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Xavier Pierce

Xavier Pierce

PF

Pittsburgh Vipers · Roll-and-Cut Big / Mobile Big

College: Marquette · Brookfield, Wisconsin

Rim-protecting center

A rotation power forward averaging 6.0 PPG, 4.3 RPG, 0.4 APG. Excels in post defense (19 rating, 99th pctl), finishing (19 rating, 98th pctl) and 0.658 TS% (95th pctl). Limited by quickness (1 rating, 0th pctl) and first step (3 rating, 0th pctl).

48
Impact
33
Future
3.0
CA
1.0
PA
32
Age
$3.2M
Salary
3.167
Bal WV

Skill Badges

(5)
O Post Hub (S) O Glass Cleaner (B) O Floater Game (B) O Posterizer (B) D Paint Wall (B)
Jarrett Allen
NBA Comparison
Jarrett Allen
2024-25
83%
Style
83%
Level
6'11" · 243lbs
14.0/10.0/1.5 (PPG/RPG/APG)
Efficient scorer Rim protector Rebounder
Alt comp
Evan Mobley
2024-25 · 79%
2050 Projection
Peak Ridge: 10.3
Stage: Declining
Peak Age: 32 (past peak)
Future Value: 33
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG 6.0 33
RPG 4.3 64
APG 0.4 9
SPG 0.3 26
BPG 0.8 65
MPG 13.6 23
Shooting
FG% 0.616 99
3P% - 16
FT% 0.92 94
TS% 0.658 95
Impact
Impact 48 45
Off Impact 44 30
Def Impact 51 59
Advanced
Player Efficiency Rating - 12
WS 1.7 36
Box Score Impact -1.9 25
Value Over Replacement 0.1 35
Positional BSI -1.90 +0.00

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
Post Defense 19 (coef=0.0333)
Defensive Rebounding 16 (coef=0.0226)
Ball Dominance 18 (coef=0.0152)
Offensive Rebounding 17 (coef=0.0160)
Rim Protection 14 (coef=0.0168)
Weaknesses
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 4 (coef=0.0330)
3PT Shooting 7 (coef=0.0196)
Spacing 2 (coef=0.0196)
Passing 7 (coef=0.0156)
Inside Shooting 15 (coef=0.0155)

Expected vs Actual Production

Stat Actual Expected Delta
PPG 6.0 2.6 +3.4
RPG 4.3 5.8 -1.6
APG 0.4 -0.5 +0.9
SPG 0.3 0.1 +0.2
BPG 0.8 1.0 -0.2
TPG - 0.3
FG% 0.616 0.5 +0.1
3P% 0.0 0.2 -0.2
FT% 0.92 0.4 +0.5

Play Style

Driving Frequency
11:89%

Positional Fit

Guard 20%
Wing 40%
Big 80%

Player Impact Breakdown

Average score driven by modest Win Model Score.

48 / 100 #260 of 435
On-Court Impact — 60% weight -0.03z
On-Court Impact -0.02 (Off +0.32, Def -0.33)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight -0.54z
Win Model Score: 3.1518
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.00z
Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
44
#324
Defense
51
#202
Confidence
59%
617 min
Position Model (C)
Predicted Positional BSI: -1.90 Actual: -1.9 +0.00
Performing in line with C model predictions

Future Value

Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.

33 / 100 #485 of 450
Cumulative Wins — 50% weight 27
Peak Ceiling — 20% weight 30
Contract Surplus — 30% weight 45
Future Value well below current Impact (48) — likely declining asset

League Percentile Profile

PPG
18
TS%
98
BPM
22
WS/48
73
RAPM
1
USG%
29
PA/100
96

Shot Quality

PA/100
+18.21
Points Added
+37.3
Selection
0.911
FGA
205
Zone Breakdown
Rim
60.2%
128 FGA (62%)
Short Midrange
46.4%
69 FGA (34%)
Long Midrange
42.9%
7 FGA (3%)
Above Break Three
0.0%
1 FGA (0%)
Tendencies
Salary
$3.2M
Years Left
1
Expiry
2051
Option
None
Status
-
Trade Value
0.367

Contract Breakdown

Season Salary Notes
2050-51 $3,250,000 Signed contract via Free Agency with Pittsburgh Vipers

Win Model Development

Win Model Score
3.152
Expected WM
3.409
Dev Residual
-0.2571
Peak Age
31
Peak Win Model
3.133
PA Tier
Low
Upside Gap
-2.0
Dev Status
Behind Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
J
Jamaya Patton Indiana Stonecutters 23 4.5 97.2% Versatile Big / Mobile Big
J
Jose Vazquez Salt Lake City Saints 23 3.0 96.8% Versatile Big / Helper
D
Duran Hamdy Detroit Mustangs 20 3.0 96.5% Versatile Big / Helper
T
Tau Weitzman Oakland Tritons 0 3.0 96.4% Versatile Big / Helper
G
Gvidas Vitenas Dallas Predators 28 4.5 96.1% Versatile Big / Helper

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive

Win Value Development

Stage
Declining
Peak Age
32
Peak Win Value
10.3
Years to Peak
-5
Current Win Value
10.3
Confidence
HIGH

Win Value Trajectory

Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)

Current WV
2.424
Projected Peak WV
2.424
Peak Age
32
Years to Peak
0
WV Growth
+0.000

Rating Trainability

Rating Current Growth/yr Class Peak Age
Foul Drawing 16 +1.23 High Growth 31
Help Defense 14 +0.66 High Growth 27
Off-Ball Defense 7 +0.55 High Growth 28
Ball Dominance 18 +0.55 High Growth 28
Gravity 6 +0.52 High Growth 29
Spacing 2 +0.45 High Growth 18
Post Execution 18 +0.40 High Growth 29
Playmaking 3 +0.40 High Growth 29
Stealing 12 +0.38 High Growth 19
Finishing 19 +0.37 High Growth 27
Defensive Rebounding 16 +0.37 High Growth 18
Offensive Rebounding 17 +0.36 High Growth 18
Strength 17 +0.35 High Growth 18
Pick & Roll Execution 11 +0.34 High Growth 18
Passing 7 +0.33 High Growth 18
Self-Creation 5 +0.32 High Growth 19
Isolation Execution 4 +0.32 High Growth 18
3PT Shooting 7 +0.31 High Growth 19
Ball Handling 4 +0.30 High Growth 19
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 4 +0.30 High Growth 18
Shoot Off Dribble 3 +0.28 Moderate Growth 18
Rim Protection 14 +0.26 Moderate Growth 18
Inside Shooting 15 +0.25 Moderate Growth 18
Post Defense 19 +0.17 Moderate Growth 18
Basketball IQ 14 +0.07 Low Growth 19
Endurance 5 +0.05 Low Growth 20
Speed 1 +0.01 Low Growth 18
Free Throws 14 +0.00 Unknown -
First Step 3 -0.01 Low Growth 18
Mid-Range Shooting 6 -0.03 Low Growth 19
Quickness 1 -0.08 Low Growth 19
Athleticism 11 -0.08 Low Growth 19
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