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Evann Fagan

Evann Fagan

PG

New York Renegades · Shot Creator / Point Of Attack

College: Cincinnati · Dubuque, Iowa

Dazzling 3-and-d guard

A solid point guard averaging 4.2 PPG, 1.2 RPG, 3.9 APG. Excels in first step (19 rating, 100th pctl), endurance (19 rating, 100th pctl) and help defense (19 rating, 99th pctl). Limited by offensive rebounding (4 rating, 9th pctl) and strength (4 rating, 11th pctl).

51
Impact
56
Future
3.5
CA
2.0
PA
26
Age
$2.5M
Salary
3.432
Bal WV

Skill Badges

(10)
O Floater Game (S) O Floor General (S) O Slasher (S) O Speed Demon (S) O Lob Threat (B) O PnR Maestro (B) D Help Defender (S) D Pick Dodger (S) D Interceptor (S) D Charge Taker (B)
NBA Comparison
Chris Paul
2024-25
69%
Style
69%
Level
6'0" · 175lbs
10.0/4.0/8.0 (PPG/RPG/APG)
Elite playmaker 3PT specialist Ball handler
Alt comp
Tre Jones
2024-25 · 56%
2050 Projection
Peak Ridge: 13.6
Stage: Developing
Peak Age: 29 (4yr away)
Future Value: 56
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG 4.2 20
RPG 1.2 16
APG 3.9 80
SPG 0.6 47
BPG - 15
MPG 11.8 19
Shooting
FG% 0.408 16
3P% 0.241 22
FT% 0.667 13
TS% 0.507 11
Impact
Impact 51 55
Off Impact 51 57
Def Impact 50 54
Advanced
Player Efficiency Rating 17.1 78
WS 0.6 22
Box Score Impact 1.1 63
Value Over Replacement 0.1 35
Positional BSI -0.91 +2.01

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 18 (coef=0.0330)
Inside Shooting 17 (coef=0.0155)
Passing 16 (coef=0.0156)
Ball Dominance 16 (coef=0.0152)
Stealing 16 (coef=0.0145)
Weaknesses
Post Defense 8 (coef=0.0333)
Defensive Rebounding 7 (coef=0.0226)
Rim Protection 2 (coef=0.0168)
Offensive Rebounding 4 (coef=0.0160)
Shoot Off Dribble 5 (coef=0.0134)

Expected vs Actual Production

Stat Actual Expected Delta
PPG 4.2 4.8 -0.6
RPG 1.2 0.1 +1.1
APG 3.9 2.9 +1.0
SPG 0.6 0.7 -0.1
BPG 0.0 -0.1 +0.1
TPG - 0.5
FG% 0.408 0.5 -0.1
3P% 0.241 0.3 -0.1
FT% 0.667 0.4 +0.2

Play Style

Driving Frequency
77:23%

Positional Fit

Guard 80%
Wing 80%
Big 60%

Player Impact Breakdown

Limited to 152 min — score regressed toward league average.

51 / 100 #213 of 435
On-Court Impact — 60% weight +0.36z
On-Court Impact +0.94 (Off +0.02, Def +0.92)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight +0.01z
Win Model Score: 3.4159
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.00z
Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
51
#209
Defense
50
#223
Confidence
26%
152 min
Position Model (PG)
Predicted Positional BSI: -0.91 Actual: 1.1 +2.01
Significantly outperforming PG model predictions

Future Value

Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.

56 / 100 #156 of 450
Cumulative Wins — 50% weight 57
Peak Ceiling — 20% weight 56
Contract Surplus — 30% weight 57
Future Value above current Impact (51) — trajectory is positive

Shot Quality

PA/100
-5.23
Points Added
-2.7
Selection
0.956
FGA
52
Zone Breakdown
Above Break Three
24.1%
29 FGA (56%)
Rim
60.0%
15 FGA (29%)
Short Midrange
66.7%
6 FGA (12%)
Long Midrange
0.0%
2 FGA (4%)
Tendencies
Salary
$2.5M
Years Left
1
Expiry
2051
Option
None
Status
-
Trade Value
0.435

Contract Breakdown

Season Salary Notes
2050-51 $2,500,000 Signed contract via Free Agency with New York Renegades

Win Model Development

Win Model Score
3.416
Expected WM
3.176
Dev Residual
+0.2394
Peak Age
30
Peak Win Model
3.591
PA Tier
Low
Upside Gap
-1.5
Dev Status
Ahead of Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
K
Khaled Dely Indiana Stonecutters 0 3.5 98.6% Shot Creator / Point Of Attack
D
Devin Emery New Orleans Hurricanes 29 4.5 98.2% Primary Ballhandler / Point Of Attack
K
Kaan Korkmaz Nashville Stars 22 3.5 97.8% Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper
B
Basil Sanchious Los Angeles Fireballs 24 3.5 97.8% Primary Ballhandler / Point Of Attack
K
Klay Scantlebury Washington Pilots 23 3.0 97.6% Primary Ballhandler / Point Of Attack

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive

Win Value Development

Stage
Developing
Peak Age
29
Peak Win Value
13.6
Years to Peak
4
Current Win Value
12.9
Confidence
MEDIUM

Win Value Trajectory

Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)

Current WV
2.361
Projected Peak WV
2.495
Peak Age
29
Years to Peak
3
WV Growth
+0.134

Rating Trainability

Rating Current Growth/yr Class Peak Age
Foul Drawing 18 +1.23 High Growth 31
Help Defense 19 +0.66 High Growth 27
Off-Ball Defense 17 +0.55 High Growth 28
Ball Dominance 16 +0.55 High Growth 28
Gravity 11 +0.52 High Growth 29
Spacing 10 +0.45 High Growth 18
Post Execution 8 +0.40 High Growth 29
Playmaking 19 +0.40 High Growth 29
Stealing 16 +0.38 High Growth 19
Finishing 18 +0.37 High Growth 27
Defensive Rebounding 7 +0.37 High Growth 18
Offensive Rebounding 4 +0.36 High Growth 18
Strength 4 +0.35 High Growth 18
Pick & Roll Execution 11 +0.34 High Growth 18
Passing 16 +0.33 High Growth 18
Self-Creation 14 +0.32 High Growth 19
Isolation Execution 9 +0.32 High Growth 18
3PT Shooting 15 +0.31 High Growth 19
Ball Handling 14 +0.30 High Growth 19
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 18 +0.30 High Growth 18
Shoot Off Dribble 5 +0.28 Moderate Growth 18
Rim Protection 2 +0.26 Moderate Growth 18
Inside Shooting 17 +0.25 Moderate Growth 18
Post Defense 8 +0.17 Moderate Growth 18
Basketball IQ 19 +0.07 Low Growth 19
Endurance 19 +0.05 Low Growth 20
Speed 16 +0.01 Low Growth 18
Free Throws 14 +0.00 Unknown -
First Step 19 -0.01 Low Growth 18
Mid-Range Shooting 15 -0.03 Low Growth 19
Quickness 17 -0.08 Low Growth 19
Athleticism 18 -0.08 Low Growth 19
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