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Andre Wright

Andre Wright

SG

Louisville Colonels · Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper

Rangy facilitating wing

A rotation scoring shooting guard averaging 19.2 PPG, 3.5 RPG, 2.2 APG. Excels in ball handling (20 rating, 100th pctl), athleticism (19 rating, 100th pctl) and stealing (19 rating, 99th pctl). Limited by endurance (5 rating, 7th pctl) and floor spacing (6 rating, 25th pctl).

44
Impact
57
Future
4.5
CA
3.0
PA
33
Age
$3.2M
Salary
3.497
Bal WV

Skill Badges

(13)
O Ankle Breaker (S) O Lob Threat (S) O Floater Game (S) O Slasher (B) O Speed Demon (B) O Floor General (B) O Posterizer (B) O PnR Maestro (B) O Iso Scorer (B) D Interceptor (B) D Help Defender (B) D Pick Dodger (B) D Chasedown Artist (B)
Franz Wagner
NBA Comparison
Franz Wagner
2024-25
73%
Style
73%
Level
6'10" · 220lbs
24.2/5.7/4.7 (PPG/RPG/APG)
Volume scorer Efficient scorer Lockdown defender Free throw merchant Inside scorer
Alt comp
Paul George
2023-24 · 70%
2050 Projection
Peak Ridge: 13.4
Stage: Declining
Peak Age: 33 (past peak)
Future Value: 57
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG 19.2 94
RPG 3.5 53
APG 2.2 58
SPG 1.8 95
BPG 0.4 51
MPG 31.0 79
Shooting
FG% 0.554 86
3P% 0.286 27
FT% 0.833 57
TS% 0.634 90
Impact
Impact 44 28
Off Impact 45 34
Def Impact 50 54
Advanced
Player Efficiency Rating 18.7 88
WS 1.3 31
Box Score Impact 2.8 81
Value Over Replacement 0.5 49
Positional BSI 2.46 +0.34

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 16 (coef=0.0330)
Inside Shooting 19 (coef=0.0155)
Ball Dominance 19 (coef=0.0152)
Stealing 19 (coef=0.0145)
Playmaking 19 (coef=0.0101)
Weaknesses
3PT Shooting 13 (coef=0.0196)
Spacing 6 (coef=0.0196)
Offensive Rebounding 9 (coef=0.0160)
Endurance 5 (coef=0.0098)
Gravity 12 (coef=-0.0039)

Expected vs Actual Production

Stat Actual Expected Delta
PPG 19.2 17.2 +2.0
RPG 3.5 4.8 -1.3
APG 2.2 4.6 -2.4
SPG 1.8 1.4 +0.4
BPG 0.4 0.8 -0.5
TPG - 1.8
FG% 0.554 0.5 +0.1
3P% 0.286 0.3 -0.0
FT% 0.833 0.5 +0.4

Play Style

Driving Frequency
91:9%

Positional Fit

Guard 80%
Wing 90%
Big 80%

Player Impact Breakdown

Limited to 371 min — score regressed toward league average.

44 / 100 #329 of 435
On-Court Impact — 60% weight -0.50z
On-Court Impact -1.18 (Off -1.16, Def -0.03)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight -0.05z
Win Model Score: 3.4786
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.00z
Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
45
#306
Defense
50
#223
Confidence
40%
371 min
Position Model (SF)
Predicted Positional BSI: 2.46 Actual: 2.8 +0.34
Performing in line with SF model predictions

Future Value

Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.

57 / 100 #133 of 450
Cumulative Wins — 50% weight 56
Peak Ceiling — 20% weight 61
Contract Surplus — 30% weight 58
Future Value above current Impact (44) — trajectory is positive

Shot Quality

PA/100
-1.14
Points Added
-2.1
Selection
0.934
FGA
180
Zone Breakdown
Rim
44.9%
107 FGA (59%)
Long Midrange
43.8%
16 FGA (9%)
Short Midrange
50.0%
50 FGA (28%)
Above Break Three
28.6%
7 FGA (4%)
Tendencies
Salary
$3.2M
Years Left
1
Expiry
2051
Option
None
Status
-
Trade Value
0.418

Contract Breakdown

Season Salary Notes
2050-51 $3,250,000 Signed contract via Free Agency with Louisville Colonels

Win Model Development

Win Model Score
3.479
Expected WM
3.717
Dev Residual
-0.2388
Peak Age
33
Peak Win Model
3.479
PA Tier
Medium
Upside Gap
-1.5
Dev Status
Behind Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
V
Viktor Morozov Cleveland Giants 0 3.0 97.7% Secondary Creator / Chaser
K
Kyran Craig Houston Lightning 0 3.5 97.3% Secondary Creator / Chaser
D
Denzel Cruz Dallas Predators 21 4.0 96.1% Slasher / Chaser
J
Jonas Baumann San Diego Calaveras 20 3.5 95.8% Secondary Creator / Chaser
L
Lenzelle Ndefo Philadelphia Warriors 24 3.5 95.2% Slasher / Wing Stopper

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive

Win Value Development

Stage
Declining
Peak Age
33
Peak Win Value
13.4
Years to Peak
-7
Current Win Value
13.4
Confidence
MEDIUM

Win Value Trajectory

Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)

Current WV
2.585
Projected Peak WV
2.585
Peak Age
33
Years to Peak
0
WV Growth
+0.000

Rating Trainability

Rating Current Growth/yr Class Peak Age
Foul Drawing 15 +1.23 High Growth 31
Help Defense 15 +0.66 High Growth 27
Off-Ball Defense 15 +0.55 High Growth 28
Ball Dominance 19 +0.55 High Growth 28
Gravity 12 +0.52 High Growth 29
Spacing 6 +0.45 High Growth 18
Post Execution 7 +0.40 High Growth 29
Playmaking 19 +0.40 High Growth 29
Stealing 19 +0.38 High Growth 19
Finishing 18 +0.37 High Growth 27
Defensive Rebounding 12 +0.37 High Growth 18
Offensive Rebounding 9 +0.36 High Growth 18
Strength 9 +0.35 High Growth 18
Pick & Roll Execution 15 +0.34 High Growth 18
Passing 13 +0.33 High Growth 18
Self-Creation 15 +0.32 High Growth 19
Isolation Execution 17 +0.32 High Growth 18
3PT Shooting 13 +0.31 High Growth 19
Ball Handling 20 +0.30 High Growth 19
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 16 +0.30 High Growth 18
Shoot Off Dribble 9 +0.28 Moderate Growth 18
Rim Protection 9 +0.26 Moderate Growth 18
Inside Shooting 19 +0.25 Moderate Growth 18
Post Defense 10 +0.17 Moderate Growth 18
Basketball IQ 15 +0.07 Low Growth 19
Endurance 5 +0.05 Low Growth 20
Speed 15 +0.01 Low Growth 18
Free Throws 15 +0.00 Unknown -
First Step 16 -0.01 Low Growth 18
Mid-Range Shooting 14 -0.03 Low Growth 19
Quickness 18 -0.08 Low Growth 19
Athleticism 19 -0.08 Low Growth 19
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