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Reid Callaway

Reid Callaway

SG

Miami Cyclones · Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper

College: Alabama · Albuquerque, New Mexico

Dazzling 3-and-d wing

A fringe shooting guard averaging 6.5 PPG, 3.0 RPG, 3.3 APG. Excels in self-creation (19 rating, 98th pctl), mid-range shooting (17 rating, 93rd pctl) and speed (17 rating, 93rd pctl). Limited by strength (6 rating, 20th pctl) and foul drawing (11 rating, 24th pctl).

41
Impact
56
Future
4.5
CA
3.0
PA
23
Age
$10.5M
Salary
3.389
Bal WV

Skill Badges

(13)
O Ankle Breaker (S) O Floor General (B) O Floater Game (B) O Gravity Generator (B) O Shot Creator (B) O Speed Demon (B) O Iso Scorer (B) O Slasher (B) O PnR Maestro (B) O Pop Threat (B) O Catch & Shoot (B) D Interceptor (B) D Help Defender (B)
Ayo Dosunmu
NBA Comparison
Ayo Dosunmu
2024-25
76%
Style
76%
Level
6'5" · 200lbs
9.0/3.0/4.0 (PPG/RPG/APG)
Lockdown defender Ball handler
Alt comp
Alex Caruso
2024-25 · 71%
2050 Projection
Peak Ridge: 14.7
Stage: Developing
Peak Age: 29 (3yr away)
Future Value: 56
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG 6.5 36
RPG 3.0 45
APG 3.3 72
SPG 1.3 76
BPG 0.6 58
MPG 22.0 52
Shooting
FG% 0.435 30
3P% 0.311 33
FT% 0.8 43
TS% 0.521 16
Impact
Impact 41 19
Off Impact 49 49
Def Impact 38 12
Advanced
Player Efficiency Rating 12.8 33
WS 2.9 53
Box Score Impact 0.9 60
Value Over Replacement 1.2 66
Positional BSI 0.37 +0.53

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
Spacing 16 (coef=0.0196)
Passing 18 (coef=0.0156)
Inside Shooting 18 (coef=0.0155)
Shoot Off Dribble 13 (coef=0.0134)
Playmaking 16 (coef=0.0101)
Weaknesses
Post Defense 8 (coef=0.0333)
3PT Shooting 13 (coef=0.0196)
Offensive Rebounding 9 (coef=0.0160)
Foul Drawing 11 (coef=0.0102)
Strength 6 (coef=0.0012)

Expected vs Actual Production

Stat Actual Expected Delta
PPG 6.5 10.2 -3.7
RPG 3.0 3.1 -0.1
APG 3.3 3.9 -0.6
SPG 1.3 0.9 +0.4
BPG 0.6 0.6 +0.1
TPG - 1.1
FG% 0.435 0.5 -0.0
3P% 0.311 0.3 +0.0
FT% 0.8 0.5 +0.3

Play Style

Driving Frequency
23:77%

Positional Fit

Guard 80%
Wing 90%
Big 80%

Player Impact Breakdown

Below-average score driven by modest On-Court Impact.

41 / 100 #363 of 435
On-Court Impact — 60% weight -0.74z
On-Court Impact -1.77 (Off -0.73, Def -1.04)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight -0.30z
Win Model Score: 3.3746
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.00z
Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
49
#242
Defense
38
#393
Confidence
97%
1674 min
Position Model (SF)
Predicted Positional BSI: 0.37 Actual: 0.9 +0.53
Outperforming SF model predictions

Future Value

Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.

56 / 100 #152 of 450
Cumulative Wins — 50% weight 56
Peak Ceiling — 20% weight 56
Contract Surplus — 30% weight 57
Future Value significantly exceeds current Impact (41) — buy-low candidate with major upside

League Percentile Profile

PPG
22
TS%
11
BPM
57
WS/48
37
RAPM
18
USG%
15
PA/100
29
BCI
73

Shot Quality

PA/100
-4.90
Points Added
-23.2
Selection
0.988
FGA
474
Zone Breakdown
Rim
54.3%
164 FGA (35%)
Long Midrange
32.8%
58 FGA (12%)
Above Break Three
30.9%
178 FGA (38%)
Short Midrange
43.2%
74 FGA (16%)

Creation & Scoring Load

Box Creation
13.02
Load Tier
Poor
Eff Delta
-5.4%
USG%
14.2%
Tendencies
Salary
$10.5M
Years Left
2
Expiry
2052
Option
None
Status
-
Trade Value
0.384

Contract Breakdown

Season Salary Notes
2050-51 $10,500,000 Re-signed with Miami Cyclones
2051-52 $10,500,000
Total Owed $21,000,000

Win Model Development

Win Model Score
3.375
Expected WM
3.293
Dev Residual
+0.0816
Peak Age
33
Peak Win Model
3.799
PA Tier
Medium
Upside Gap
-1.5
Dev Status
Ahead of Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
V
Viktor Morozov Cleveland Giants 0 3.0 98.1% Secondary Creator / Chaser
J
Jonas Baumann San Diego Calaveras 20 3.5 97.1% Secondary Creator / Chaser
M
Marcus Pendleton Oakland Tritons 21 3.0 96.6% Secondary Creator / Chaser
O
Orlando Fitzpatrick Chicago Jailbirds 0 4.0 96.4% Secondary Creator / Chaser
M
Martynas Rutkauskas Charlotte Drones 23 3.0 96.3% Secondary Creator / Chaser

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive

Win Value Development

Stage
Developing
Peak Age
29
Peak Win Value
14.7
Years to Peak
3
Current Win Value
12.8
Confidence
MEDIUM

Win Value Trajectory

Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)

Current WV
2.533
Projected Peak WV
2.896
Peak Age
29
Years to Peak
6
WV Growth
+0.363

Rating Trainability

Rating Current Growth/yr Class Peak Age
Foul Drawing 11 +1.23 High Growth 31
Help Defense 14 +0.66 High Growth 27
Off-Ball Defense 16 +0.55 High Growth 28
Ball Dominance 11 +0.55 High Growth 28
Gravity 17 +0.52 High Growth 29
Spacing 16 +0.45 High Growth 18
Post Execution 5 +0.40 High Growth 29
Playmaking 16 +0.40 High Growth 29
Stealing 14 +0.38 High Growth 19
Finishing 15 +0.37 High Growth 27
Defensive Rebounding 11 +0.37 High Growth 18
Offensive Rebounding 9 +0.36 High Growth 18
Strength 6 +0.35 High Growth 18
Pick & Roll Execution 15 +0.34 High Growth 18
Passing 18 +0.33 High Growth 18
Self-Creation 19 +0.32 High Growth 19
Isolation Execution 14 +0.32 High Growth 18
3PT Shooting 13 +0.31 High Growth 19
Ball Handling 17 +0.30 High Growth 19
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 13 +0.30 High Growth 18
Shoot Off Dribble 13 +0.28 Moderate Growth 18
Rim Protection 9 +0.26 Moderate Growth 18
Inside Shooting 18 +0.25 Moderate Growth 18
Post Defense 8 +0.17 Moderate Growth 18
Basketball IQ 16 +0.07 Low Growth 19
Endurance 9 +0.05 Low Growth 20
Speed 17 +0.01 Low Growth 18
Free Throws 16 +0.00 Unknown -
First Step 14 -0.01 Low Growth 18
Mid-Range Shooting 17 -0.03 Low Growth 19
Quickness 16 -0.08 Low Growth 19
Athleticism 13 -0.08 Low Growth 19
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