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Adam Kwiatkowski

Adam Kwiatkowski

PF

Austin Rockets · Roll-and-Cut Big / Anchor Big

Gorzów Wielkopolski, Poland

Tough paint-anchoring center

A rotation power forward averaging 4.0 PPG, 4.6 RPG, 0.7 APG. Excels in post execution (16 rating, 87th pctl), offensive rebounding (17 rating, 86th pctl) and rim protection (17 rating, 82nd pctl). Limited by help defense (7 rating, 4th pctl) and athleticism (5 rating, 5th pctl).

45
Impact
37
Future
3.5
CA
3.5
PA
22
Age
$5.2M
Salary
3.299
Bal WV

Skill Badges

(3)
O Glass Cleaner (B) O Post Hub (B) O Floater Game (B)
Jalen Duren
NBA Comparison
Jalen Duren
2024-25
73%
Style
73%
Level
6'10" · 254lbs
10.0/9.5/2.0 (PPG/RPG/APG)
Rim protector Rebounder
Alt comp
Dereck Lively II
2024-25 · 74%
2050 Projection
Peak Ridge: 12.4
Stage: Developing
Peak Age: 29 (5yr away)
Future Value: 37
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG 4.0 19
RPG 4.6 68
APG 0.7 22
SPG 0.1 10
BPG 0.9 69
MPG 13.9 25
Shooting
FG% 0.459 46
3P% 0.303 30
FT% 0.864 69
TS% 0.537 23
Impact
Impact 45 33
Off Impact 39 15
Def Impact 51 59
Advanced
Player Efficiency Rating 12.8 33
WS 2.5 46
Box Score Impact -0.8 37
Value Over Replacement 0.4 48
Positional BSI -0.50 -0.30

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
Post Defense 14 (coef=0.0333)
Defensive Rebounding 17 (coef=0.0226)
Rim Protection 17 (coef=0.0168)
Offensive Rebounding 17 (coef=0.0160)
Ball Dominance 15 (coef=0.0152)
Weaknesses
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 4 (coef=0.0330)
3PT Shooting 9 (coef=0.0196)
Passing 9 (coef=0.0156)
Inside Shooting 15 (coef=0.0155)
Stealing 10 (coef=0.0145)

Expected vs Actual Production

Stat Actual Expected Delta
PPG 4.0 3.8 +0.2
RPG 4.6 5.6 -1.0
APG 0.7 -0.4 +1.1
SPG 0.1 0.1 -0.0
BPG 0.9 1.1 -0.2
TPG - 0.5
FG% 0.459 0.5 -0.0
3P% 0.303 0.3 +0.0
FT% 0.864 0.4 +0.4

Play Style

Driving Frequency
81:19%

Positional Fit

Guard 20%
Wing 50%
Big 80%

Player Impact Breakdown

Average score driven by modest On-Court Impact. Defense is the primary value driver.

45 / 100 #312 of 435
On-Court Impact — 60% weight -0.37z
On-Court Impact -0.87 (Off -0.86, Def -0.02)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight -0.38z
Win Model Score: 3.2841
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.00z
Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
39
#378
Defense
51
#202
Confidence
87%
1137 min
Position Model (C)
Predicted Positional BSI: -0.50 Actual: -0.8 -0.30
Performing in line with C model predictions

Future Value

Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.

37 / 100 #450 of 450
Cumulative Wins — 50% weight 34
Peak Ceiling — 20% weight 33
Contract Surplus — 30% weight 44
Future Value below current Impact (45) — may be approaching decline

League Percentile Profile

PPG
4
TS%
18
BPM
35
WS/48
56
RAPM
28
USG%
16
PA/100
28
BCI
22

Shot Quality

PA/100
-5.11
Points Added
-16.4
Selection
0.917
FGA
320
Zone Breakdown
Rim
54.3%
151 FGA (47%)
Short Midrange
27.8%
108 FGA (34%)
Above Break Three
32.4%
34 FGA (11%)
Long Midrange
33.3%
24 FGA (8%)
Other
66.7%
3 FGA (1%)

Creation & Scoring Load

Box Creation
4.73
Load Tier
Poor
Eff Delta
-3.8%
USG%
14.3%
Tendencies
Salary
$5.2M
Years Left
1
Expiry
2051
Option
Team Option
Status
-
Trade Value
0.378

Contract Breakdown

Season Salary Notes
2050-51 $5,200,000

Win Model Development

Win Model Score
3.284
Expected WM
3.475
Dev Residual
-0.1909
Peak Age
31
Peak Win Model
3.839
PA Tier
Medium
Upside Gap
0.0
Dev Status
Behind Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
N
Nikola Kojic Chicago Jailbirds 19 3.0 98.6% Versatile Big / Mobile Big
L
LeAndre Kokal Louisville Colonels 25 4.5 97.8% Versatile Big / Mobile Big
H
Houston Chong-Qui Salt Lake City Saints 26 4.0 97.2% Stretch Big / Helper
Z
Zack LaSalle San Diego Calaveras 26 3.5 97.1% Pick-and-Pop Big / Mobile Big
J
John Ford Denver Dragons 30 4.0 96.8% Versatile Big / Helper

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive

Win Value Development

Stage
Developing
Peak Age
29
Peak Win Value
12.4
Years to Peak
5
Current Win Value
10.5
Confidence
HIGH

Win Value Trajectory

Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)

Current WV
2.512
Projected Peak WV
2.951
Peak Age
29
Years to Peak
7
WV Growth
+0.439

Rating Trainability

Rating Current Growth/yr Class Peak Age
Foul Drawing 13 +1.23 High Growth 31
Help Defense 7 +0.66 High Growth 27
Off-Ball Defense 8 +0.55 High Growth 28
Ball Dominance 15 +0.55 High Growth 28
Gravity 7 +0.52 High Growth 29
Spacing 10 +0.45 High Growth 18
Post Execution 16 +0.40 High Growth 29
Playmaking 2 +0.40 High Growth 29
Stealing 10 +0.38 High Growth 19
Finishing 15 +0.37 High Growth 27
Defensive Rebounding 17 +0.37 High Growth 18
Offensive Rebounding 17 +0.36 High Growth 18
Strength 15 +0.35 High Growth 18
Pick & Roll Execution 10 +0.34 High Growth 18
Passing 9 +0.33 High Growth 18
Self-Creation 13 +0.32 High Growth 19
Isolation Execution 11 +0.32 High Growth 18
3PT Shooting 9 +0.31 High Growth 19
Ball Handling 2 +0.30 High Growth 19
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 4 +0.30 High Growth 18
Shoot Off Dribble 2 +0.28 Moderate Growth 18
Rim Protection 17 +0.26 Moderate Growth 18
Inside Shooting 15 +0.25 Moderate Growth 18
Post Defense 14 +0.17 Moderate Growth 18
Basketball IQ 16 +0.07 Low Growth 19
Endurance 9 +0.05 Low Growth 20
Speed 3 +0.01 Low Growth 18
Free Throws 13 +0.00 Unknown -
First Step 7 -0.01 Low Growth 18
Mid-Range Shooting 9 -0.03 Low Growth 19
Quickness 5 -0.08 Low Growth 19
Athleticism 5 -0.08 Low Growth 19
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