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Tenzin Ozer

Tenzin Ozer

SG

Oklahoma City Barons · Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper

College: Stanford · Seattle, Washington

Polished two-way shooting guard

A star-level shooting guard averaging 6.1 PPG, 2.4 RPG, 3.4 APG. Excels in isolation scoring (19 rating, 99th pctl), free throws (19 rating, 99th pctl) and ball dominance (19 rating, 99th pctl). Limited by post defense (2 rating, 15th pctl) and basketball IQ (11 rating, 19th pctl).

61
Impact
66
Future
4.0
CA
2.5
PA
31
Age
$6.0M
Salary
3.692
Bal WV

Skill Badges

(12)
O Lob Threat (S) O Pull-Up Threat (S) O Iso Scorer (S) O Slasher (B) O Gravity Generator (B) O Floater Game (B) O Floor General (B) O Pop Threat (B) O Sniper (B) O PnR Maestro (B) O Posterizer (B) D Interceptor (B)
Immanuel Quickley
NBA Comparison
Budget Immanuel Quickley
2024-25
68%
Style
68%
Level
6'3" · 190lbs
15.5/4.5/6.5 (PPG/RPG/APG)
3PT specialist Ball handler
Alt comp
Jrue Holiday
2024-25 · 62%
2050 Projection
Peak Ridge: 13.6
Stage: Prime
Peak Age: 31 (past peak)
Future Value: 66
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG 6.1 33
RPG 2.4 36
APG 3.4 74
SPG 0.8 56
BPG - 15
MPG 15.3 31
Shooting
FG% 0.437 31
3P% 0.409 80
FT% 0.884 81
TS% 0.578 50
Impact
Impact 61 82
Off Impact 70 96
Def Impact 43 22
Advanced
Player Efficiency Rating 17.5 81
WS 4.6 73
Box Score Impact 4.1 91
Value Over Replacement 1.9 76
Positional BSI 1.56 +2.54

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 17 (coef=0.0330)
3PT Shooting 17 (coef=0.0196)
Passing 19 (coef=0.0156)
Inside Shooting 19 (coef=0.0155)
Ball Dominance 19 (coef=0.0152)
Weaknesses
Post Defense 2 (coef=0.0333)
Rim Protection 3 (coef=0.0168)
Foul Drawing 11 (coef=0.0102)
Basketball IQ 11 (coef=0.0078)
Help Defense 10 (coef=0.0040)

Expected vs Actual Production

Stat Actual Expected Delta
PPG 6.1 7.6 -1.5
RPG 2.4 2.3 +0.1
APG 3.4 3.0 +0.4
SPG 0.8 0.8 -0.0
BPG 0.0 -0.0 +0.0
TPG - 0.9
FG% 0.437 0.5 -0.0
3P% 0.409 0.4 +0.1
FT% 0.884 0.5 +0.4

Play Style

Driving Frequency
44:56%

Positional Fit

Guard 90%
Wing 90%
Big 70%

Player Impact Breakdown

Solid starter score driven by solid On-Court Impact. Offense is the primary value driver.

61 / 100 #85 of 435
On-Court Impact — 60% weight +0.71z
On-Court Impact +1.79 (Off +2.39, Def -0.60)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight +0.81z
Win Model Score: 3.6738
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.00z
Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
70
#21
Defense
43
#352
Confidence
90%
1253 min
Position Model (SG)
Predicted Positional BSI: 1.56 Actual: 4.1 +2.54
Significantly outperforming SG model predictions

Future Value

Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.

66 / 100 #41 of 450
Cumulative Wins — 50% weight 63
Peak Ceiling — 20% weight 63
Contract Surplus — 30% weight 73
Future Value above current Impact (61) — trajectory is positive

League Percentile Profile

PPG
19
TS%
47
BPM
90
WS/48
94
RAPM
70
USG%
31
PA/100
72

Shot Quality

PA/100
+4.20
Points Added
+20.0
Selection
1.008
FGA
477
Zone Breakdown
Above Break Three
42.4%
243 FGA (51%)
Rim
45.3%
137 FGA (29%)
Short Midrange
33.3%
66 FGA (14%)
Long Midrange
38.7%
31 FGA (6%)
Tendencies
Salary
$6.0M
Years Left
2
Expiry
2052
Option
None
Status
-
Trade Value
0.521

Contract Breakdown

Season Salary Notes
2050-51 $6,000,000 Signed contract via Free Agency with Oklahoma City Barons
2051-52 $6,000,000
Total Owed $12,000,000

Win Model Development

Win Model Score
3.674
Expected WM
3.550
Dev Residual
+0.1242
Peak Age
33
Peak Win Model
3.749
PA Tier
Low
Upside Gap
-1.5
Dev Status
Ahead of Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
D
Dimitris Karras Charlotte Drones 20 4.0 98.0% Glue Guy / Chaser
I
Isaiah Harris Kansas City Knights 23 3.5 97.7% Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper
C
Chavis Weddle Salt Lake City Saints 26 4.0 97.5% Secondary Creator / Chaser
D
Denzel Cruz Dallas Predators 21 4.0 96.6% Slasher / Chaser
N
Nico Gillespie Mexico City Jaguars 30 4.0 96.1% Shot Creator / Point Of Attack

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive

Win Value Development

Stage
Prime
Peak Age
31
Peak Win Value
13.6
Years to Peak
-1
Current Win Value
13.6
Confidence
MEDIUM

Win Value Trajectory

Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)

Current WV
2.674
Projected Peak WV
2.674
Peak Age
31
Years to Peak
0
WV Growth
+0.000

Rating Trainability

Rating Current Growth/yr Class Peak Age
Foul Drawing 11 +1.23 High Growth 31
Help Defense 10 +0.66 High Growth 27
Off-Ball Defense 18 +0.55 High Growth 28
Ball Dominance 19 +0.55 High Growth 28
Gravity 17 +0.52 High Growth 29
Spacing 10 +0.45 High Growth 18
Post Execution 6 +0.40 High Growth 29
Playmaking 16 +0.40 High Growth 29
Stealing 17 +0.38 High Growth 19
Finishing 19 +0.37 High Growth 27
Defensive Rebounding 14 +0.37 High Growth 18
Offensive Rebounding 17 +0.36 High Growth 18
Strength 8 +0.35 High Growth 18
Pick & Roll Execution 17 +0.34 High Growth 18
Passing 19 +0.33 High Growth 18
Self-Creation 14 +0.32 High Growth 19
Isolation Execution 19 +0.32 High Growth 18
3PT Shooting 17 +0.31 High Growth 19
Ball Handling 15 +0.30 High Growth 19
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 17 +0.30 High Growth 18
Shoot Off Dribble 18 +0.28 Moderate Growth 18
Rim Protection 3 +0.26 Moderate Growth 18
Inside Shooting 19 +0.25 Moderate Growth 18
Post Defense 2 +0.17 Moderate Growth 18
Basketball IQ 11 +0.07 Low Growth 19
Endurance 10 +0.05 Low Growth 20
Speed 16 +0.01 Low Growth 18
Free Throws 19 +0.00 Unknown -
First Step 17 -0.01 Low Growth 18
Mid-Range Shooting 16 -0.03 Low Growth 19
Quickness 11 -0.08 Low Growth 19
Athleticism 16 -0.08 Low Growth 19
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