Dashboard›JBL Players›Carsen Christos
Carsen Christos

Carsen Christos

SG

Oklahoma City Barons · Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper

College: Michigan State · Anacortes, Washington

Long two-way shooting wing

A solid shooting guard averaging 10.5 PPG, 2.8 RPG, 2.4 APG. Excels in perimeter defense (19 rating, 99th pctl), quickness (17 rating, 95th pctl) and endurance (16 rating, 91st pctl). Limited by offensive rebounding (7 rating, 24th pctl).

54
Impact
58
Future
4.0
CA
3.5
PA
25
Age
$1.8M
Salary
3.561
Bal WV

Skill Badges

(13)
O Ankle Breaker (B) O Floater Game (B) O Floor General (B) O Speed Demon (B) O Sniper (B) O Gravity Generator (B) O PnR Maestro (B) O Iso Scorer (B) O Pop Threat (B) D Help Defender (S) D Pick Dodger (S) D Clamps (B) D Interceptor (B)
Paul George
NBA Comparison
Budget Paul George
2023-24
81%
Style
81%
Level
6'8" · 220lbs
22.6/5.2/3.5 (PPG/RPG/APG)
Efficient scorer 3PT specialist
Alt comp
Trey Murphy III
2024-25 · 77%
2050 Projection
Peak Ridge: 14.0
Stage: Prime
Peak Age: 29 (1yr away)
Future Value: 58
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG 10.5 60
RPG 2.8 43
APG 2.4 59
SPG 1.2 72
BPG 0.2 43
MPG 22.1 52
Shooting
FG% 0.478 59
3P% 0.454 93
FT% 0.877 77
TS% 0.635 91
Impact
Impact 54 66
Off Impact 59 79
Def Impact 44 24
Advanced
Player Efficiency Rating 15.3 59
WS 4.5 72
Box Score Impact 2.8 81
Value Over Replacement 2.0 77
Positional BSI 0.91 +1.89

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 19 (coef=0.0330)
3PT Shooting 16 (coef=0.0196)
Inside Shooting 17 (coef=0.0155)
Spacing 13 (coef=0.0196)
Passing 16 (coef=0.0156)
Weaknesses
Post Defense 5 (coef=0.0333)
Rim Protection 5 (coef=0.0168)
Offensive Rebounding 7 (coef=0.0160)
Ball Dominance 10 (coef=0.0152)

Expected vs Actual Production

Stat Actual Expected Delta
PPG 10.5 11.2 -0.7
RPG 2.8 3.1 -0.3
APG 2.4 3.5 -1.1
SPG 1.2 1.1 +0.1
BPG 0.2 0.4 -0.2
TPG - 1.1
FG% 0.478 0.5 +0.0
3P% 0.454 0.3 +0.1
FT% 0.877 0.5 +0.4

Play Style

Driving Frequency
27:73%

Positional Fit

Guard 80%
Wing 90%
Big 70%

Player Impact Breakdown

Average score driven by solid On-Court Impact. Offense is the primary value driver.

54 / 100 #164 of 435
On-Court Impact — 60% weight +0.31z
On-Court Impact +0.82 (Off +1.29, Def -0.47)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight +0.22z
Win Model Score: 3.5471
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.00z
Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
59
#102
Defense
44
#341
Confidence
97%
1638 min
Position Model (SF)
Predicted Positional BSI: 0.91 Actual: 2.8 +1.89
Significantly outperforming SF model predictions

Future Value

Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.

58 / 100 #121 of 450
Cumulative Wins — 50% weight 58
Peak Ceiling — 20% weight 57
Contract Surplus — 30% weight 58
Future Value in line with current Impact (54)

League Percentile Profile

PPG
49
TS%
94
BPM
79
WS/48
75
RAPM
51
USG%
48
PA/100
95

Shot Quality

PA/100
+14.64
Points Added
+91.4
Selection
0.991
FGA
624
Zone Breakdown
Above Break Three
45.5%
332 FGA (53%)
Rim
47.3%
167 FGA (27%)
Long Midrange
40.9%
44 FGA (7%)
Short Midrange
39.5%
81 FGA (13%)
Tendencies
Salary
$1.8M
Years Left
1
Expiry
2051
Option
None
Status
-
Trade Value
0.478

Contract Breakdown

Season Salary Notes
2050-51 $1,750,000 Signed contract via Free Agency with Oklahoma City Barons

Win Model Development

Win Model Score
3.547
Expected WM
3.437
Dev Residual
+0.1101
Peak Age
33
Peak Win Model
3.920
PA Tier
Medium
Upside Gap
-0.5
Dev Status
Ahead of Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
M
Martynas Rutkauskas Charlotte Drones 23 3.0 99.1% Secondary Creator / Chaser
T
Toso Benhayoune Salt Lake City Saints 24 4.0 97.9% Primary Ballhandler / Point Of Attack
D
Darius Blackwell New Orleans Hurricanes 21 4.0 97.7% Primary Ballhandler / Point Of Attack
Q
Quintin Tomlinson Baltimore Bullets 24 4.0 97.7% Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper
O
Orlando Fitzpatrick Chicago Jailbirds 0 4.0 97.3% Secondary Creator / Chaser

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive

Win Value Development

Stage
Prime
Peak Age
29
Peak Win Value
14.0
Years to Peak
1
Current Win Value
13.0
Confidence
MEDIUM

Win Value Trajectory

Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)

Current WV
2.493
Projected Peak WV
2.672
Peak Age
29
Years to Peak
4
WV Growth
+0.179

Rating Trainability

Rating Current Growth/yr Class Peak Age
Foul Drawing 15 +1.23 High Growth 31
Help Defense 18 +0.66 High Growth 27
Off-Ball Defense 14 +0.55 High Growth 28
Ball Dominance 10 +0.55 High Growth 28
Gravity 15 +0.52 High Growth 29
Spacing 13 +0.45 High Growth 18
Post Execution 5 +0.40 High Growth 29
Playmaking 15 +0.40 High Growth 29
Stealing 17 +0.38 High Growth 19
Finishing 14 +0.37 High Growth 27
Defensive Rebounding 12 +0.37 High Growth 18
Offensive Rebounding 7 +0.36 High Growth 18
Strength 10 +0.35 High Growth 18
Pick & Roll Execution 15 +0.34 High Growth 18
Passing 16 +0.33 High Growth 18
Self-Creation 15 +0.32 High Growth 19
Isolation Execution 16 +0.32 High Growth 18
3PT Shooting 16 +0.31 High Growth 19
Ball Handling 16 +0.30 High Growth 19
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 19 +0.30 High Growth 18
Shoot Off Dribble 13 +0.28 Moderate Growth 18
Rim Protection 5 +0.26 Moderate Growth 18
Inside Shooting 17 +0.25 Moderate Growth 18
Post Defense 5 +0.17 Moderate Growth 18
Basketball IQ 16 +0.07 Low Growth 19
Endurance 16 +0.05 Low Growth 20
Speed 15 +0.01 Low Growth 18
Free Throws 17 +0.00 Unknown -
First Step 14 -0.01 Low Growth 18
Mid-Range Shooting 15 -0.03 Low Growth 19
Quickness 17 -0.08 Low Growth 19
Athleticism 12 -0.08 Low Growth 19
← Back to Roster