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Klay Scantlebury

Klay Scantlebury

SG

Washington Pilots · Primary Ballhandler / Point Of Attack

College: Kansas · Cleveland, Ohio

Two-way shooting guard

A rotation shooting guard averaging 2.5 PPG, 1.1 RPG, 2.2 APG. Excels in three-point shooting (19 rating, 99th pctl), playmaking (19 rating, 99th pctl) and interior scoring (19 rating, 97th pctl). Limited by pick-and-roll execution (5 rating, 7th pctl) and offensive rebounding (4 rating, 9th pctl).

44
Impact
50
Future
3.0
CA
3.5
PA
23
Age
$4.5M
Salary
3.075
Bal WV

Skill Badges

(8)
O Gravity Generator (S) O Ankle Breaker (S) O Slasher (S) O Floor General (B) O Sniper (B) O Speed Demon (B) O Floater Game (B) D Interceptor (B)
Kyle Lowry
NBA Comparison
Budget Kyle Lowry
2021-22
80%
Style
80%
Level
6'0" · 196lbs
13.4/4.5/7.5 (PPG/RPG/APG)
3PT specialist Ball handler
Alt comp
Marcus Smart
2022-23 · 73%
2050 Projection
Peak Ridge: 13.8
Stage: Developing
Peak Age: 29 (7yr away)
Future Value: 50
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG 2.5 11
RPG 1.1 14
APG 2.2 58
SPG 0.5 41
BPG - 15
MPG 10.5 16
Shooting
FG% 0.366 7
3P% 0.3 29
FT% 0.75 28
TS% 0.46 5
Impact
Impact 44 28
Off Impact 48 44
Def Impact 46 33
Advanced
Player Efficiency Rating 10.4 17
WS 0.4 19
Box Score Impact -4.1 8
Value Over Replacement -0.3 12
Positional BSI -1.47 -2.63

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 16 (coef=0.0330)
3PT Shooting 19 (coef=0.0196)
Inside Shooting 19 (coef=0.0155)
Passing 18 (coef=0.0156)
Stealing 18 (coef=0.0145)
Weaknesses
Post Defense 4 (coef=0.0333)
Defensive Rebounding 8 (coef=0.0226)
Rim Protection 4 (coef=0.0168)
Offensive Rebounding 4 (coef=0.0160)
Shoot Off Dribble 4 (coef=0.0134)

Expected vs Actual Production

Stat Actual Expected Delta
PPG 2.5 3.1 -0.6
RPG 1.1 -0.3 +1.4
APG 2.2 2.5 -0.3
SPG 0.5 0.7 -0.2
BPG 0.0 -0.1 +0.1
TPG - 0.4
FG% 0.366 0.5 -0.1
3P% 0.3 0.3 -0.1
FT% 0.75 0.5 +0.3

Play Style

Driving Frequency
69:31%

Positional Fit

Guard 80%
Wing 80%
Big 60%

Player Impact Breakdown

Below-average score driven by weak Win Model Score. Underperforms what his visible ratings predict.

44 / 100 #329 of 435
On-Court Impact — 60% weight -0.47z
On-Court Impact -1.12 (Off -1.41, Def +0.30)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight -0.99z
Win Model Score: 3.0611
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.00z
Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
48
#259
Defense
46
#313
Confidence
52%
534 min
Position Model (PG)
Predicted Positional BSI: -1.47 Actual: -4.1 -2.63
Significantly underperforming PG model predictions

Future Value

Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.

50 / 100 #277 of 450
Cumulative Wins — 50% weight 50
Peak Ceiling — 20% weight 50
Contract Surplus — 30% weight 51
Future Value above current Impact (44) — trajectory is positive

League Percentile Profile

PPG
0
TS%
1
BPM
6
WS/48
10
RAPM
92
USG%
10
PA/100
6
BCI
84

Shot Quality

PA/100
-15.10
Points Added
-21.0
Selection
1.007
FGA
139
Zone Breakdown
Above Break Three
30.0%
70 FGA (50%)
Rim
41.5%
41 FGA (30%)
Short Midrange
47.1%
17 FGA (12%)
Long Midrange
27.3%
11 FGA (8%)

Creation & Scoring Load

Box Creation
17.88
Load Tier
Poor
Eff Delta
-11.4%
USG%
13.1%
Tendencies
Salary
$4.5M
Years Left
1
Expiry
2051
Option
Team Option
Status
-
Trade Value
0.366

Contract Breakdown

Season Salary Notes
2050-51 $4,500,000

Win Model Development

Win Model Score
3.061
Expected WM
3.342
Dev Residual
-0.2811
Peak Age
33
Peak Win Model
3.529
PA Tier
Medium
Upside Gap
0.5
Dev Status
Behind Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
M
Martynas Rutkauskas Charlotte Drones 23 3.0 97.6% Secondary Creator / Chaser
D
Denzel Cruz Dallas Predators 21 4.0 97.4% Slasher / Chaser
J
Jade Ahelegbe St Louis Skyhawks 26 4.0 97.0% Primary Ballhandler / Point Of Attack
T
Toso Benhayoune Salt Lake City Saints 24 4.0 96.9% Primary Ballhandler / Point Of Attack
N
Nico Gillespie Mexico City Jaguars 30 4.0 96.4% Shot Creator / Point Of Attack

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive

Win Value Development

Stage
Developing
Peak Age
29
Peak Win Value
13.8
Years to Peak
7
Current Win Value
12.1
Confidence
HIGH

Win Value Trajectory

Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)

Current WV
2.283
Projected Peak WV
2.600
Peak Age
29
Years to Peak
6
WV Growth
+0.317

Rating Trainability

Rating Current Growth/yr Class Peak Age
Foul Drawing 14 +1.23 High Growth 31
Help Defense 16 +0.66 High Growth 27
Off-Ball Defense 18 +0.55 High Growth 28
Ball Dominance 11 +0.55 High Growth 28
Gravity 18 +0.52 High Growth 29
Spacing 10 +0.45 High Growth 18
Post Execution 2 +0.40 High Growth 29
Playmaking 19 +0.40 High Growth 29
Stealing 18 +0.38 High Growth 19
Finishing 18 +0.37 High Growth 27
Defensive Rebounding 8 +0.37 High Growth 18
Offensive Rebounding 4 +0.36 High Growth 18
Strength 5 +0.35 High Growth 18
Pick & Roll Execution 5 +0.34 High Growth 18
Passing 18 +0.33 High Growth 18
Self-Creation 17 +0.32 High Growth 19
Isolation Execution 10 +0.32 High Growth 18
3PT Shooting 19 +0.31 High Growth 19
Ball Handling 17 +0.30 High Growth 19
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 16 +0.30 High Growth 18
Shoot Off Dribble 4 +0.28 Moderate Growth 18
Rim Protection 4 +0.26 Moderate Growth 18
Inside Shooting 19 +0.25 Moderate Growth 18
Post Defense 4 +0.17 Moderate Growth 18
Basketball IQ 10 +0.07 Low Growth 19
Endurance 14 +0.05 Low Growth 20
Speed 14 +0.01 Low Growth 18
Free Throws 16 +0.00 Unknown -
First Step 16 -0.01 Low Growth 18
Mid-Range Shooting 15 -0.03 Low Growth 19
Quickness 17 -0.08 Low Growth 19
Athleticism 16 -0.08 Low Growth 19
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