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Semisi Rautins

Semisi Rautins

SF

Atlanta Devils · Versatile Big / Mobile Big

College: Michigan State · Minneapolis, Minnesota

Rangy high-energy forward

A fringe defensive wing averaging 18.3 PPG, 8.8 RPG, 3.2 APG. Excels in strength (18 rating, 94th pctl), 8.8 RPG (92nd pctl) and 18.3 PPG (91st pctl). Limited by mid-range shooting (3 rating, 4th pctl) and free throws (10 rating, 12th pctl).

40
Impact
62
Future
5.0
CA
4.5
PA
20
Age
$5.5M
Salary
3.897
Bal WV

Skill Badges

(7)
O Glass Cleaner (B) O Posterizer (B) O Floor General (B) D Paint Wall (B) D Clamps (B) D Rim Eraser (B) D Versatile Defender (B)
Alperen Sengun
NBA Comparison
Alperen Sengun
2024-25
72%
Style
72%
Level
6'9" · 243lbs
19.0/10.0/5.0 (PPG/RPG/APG)
Defensive anchor
Alt comp
Paolo Banchero
2024-25 · 71%
2050 Projection
Peak Ridge: 17.0
Stage: Developing
Peak Age: 29 (9yr away)
Future Value: 62
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG 18.3 91
RPG 8.8 92
APG 3.2 71
SPG 1.0 64
BPG 1.7 91
MPG 32.2 88
Shooting
FG% 0.47 54
3P% 0.316 34
FT% 0.655 11
TS% 0.543 26
Impact
Impact 40 17
Off Impact 29 5
Def Impact 63 86
Advanced
Player Efficiency Rating 17.1 78
WS 2.5 46
Box Score Impact -3.3 14
Value Over Replacement -0.8 6
Positional BSI 0.70 -4.00

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
Post Defense 17 (coef=0.0333)
Defensive Rebounding 15 (coef=0.0226)
Offensive Rebounding 17 (coef=0.0160)
Rim Protection 16 (coef=0.0168)
Passing 15 (coef=0.0156)
Weaknesses
3PT Shooting 13 (coef=0.0196)
Inside Shooting 14 (coef=0.0155)
Ball Dominance 10 (coef=0.0152)
Shoot Off Dribble 4 (coef=0.0134)
Basketball IQ 13 (coef=0.0078)

Expected vs Actual Production

Stat Actual Expected Delta
PPG 18.3 16.8 +1.5
RPG 8.8 7.9 +0.9
APG 3.2 3.2 +0.0
SPG 1.0 1.1 -0.1
BPG 1.7 1.6 +0.1
TPG - 1.6
FG% 0.47 0.5 +0.0
3P% 0.316 0.3 -0.0
FT% 0.655 0.5 +0.2

Play Style

Driving Frequency
31:69%

Positional Fit

Guard 70%
Wing 80%
Big 90%

Player Impact Breakdown

Below-average score driven by weak On-Court Impact. Defense is the primary value driver.

40 / 100 #367 of 435
On-Court Impact — 60% weight -0.84z
On-Court Impact -2.04 (Off -2.45, Def +0.31)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight +0.37z
Win Model Score: 3.8855
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.00z
Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
29
#416
Defense
63
#71
Confidence
100%
2642 min
Position Model (PF)
Predicted Positional BSI: 0.70 Actual: -3.3 -4.00
Significantly underperforming PF model predictions

Future Value

Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.

62 / 100 #69 of 450
Cumulative Wins — 50% weight 65
Peak Ceiling — 20% weight 64
Contract Surplus — 30% weight 57
Future Value significantly exceeds current Impact (40) — buy-low candidate with major upside

League Percentile Profile

PPG
89
TS%
21
BPM
12
WS/48
13
RAPM
22
USG%
88
PA/100
14
BCI
51

Shot Quality

PA/100
-9.60
Points Added
-131.5
Selection
1.016
FGA
1370
Zone Breakdown
Above Break Three
31.8%
359 FGA (26%)
Rim
51.9%
634 FGA (46%)
Short Midrange
31.4%
296 FGA (22%)
Long Midrange
45.1%
71 FGA (5%)
Other
60.0%
10 FGA (1%)

Creation & Scoring Load

Box Creation
9.26
Load Tier
Poor
Eff Delta
-3.4%
USG%
25.7%
Tendencies
Salary
$5.5M
Years Left
1
Expiry
2051
Option
Team Option
Status
-
Trade Value
0.465

Contract Breakdown

Season Salary Notes
2050-51 $5,500,000

Win Model Development

Win Model Score
3.885
Expected WM
3.500
Dev Residual
+0.3856
Peak Age
26
Peak Win Model
4.268
PA Tier
High
Upside Gap
-0.5
Dev Status
Ahead of Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
D
Derrick Lynch Seattle Thunder 26 5.0 97.4% Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper
J
Jameel Bucklin New York Renegades 23 3.0 96.7% Glue Guy / Wing Stopper
R
Rubin Wingfield II Toronto Huskies 0 3.0 96.3% Glue Guy / Wing Stopper
D
Damone Tongamoa Boston Crusaders 22 3.5 95.2% Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper
L
Lukáš Vintr Atlanta Devils 30 4.5 94.9% Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive

Win Value Development

Stage
Developing
Peak Age
29
Peak Win Value
17.0
Years to Peak
9
Current Win Value
13.7
Confidence
HIGH

Win Value Trajectory

Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)

Current WV
3.012
Projected Peak WV
3.743
Peak Age
29
Years to Peak
9
WV Growth
+0.731

Rating Trainability

Rating Current Growth/yr Class Peak Age
Foul Drawing 17 +1.23 High Growth 31
Help Defense 15 +0.66 High Growth 27
Off-Ball Defense 12 +0.55 High Growth 28
Ball Dominance 10 +0.55 High Growth 28
Gravity 14 +0.52 High Growth 29
Spacing 11 +0.45 High Growth 18
Post Execution 10 +0.40 High Growth 29
Playmaking 17 +0.40 High Growth 29
Stealing 13 +0.38 High Growth 19
Finishing 17 +0.37 High Growth 27
Defensive Rebounding 15 +0.37 High Growth 18
Offensive Rebounding 17 +0.36 High Growth 18
Strength 18 +0.35 High Growth 18
Pick & Roll Execution 9 +0.34 High Growth 18
Passing 15 +0.33 High Growth 18
Self-Creation 8 +0.32 High Growth 19
Isolation Execution 15 +0.32 High Growth 18
3PT Shooting 13 +0.31 High Growth 19
Ball Handling 15 +0.30 High Growth 19
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 15 +0.30 High Growth 18
Shoot Off Dribble 4 +0.28 Moderate Growth 18
Rim Protection 16 +0.26 Moderate Growth 18
Inside Shooting 14 +0.25 Moderate Growth 18
Post Defense 17 +0.17 Moderate Growth 18
Basketball IQ 13 +0.07 Low Growth 19
Endurance 15 +0.05 Low Growth 20
Speed 10 +0.01 Low Growth 18
Free Throws 10 +0.00 Unknown -
First Step 14 -0.01 Low Growth 18
Mid-Range Shooting 3 -0.03 Low Growth 19
Quickness 14 -0.08 Low Growth 19
Athleticism 14 -0.08 Low Growth 19
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