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Nikola Kojic

Nikola Kojic

SF

Chicago Jailbirds · Versatile Big / Mobile Big

Kruševac, Serbia

Physical defensive forward

A fringe wing averaging 7.0 PPG, 4.1 RPG, 0.8 APG. Excels in rim protection (17 rating, 82nd pctl), offensive rebounding (16 rating, 80th pctl) and strength (15 rating, 76th pctl). Limited by gravity (2 rating, 1st pctl) and help defense (8 rating, 6th pctl).

41
Impact
40
Future
3.0
CA
4.0
PA
19
Age
$3.0M
Salary
3.164
Bal WV

Skill Badges

(1)
O Glass Cleaner (B)
Bobby Portis
NBA Comparison
Bobby Portis
2023-24
87%
Style
87%
Level
6'10" · 250lbs
14.0/8.0/2.0 (PPG/RPG/APG)
Alt comp
Jonathan Kuminga
2024-25 · 76%
2050 Projection
Peak Ridge: 13.6
Stage: Developing
Peak Age: 29 (10yr away)
Future Value: 40
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG 7.0 40
RPG 4.1 62
APG 0.8 25
SPG 0.3 26
BPG 0.6 58
MPG 16.7 36
Shooting
FG% 0.446 37
3P% 0.304 31
FT% 0.788 38
TS% 0.531 20
Impact
Impact 41 19
Off Impact 46 37
Def Impact 40 16
Advanced
Player Efficiency Rating 13.1 36
WS 2.8 52
Box Score Impact -0.1 47
Value Over Replacement 0.6 52
Positional BSI -1.63 +1.53

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
Post Defense 14 (coef=0.0333)
Defensive Rebounding 15 (coef=0.0226)
Rim Protection 17 (coef=0.0168)
Offensive Rebounding 16 (coef=0.0160)
Foul Drawing 15 (coef=0.0102)
Weaknesses
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 4 (coef=0.0330)
3PT Shooting 12 (coef=0.0196)
Spacing 9 (coef=0.0196)
Passing 5 (coef=0.0156)
Stealing 8 (coef=0.0145)

Expected vs Actual Production

Stat Actual Expected Delta
PPG 7.0 5.8 +1.2
RPG 4.1 5.2 -1.1
APG 0.8 -0.1 +0.9
SPG 0.3 0.1 +0.2
BPG 0.6 1.1 -0.5
TPG - 0.6
FG% 0.446 0.5 -0.0
3P% 0.304 0.3 +0.0
FT% 0.788 0.5 +0.3

Play Style

Driving Frequency
93:7%

Positional Fit

Guard 30%
Wing 50%
Big 80%

Player Impact Breakdown

Below-average score driven by weak Win Model Score.

41 / 100 #363 of 435
On-Court Impact — 60% weight -0.32z
On-Court Impact -0.76 (Off +0.42, Def -1.18)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight -0.87z
Win Model Score: 3.1497
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.00z
Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
46
#289
Defense
40
#373
Confidence
93%
1371 min
Position Model (PF)
Predicted Positional BSI: -1.63 Actual: -0.1 +1.53
Significantly outperforming PF model predictions

Future Value

Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.

40 / 100 #419 of 450
Cumulative Wins — 50% weight 34
Peak Ceiling — 20% weight 35
Contract Surplus — 30% weight 55
Future Value in line with current Impact (41)

League Percentile Profile

PPG
25
TS%
15
BPM
44
WS/48
46
RAPM
29
USG%
38
PA/100
25
BCI
14

Shot Quality

PA/100
-5.83
Points Added
-34.5
Selection
1.009
FGA
592
Zone Breakdown
Short Midrange
34.2%
149 FGA (25%)
Above Break Three
30.1%
209 FGA (35%)
Rim
57.7%
220 FGA (37%)
Long Midrange
58.3%
12 FGA (2%)
Other
100.0%
2 FGA (0%)

Creation & Scoring Load

Box Creation
3.95
Load Tier
Poor
Eff Delta
-4.5%
USG%
18.0%
Tendencies
Salary
$3.0M
Years Left
2
Expiry
2052
Option
Team Option
Status
-
Trade Value
0.423

Contract Breakdown

Season Salary Notes
2050-51 $2,950,000
2051-52 $2,950,000
Total Owed $5,900,000

Win Model Development

Win Model Score
3.150
Expected WM
3.383
Dev Residual
-0.2336
Peak Age
26
Peak Win Model
3.554
PA Tier
High
Upside Gap
1.0
Dev Status
Behind Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
D
Derrick Lynch Seattle Thunder 26 5.0 92.3% Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper
J
Jameel Bucklin New York Renegades 23 3.0 87.8% Glue Guy / Wing Stopper
R
Rubin Wingfield II Toronto Huskies 0 3.0 87.0% Glue Guy / Wing Stopper
K
Kenan Aleksic Mexico City Jaguars 25 4.5 86.6% Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper
K
Kyler Amundson New Orleans Hurricanes 25 4.5 86.5% Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive

Win Value Development

Stage
Developing
Peak Age
29
Peak Win Value
13.6
Years to Peak
10
Current Win Value
10.4
Confidence
HIGH

Win Value Trajectory

Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)

Current WV
2.413
Projected Peak WV
3.158
Peak Age
29
Years to Peak
10
WV Growth
+0.746

Rating Trainability

Rating Current Growth/yr Class Peak Age
Foul Drawing 15 +1.23 High Growth 31
Help Defense 8 +0.66 High Growth 27
Off-Ball Defense 15 +0.55 High Growth 28
Ball Dominance 13 +0.55 High Growth 28
Gravity 2 +0.52 High Growth 29
Spacing 9 +0.45 High Growth 18
Post Execution 10 +0.40 High Growth 29
Playmaking 8 +0.40 High Growth 29
Stealing 8 +0.38 High Growth 19
Finishing 12 +0.37 High Growth 27
Defensive Rebounding 15 +0.37 High Growth 18
Offensive Rebounding 16 +0.36 High Growth 18
Strength 15 +0.35 High Growth 18
Pick & Roll Execution 14 +0.34 High Growth 18
Passing 5 +0.33 High Growth 18
Self-Creation 9 +0.32 High Growth 19
Isolation Execution 14 +0.32 High Growth 18
3PT Shooting 12 +0.31 High Growth 19
Ball Handling 3 +0.30 High Growth 19
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 4 +0.30 High Growth 18
Shoot Off Dribble 2 +0.28 Moderate Growth 18
Rim Protection 17 +0.26 Moderate Growth 18
Inside Shooting 16 +0.25 Moderate Growth 18
Post Defense 14 +0.17 Moderate Growth 18
Basketball IQ 14 +0.07 Low Growth 19
Endurance 7 +0.05 Low Growth 20
Speed 4 +0.01 Low Growth 18
Free Throws 11 +0.00 Unknown -
First Step 9 -0.01 Low Growth 18
Mid-Range Shooting 8 -0.03 Low Growth 19
Quickness 6 -0.08 Low Growth 19
Athleticism 9 -0.08 Low Growth 19
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