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Thaddus Carollo

Thaddus Carollo

SG

Minneapolis Blizzards · Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper

College: UCLA · San Marcos, California

Skilled 3-and-d wing

A rotation shooting guard averaging 2.9 PPG, 1.1 RPG, 1.0 APG. Excels in perimeter defense (19 rating, 99th pctl), gravity (19 rating, 99th pctl) and ball handling (19 rating, 98th pctl). Limited by strength (4 rating, 11th pctl) and foul drawing (9 rating, 12th pctl).

45
Impact
56
Future
4.0
CA
3.0
PA
23
Age
$1.8M
Salary
3.347
Bal WV

Skill Badges

(10)
O Gravity Generator (S) O Ankle Breaker (S) O Iso Scorer (B) O Floater Game (B) O Sniper (B) O Shot Creator (B) O Floor General (B) O Catch & Shoot (B) O Slasher (B) D Pick Dodger (B)
NBA Comparison
Poor Man's James Harden
2024-25
76%
Style
76%
Level
6'5" · 220lbs
22.8/5.8/8.7 (PPG/RPG/APG)
Ball handler
Alt comp
LeBron James
2024-25 · 72%
2050 Projection
Peak Ridge: 14.4
Stage: Developing
Peak Age: 29 (7yr away)
Future Value: 56
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG 2.9 14
RPG 1.1 14
APG 1.0 30
SPG 0.3 26
BPG 0.1 33
MPG 5.5 9
Shooting
FG% 0.378 8
3P% 0.467 95
FT% 0.833 57
TS% 0.505 10
Impact
Impact 45 33
Off Impact 45 34
Def Impact 50 54
Advanced
Player Efficiency Rating 16.0 65
WS 0.1 12
Box Score Impact 0.3 54
Value Over Replacement - 29
Positional BSI 0.93 -0.63

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 19 (coef=0.0330)
Defensive Rebounding 15 (coef=0.0226)
3PT Shooting 17 (coef=0.0196)
Spacing 15 (coef=0.0196)
Passing 18 (coef=0.0156)
Weaknesses
Post Defense 5 (coef=0.0333)
Rim Protection 3 (coef=0.0168)
Offensive Rebounding 5 (coef=0.0160)
Ball Dominance 9 (coef=0.0152)
Stealing 6 (coef=0.0145)

Expected vs Actual Production

Stat Actual Expected Delta
PPG 2.9 0.2 +2.7
RPG 1.1 0.2 +0.9
APG 1.0 1.3 -0.3
SPG 0.3 0.1 +0.2
BPG 0.1 -0.2 +0.3
TPG - 0.1
FG% 0.378 0.4 -0.1
3P% 0.467 0.3 +0.1
FT% 0.833 0.5 +0.4

Play Style

Driving Frequency
54:46%

Positional Fit

Guard 80%
Wing 80%
Big 70%

Player Impact Breakdown

Limited to 77 min — score regressed toward league average.

45 / 100 #312 of 435
On-Court Impact — 60% weight -0.16z
On-Court Impact -0.36 (Off -1.27, Def +0.92)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight -0.35z
Win Model Score: 3.3330
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.00z
Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
45
#306
Defense
50
#223
Confidence
22%
77 min
Position Model (SG)
Predicted Positional BSI: 0.93 Actual: 0.3 -0.63
Underperforming SG model predictions

Future Value

Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.

56 / 100 #153 of 450
Cumulative Wins — 50% weight 55
Peak Ceiling — 20% weight 55
Contract Surplus — 30% weight 57
Future Value above current Impact (45) — trajectory is positive

Shot Quality

PA/100
+6.34
Points Added
+2.5
Selection
0.987
FGA
40
Zone Breakdown
Long Midrange
28.6%
7 FGA (18%)
Above Break Three
50.0%
16 FGA (40%)
Rim
55.6%
9 FGA (22%)
Short Midrange
14.3%
7 FGA (18%)
Other
100.0%
1 FGA (2%)
Tendencies
Salary
$1.8M
Years Left
1
Expiry
2051
Option
None
Status
-
Trade Value
0.429

Contract Breakdown

Season Salary Notes
2050-51 $1,750,000 Signed contract via Free Agency with Minneapolis Blizzards

Win Model Development

Win Model Score
3.333
Expected WM
3.293
Dev Residual
+0.0400
Peak Age
33
Peak Win Model
3.757
PA Tier
Medium
Upside Gap
-1.0
Dev Status
Ahead of Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
J
Jaleel Usher Oklahoma City Barons 32 4.0 98.2% Secondary Creator / Chaser
M
Martynas Rutkauskas Charlotte Drones 23 3.0 97.2% Secondary Creator / Chaser
O
Orlando Fitzpatrick Chicago Jailbirds 0 4.0 96.9% Secondary Creator / Chaser
D
Decensae Nyeko Portland Lumberjacks 0 2.5 96.9% Glue Guy / Mobile Big
T
Toso Benhayoune Salt Lake City Saints 24 4.0 96.4% Primary Ballhandler / Point Of Attack

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive

Win Value Development

Stage
Developing
Peak Age
29
Peak Win Value
14.4
Years to Peak
7
Current Win Value
12.7
Confidence
HIGH

Win Value Trajectory

Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)

Current WV
2.585
Projected Peak WV
2.919
Peak Age
29
Years to Peak
6
WV Growth
+0.334

Rating Trainability

Rating Current Growth/yr Class Peak Age
Foul Drawing 9 +1.23 High Growth 31
Help Defense 10 +0.66 High Growth 27
Off-Ball Defense 14 +0.55 High Growth 28
Ball Dominance 9 +0.55 High Growth 28
Gravity 19 +0.52 High Growth 29
Spacing 15 +0.45 High Growth 18
Post Execution 5 +0.40 High Growth 29
Playmaking 14 +0.40 High Growth 29
Stealing 6 +0.38 High Growth 19
Finishing 16 +0.37 High Growth 27
Defensive Rebounding 15 +0.37 High Growth 18
Offensive Rebounding 5 +0.36 High Growth 18
Strength 4 +0.35 High Growth 18
Pick & Roll Execution 8 +0.34 High Growth 18
Passing 18 +0.33 High Growth 18
Self-Creation 17 +0.32 High Growth 19
Isolation Execution 17 +0.32 High Growth 18
3PT Shooting 17 +0.31 High Growth 19
Ball Handling 19 +0.30 High Growth 19
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 19 +0.30 High Growth 18
Shoot Off Dribble 16 +0.28 Moderate Growth 18
Rim Protection 3 +0.26 Moderate Growth 18
Inside Shooting 18 +0.25 Moderate Growth 18
Post Defense 5 +0.17 Moderate Growth 18
Basketball IQ 16 +0.07 Low Growth 19
Endurance 14 +0.05 Low Growth 20
Speed 15 +0.01 Low Growth 18
Free Throws 17 +0.00 Unknown -
First Step 13 -0.01 Low Growth 18
Mid-Range Shooting 16 -0.03 Low Growth 19
Quickness 16 -0.08 Low Growth 19
Athleticism 13 -0.08 Low Growth 19
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