32 High Growth 18
3PT Shooting 14 +0.31 High Growth 19
Ball Handling 13 +0.30 High Growth 19
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 13 +0.30 High Growth 18
Shoot Off Dribble 16 +0.28 Moderate Growth 18
Rim Protection 3 +0.26 Moderate Growth 18
Inside Shooting 14 +0.25 Moderate Growth 18
Post Defense 1 +0.17 Moderate Growth 18
Basketball IQ 10 +0.07 Low Growth 19
Endurance 14 +0.05 Low Growth 20
Speed 16 +0.01 Low Growth 18
Free Throws 16 +0.00 Unknown -
First Step 7 -0.01 Low Growth 18
Mid-Range Shooting 16 -0.03 Low Growth 19
Quickness 14 -0.08 Low Growth 19
Athleticism 11 -0.08 Low Growth 19
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