Willie Bennett

Las Vegas Scorpions · Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper

College: Louisville · Louisville, Kentucky

Heady 3-and-d forward

A star-level two-way shooting guard averaging 12.3 PPG, 2.8 RPG, 2.0 APG. Excels in free throws (20 rating, 100th pctl), help defense (19 rating, 99th pctl) and isolation scoring (19 rating, 99th pctl). Limited by foul drawing (11 rating, 24th pctl).

Impact

Future

4.5

3.0

Age

$12.0M

Salary

4.027

Bal WV

Skill Badges

(13)

O Sniper (S) O Iso Scorer (S) O Catch & Shoot (S) O Gravity Generator (B) O Floater Game (B) O Shot Creator (B) O Slasher (B) O Pop Threat (B) D Interceptor (S) D Help Defender (S) D Pick Dodger (S) D Clamps (B) D Versatile Defender (B)

NBA Comparison

Paul George

2023-24

85%

Style

85%

Level

6'8" · 220lbs

22.6/5.2/3.5 (PPG/RPG/APG)

3PT specialist Lockdown defender

Alt comp

Franz Wagner

2024-25 · 73%

2050 Projection

Peak Ridge: 14.4

Stage: Declining

Peak Age: 30 (past peak)

Future Value: 68

Stat	Value	Pctl
Per Game
PPG	12.3	68
RPG	2.8	43
APG	2.0	54
SPG	1.6	89
BPG	0.3	48
MPG	23.0	54
Shooting
FG%	0.449	39
3P%	0.409	80
FT%	0.904	88
TS%	0.582	54
Impact
Impact	62	85
Off Impact	61	85
Def Impact	53	67
Advanced
Player Efficiency Rating	15.6	62
WS	3.7	62
Box Score Impact	2.0	72
Value Over Replacement	1.9	76
Positional BSI	1.03	+0.97

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths

On-Ball Perimeter Defense 19 (coef=0.0330)

Post Defense 15 (coef=0.0333)

3PT Shooting 19 (coef=0.0196)

Spacing 16 (coef=0.0196)

Inside Shooting 18 (coef=0.0155)

Weaknesses

Defensive Rebounding 9 (coef=0.0226)

Rim Protection 5 (coef=0.0168)

Foul Drawing 11 (coef=0.0102)

Playmaking 8 (coef=0.0101)

Ball Handling 8 (coef=-0.0080)

Expected vs Actual Production

Stat	Actual	Expected	Delta
PPG	12.3	11.8	+0.5
RPG	2.8	3.3	-0.5
APG	2.0	1.7	+0.3
SPG	1.6	1.2	+0.4
BPG	0.3	0.5	-0.2
TPG	-	1.2
FG%	0.449	0.5	-0.0
3P%	0.409	0.4	+0.0
FT%	0.904	0.5	+0.4

Play Style

Driving Frequency

72:28%

Positional Fit

Guard 70%

Wing 90%

Big 80%

Player Impact Breakdown

Solid starter score driven by strong Win Model Score.

62 / 100 #77 of 435

On-Court Impact — 60% weight +0.28z

On-Court Impact +0.72 (Off +0.91, Def -0.18)

Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight +1.24z

Win Model Score: 4.0094

Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.00z

Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)

Offense

#79

Defense

#150

Confidence

98%

1890 min

Position Model (SF)

Predicted Positional BSI: 1.03 Actual: 2.0 +0.97

Outperforming SF model predictions

Future Value

Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.

68 / 100 #25 of 450

Cumulative Wins — 50% weight 68

Peak Ceiling — 20% weight 71

Contract Surplus — 30% weight 66

Future Value above current Impact (62) — trajectory is positive

League Percentile Profile

PPG

TS%

BPM

WS/48

RAPM

USG%

PA/100

BCI

Shot Quality

PA/100

+2.26

Points Added

+23.4

Selection

0.997

FGA

1038

Zone Breakdown

Above Break Three

40.2%

478 FGA (46%)

Rim

49.9%

337 FGA (32%)

Long Midrange

31.0%

71 FGA (7%)

Short Midrange

33.6%

152 FGA (15%)

Creation & Scoring Load

Box Creation

6.69

Load Tier

Average

Eff Delta

+0.5%

USG%

23.1%

Tendencies

Salary

$12.0M

Years Left

Expiry

2052

Option

Team Option

Status

Trade Value

0.537

Contract Breakdown

Season	Salary	Notes
2050-51	$12,000,000	Re-signed with Las Vegas Scorpions
2051-52	$12,000,000
Total Owed	$24,000,000

Win Model Development

Win Model Score

4.009

Expected WM

3.592

Dev Residual

+0.4178

Peak Age

Peak Win Model

4.135

PA Tier

Medium

Upside Gap

-1.5

Dev Status

Ahead of Curve

Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

	Player	Team	Age	CA	Similarity	Archetype
S	Solomone Bran	Oakland Tritons	0	3.0	98.1%	Stationary Shooter / Chaser
L	Lenzelle Ndefo	Philadelphia Warriors	24	3.5	97.9%	Slasher / Wing Stopper
V	Viktor Morozov	Cleveland Giants	0	3.0	97.4%	Secondary Creator / Chaser
D	Deandre Patterson	Detroit Mustangs	21	3.0	97.2%	Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper
K	Kinard Otero	Nashville Stars	20	3.5	97.2%	Slasher / Wing Stopper

Predicted Archetype

Offensive

Defensive

Win Value Development

Stage

Declining

Peak Age

Peak Win Value

14.4

Years to Peak

-4

Current Win Value

14.4

Confidence

MEDIUM

Win Value Trajectory

Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)

Current WV

3.046

Projected Peak WV

3.046

Peak Age

Years to Peak

WV Growth

+0.000

Rating Trainability

Rating	Current	Growth/yr	Class	Peak Age
Foul Drawing	11	+1.23	High Growth	31
Help Defense	19	+0.66	High Growth	27
Off-Ball Defense	19	+0.55	High Growth	28
Ball Dominance	17	+0.55	High Growth	28
Gravity	15	+0.52	High Growth	29
Spacing	16	+0.45	High Growth	18
Post Execution	5	+0.40	High Growth	29
Playmaking	8	+0.40	High Growth	29
Stealing	18	+0.38	High Growth	19
Finishing	13	+0.37	High Growth	27
Defensive Rebounding	9	+0.37	High Growth	18
Offensive Rebounding	13	+0.36	High Growth	18
Strength	11	+0.35	High Growth	18
Pick & Roll Execution	9	+0.34	High Growth	18
Passing	13	+0.33	High Growth	18
Self-Creation	18	+0.32	High Growth	19
Isolation Execution	19	+0.32	High Growth	18
3PT Shooting	19	+0.31	High Growth	19
Ball Handling	8	+0.30	High Growth	19
On-Ball Perimeter Defense	19	+0.30	High Growth	18
Shoot Off Dribble	12	+0.28	Moderate Growth	18
Rim Protection	5	+0.26	Moderate Growth	18
Inside Shooting	18	+0.25	Moderate Growth	18
Post Defense	15	+0.17	Moderate Growth	18
Basketball IQ	16	+0.07	Low Growth	19
Endurance	16	+0.05	Low Growth	20
Speed	11	+0.01	Low Growth	18
Free Throws	20	+0.00	Unknown	-
First Step	14	-0.01	Low Growth	18
Mid-Range Shooting	16	-0.03	Low Growth	19
Quickness	17	-0.08	Low Growth	19
Athleticism	17	-0.08	Low Growth	19

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