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Devon Walton

Devon Walton

PF

Philadelphia Warriors · Roll-and-Cut Big / Mobile Big

College: Kansas · Mountain Grove, Missouri

Heady rim-protecting center

A solid power forward averaging 3.7 PPG, 4.1 RPG, 0.5 APG. Excels in post defense (19 rating, 99th pctl), offensive rebounding (19 rating, 99th pctl) and rim protection (19 rating, 99th pctl). Limited by mid-range shooting (2 rating, 3rd pctl) and endurance (5 rating, 7th pctl).

52
Impact
48
Future
4.5
CA
3.0
PA
26
Age
$3.0M
Salary
3.489
Bal WV

Skill Badges

(8)
O Floater Game (S) O Post Hub (S) O Glass Cleaner (S) O Posterizer (B) O Slasher (B) D Paint Wall (S) D Rim Eraser (S) D Help Defender (B)
Isaiah Hartenstein
NBA Comparison
Isaiah Hartenstein
2023-24
71%
Style
71%
Level
7'0" · 250lbs
7.8/8.3/2.5 (PPG/RPG/APG)
Efficient scorer Rim protector
Alt comp
Dereck Lively II
2024-25 · 75%
2050 Projection
Peak Ridge: 12.5
Stage: Prime
Peak Age: 29 (1yr away)
Future Value: 48
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG 3.7 16
RPG 4.1 62
APG 0.5 14
SPG 0.3 26
BPG 0.9 69
MPG 16.0 34
Shooting
FG% 0.593 97
3P% - 16
FT% 0.657 12
TS% 0.614 81
Impact
Impact 52 59
Off Impact 41 19
Def Impact 57 76
Advanced
Player Efficiency Rating 10.2 17
WS 2.0 40
Box Score Impact -1.4 30
Value Over Replacement 0.2 40
Positional BSI -0.20 -1.20

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
Post Defense 19 (coef=0.0333)
Defensive Rebounding 16 (coef=0.0226)
Rim Protection 19 (coef=0.0168)
Offensive Rebounding 19 (coef=0.0160)
Inside Shooting 19 (coef=0.0155)
Weaknesses
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 7 (coef=0.0330)
3PT Shooting 8 (coef=0.0196)
Spacing 4 (coef=0.0196)
Passing 6 (coef=0.0156)
Stealing 7 (coef=0.0145)

Expected vs Actual Production

Stat Actual Expected Delta
PPG 3.7 6.5 -2.8
RPG 4.1 6.5 -2.4
APG 0.5 -1.0 +1.5
SPG 0.3 0.0 +0.3
BPG 0.9 1.3 -0.4
TPG - 0.6
FG% 0.593 0.5 +0.1
3P% 0.0 0.2 -0.2
FT% 0.657 0.4 +0.2

Play Style

Driving Frequency
96:4%

Positional Fit

Guard 30%
Wing 60%
Big 90%

Player Impact Breakdown

Average score driven by solid Win Model Score. Defense is the primary value driver.

52 / 100 #195 of 435
On-Court Impact — 60% weight -0.18z
On-Court Impact -0.40 (Off -0.39, Def -0.01)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight +0.52z
Win Model Score: 3.4735
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.00z
Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
41
#361
Defense
57
#113
Confidence
89%
1199 min
Position Model (C)
Predicted Positional BSI: -0.20 Actual: -1.4 -1.20
Significantly underperforming C model predictions

Future Value

Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.

48 / 100 #314 of 450
Cumulative Wins — 50% weight 46
Peak Ceiling — 20% weight 46
Contract Surplus — 30% weight 52
Future Value in line with current Impact (52)

League Percentile Profile

PPG
2
TS%
83
BPM
27
WS/48
34
RAPM
49
USG%
1
PA/100
83

Shot Quality

PA/100
+8.10
Points Added
+18.1
Selection
0.946
FGA
224
Zone Breakdown
Rim
57.2%
166 FGA (74%)
Short Midrange
33.3%
54 FGA (24%)
Long Midrange
0.0%
2 FGA (1%)
Other
100.0%
2 FGA (1%)
Tendencies
Salary
$3.0M
Years Left
1
Expiry
2051
Option
None
Status
-
Trade Value
0.472

Contract Breakdown

Season Salary Notes
2050-51 $3,000,000 Signed contract via Free Agency with Philadelphia Warriors

Win Model Development

Win Model Score
3.474
Expected WM
3.649
Dev Residual
-0.1759
Peak Age
31
Peak Win Model
3.726
PA Tier
Medium
Upside Gap
-1.5
Dev Status
Behind Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
J
Jamaya Patton Indiana Stonecutters 23 4.5 97.6% Versatile Big / Mobile Big
G
Gvidas Vitenas Dallas Predators 28 4.5 97.6% Versatile Big / Helper
D
Duran Hamdy Detroit Mustangs 20 3.0 97.4% Versatile Big / Helper
J
Jack Meyer Washington Pilots 27 4.5 97.4% Versatile Big / Mobile Big
I
Ilker Vick Nashville Stars 0 3.5 97.1% Versatile Big / Mobile Big

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive

Win Value Development

Stage
Prime
Peak Age
29
Peak Win Value
12.5
Years to Peak
1
Current Win Value
11.9
Confidence
HIGH

Win Value Trajectory

Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)

Current WV
2.683
Projected Peak WV
2.820
Peak Age
29
Years to Peak
3
WV Growth
+0.137

Rating Trainability

Rating Current Growth/yr Class Peak Age
Foul Drawing 19 +1.23 High Growth 31
Help Defense 16 +0.66 High Growth 27
Off-Ball Defense 8 +0.55 High Growth 28
Ball Dominance 14 +0.55 High Growth 28
Gravity 10 +0.52 High Growth 29
Spacing 4 +0.45 High Growth 18
Post Execution 17 +0.40 High Growth 29
Playmaking 5 +0.40 High Growth 29
Stealing 7 +0.38 High Growth 19
Finishing 18 +0.37 High Growth 27
Defensive Rebounding 16 +0.37 High Growth 18
Offensive Rebounding 19 +0.36 High Growth 18
Strength 18 +0.35 High Growth 18
Pick & Roll Execution 8 +0.34 High Growth 18
Passing 6 +0.33 High Growth 18
Self-Creation 17 +0.32 High Growth 19
Isolation Execution 7 +0.32 High Growth 18
3PT Shooting 8 +0.31 High Growth 19
Ball Handling 3 +0.30 High Growth 19
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 7 +0.30 High Growth 18
Shoot Off Dribble 7 +0.28 Moderate Growth 18
Rim Protection 19 +0.26 Moderate Growth 18
Inside Shooting 19 +0.25 Moderate Growth 18
Post Defense 19 +0.17 Moderate Growth 18
Basketball IQ 19 +0.07 Low Growth 19
Endurance 5 +0.05 Low Growth 20
Speed 3 +0.01 Low Growth 18
Free Throws 10 +0.00 Unknown -
First Step 14 -0.01 Low Growth 18
Mid-Range Shooting 2 -0.03 Low Growth 19
Quickness 13 -0.08 Low Growth 19
Athleticism 14 -0.08 Low Growth 19
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