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Arif Langston

Arif Langston

SF

Chicago Jailbirds · Stationary Shooter / Wing Stopper

College: Washington · Austin, Texas

Intelligent 3-and-d wing

A star-level two-way wing averaging 11.5 PPG, 4.6 RPG, 2.2 APG. Excels in three-point shooting (20 rating, 100th pctl), stealing (19 rating, 99th pctl) and offensive rebounding (19 rating, 99th pctl).

58
Impact
66
Future
5.0
CA
4.0
PA
29
Age
$6.0M
Salary
3.867
Bal WV

Skill Badges

(10)
O Sniper (G) O Catch & Shoot (S) O Gravity Generator (S) O Ankle Breaker (S) O Glass Cleaner (S) O Iso Scorer (B) O Pop Threat (B) D Interceptor (S) D Clamps (B) D Help Defender (B)
Paul George
NBA Comparison
Paul George
2023-24
81%
Style
81%
Level
6'8" · 220lbs
22.6/5.2/3.5 (PPG/RPG/APG)
Efficient scorer 3PT specialist Lockdown defender
Alt comp
Trey Murphy III
2024-25 · 73%
2050 Projection
Peak Ridge: 14.3
Stage: Declining
Peak Age: 29 (past peak)
Future Value: 66
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG 11.5 65
RPG 4.6 68
APG 2.2 58
SPG 1.5 84
BPG 0.4 51
MPG 24.1 56
Shooting
FG% 0.473 56
3P% 0.424 88
FT% 0.848 63
TS% 0.614 81
Impact
Impact 58 76
Off Impact 55 68
Def Impact 60 82
Advanced
Player Efficiency Rating 16.4 70
WS 6.0 82
Box Score Impact 5.1 97
Value Over Replacement 3.5 92
Positional BSI 3.07 +2.03

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 19 (coef=0.0330)
Defensive Rebounding 19 (coef=0.0226)
3PT Shooting 20 (coef=0.0196)
Spacing 19 (coef=0.0196)
Offensive Rebounding 19 (coef=0.0160)
Weaknesses
Post Defense 6 (coef=0.0333)
Passing 9 (coef=0.0156)
Inside Shooting 15 (coef=0.0155)
Foul Drawing 13 (coef=0.0102)
Playmaking 9 (coef=0.0101)

Expected vs Actual Production

Stat Actual Expected Delta
PPG 11.5 14.0 -2.5
RPG 4.6 5.5 -0.9
APG 2.2 1.0 +1.2
SPG 1.5 1.2 +0.3
BPG 0.4 0.6 -0.2
TPG - 1.4
FG% 0.473 0.4 +0.0
3P% 0.424 0.4 +0.0
FT% 0.848 0.5 +0.4

Play Style

Driving Frequency
17:83%

Positional Fit

Guard 80%
Wing 90%
Big 80%

Player Impact Breakdown

Solid starter score driven by strong Hidden Rating Impact. Hidden intangibles add significant value beyond visible skills.

58 / 100 #117 of 435
On-Court Impact — 60% weight +0.45z
On-Court Impact +1.16 (Off +0.90, Def +0.26)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight +0.58z
Win Model Score: 3.8519
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.00z
Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
55
#151
Defense
60
#82
Confidence
99%
1979 min
Position Model (SF)
Predicted Positional BSI: 3.07 Actual: 5.1 +2.03
Significantly outperforming SF model predictions

Future Value

Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.

66 / 100 #36 of 450
Cumulative Wins — 50% weight 69
Peak Ceiling — 20% weight 70
Contract Surplus — 30% weight 59
Future Value above current Impact (58) — trajectory is positive

League Percentile Profile

PPG
56
TS%
83
BPM
97
WS/48
84
RAPM
61
USG%
42
PA/100
79
BCI
40

Shot Quality

PA/100
+5.98
Points Added
+52.5
Selection
1.075
FGA
878
Zone Breakdown
Above Break Three
40.9%
494 FGA (56%)
Short Midrange
40.4%
89 FGA (10%)
Rim
58.1%
236 FGA (27%)
Long Midrange
37.3%
59 FGA (7%)

Creation & Scoring Load

Box Creation
6.94
Load Tier
Elite
Eff Delta
+3.8%
USG%
18.4%
Tendencies
Salary
$6.0M
Years Left
1
Expiry
2051
Option
None
Status
-
Trade Value
0.529

Contract Breakdown

Season Salary Notes
2050-51 $6,000,000

Win Model Development

Win Model Score
3.852
Expected WM
3.933
Dev Residual
-0.0816
Peak Age
26
Peak Win Model
3.706
PA Tier
High
Upside Gap
-1.0
Dev Status
Behind Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
A
Arik Mills Minneapolis Blizzards 27 4.5 98.5% Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper
A
Andrew Buller Cincinnati Kings 30 4.5 98.1% Stationary Shooter / Wing Stopper
L
LaRon Adams Seattle Thunder 28 4.5 97.7% Movement Shooter / Wing Stopper
G
Gregor Zorko Toronto Huskies 20 3.0 97.3% Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper
J
Jordan Kingsley Austin Rockets 20 3.5 97.3% Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive

Win Value Development

Stage
Declining
Peak Age
29
Peak Win Value
14.3
Years to Peak
-3
Current Win Value
14.3
Confidence
LOW

Win Value Trajectory

Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)

Current WV
3.075
Projected Peak WV
3.075
Peak Age
29
Years to Peak
0
WV Growth
+0.000

Rating Trainability

Rating Current Growth/yr Class Peak Age
Foul Drawing 13 +1.23 High Growth 31
Help Defense 17 +0.66 High Growth 27
Off-Ball Defense 18 +0.55 High Growth 28
Ball Dominance 15 +0.55 High Growth 28
Gravity 16 +0.52 High Growth 29
Spacing 19 +0.45 High Growth 18
Post Execution 5 +0.40 High Growth 29
Playmaking 9 +0.40 High Growth 29
Stealing 19 +0.38 High Growth 19
Finishing 13 +0.37 High Growth 27
Defensive Rebounding 19 +0.37 High Growth 18
Offensive Rebounding 19 +0.36 High Growth 18
Strength 11 +0.35 High Growth 18
Pick & Roll Execution 13 +0.34 High Growth 18
Passing 9 +0.33 High Growth 18
Self-Creation 19 +0.32 High Growth 19
Isolation Execution 16 +0.32 High Growth 18
3PT Shooting 20 +0.31 High Growth 19
Ball Handling 19 +0.30 High Growth 19
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 19 +0.30 High Growth 18
Shoot Off Dribble 10 +0.28 Moderate Growth 18
Rim Protection 9 +0.26 Moderate Growth 18
Inside Shooting 15 +0.25 Moderate Growth 18
Post Defense 6 +0.17 Moderate Growth 18
Basketball IQ 13 +0.07 Low Growth 19
Endurance 11 +0.05 Low Growth 20
Speed 14 +0.01 Low Growth 18
Free Throws 18 +0.00 Unknown -
First Step 12 -0.01 Low Growth 18
Mid-Range Shooting 14 -0.03 Low Growth 19
Quickness 13 -0.08 Low Growth 19
Athleticism 15 -0.08 Low Growth 19
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