Jadakiss Hollywood

Houston Lightning · Roll-and-Cut Big / Anchor Big

College: Oklahoma State · Pearland, Texas

Up-and-coming center

A fringe center averaging 6.0 PPG, 6.6 RPG, 0.7 APG. Excels in 6.6 RPG (82nd pctl), post defense (16 rating, 79th pctl) and help defense (16 rating, 74th pctl). Limited by passing (3 rating, 2nd pctl) and mid-range shooting (4 rating, 5th pctl).

Impact

Future

2.5

3.5

Age

$2.0M

Salary

2.855

Bal WV

Skill Badges

(1)

D Paint Wall (B)

NBA Comparison

Dereck Lively II

2024-25

79%

Style

79%

Level

7'1" · 230lbs

9.5/7.5/1.5 (PPG/RPG/APG)

Rebounder

Alt comp

Jalen Duren

2024-25 · 77%

2050 Projection

Peak Ridge: 12.3

Stage: Developing

Peak Age: 29 (7yr away)

Future Value: 29

Stat	Value	Pctl
Per Game
PPG	6.0	33
RPG	6.6	82
APG	0.7	22
SPG	0.3	26
BPG	1.1	75
MPG	22.0	52
Shooting
FG%	0.504	72
3P%	-	16
FT%	0.8	43
TS%	0.563	42
Impact
Impact	34	10
Off Impact	23	2
Def Impact	53	67
Advanced
Player Efficiency Rating	10.8	19
WS	2.3	43
Box Score Impact	-4.3	7
Value Over Replacement	-1.1	4
Positional BSI	-1.82	-2.48

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths

Post Defense 16 (coef=0.0333)

Defensive Rebounding 16 (coef=0.0226)

Rim Protection 15 (coef=0.0168)

Offensive Rebounding 15 (coef=0.0160)

Basketball IQ 15 (coef=0.0078)

Weaknesses

On-Ball Perimeter Defense 2 (coef=0.0330)

3PT Shooting 9 (coef=0.0196)

Spacing 3 (coef=0.0196)

Passing 3 (coef=0.0156)

Ball Dominance 7 (coef=0.0152)

Expected vs Actual Production

Stat	Actual	Expected	Delta
PPG	6.0	7.9	-1.9
RPG	6.6	6.9	-0.3
APG	0.7	-0.6	+1.3
SPG	0.3	0.4	-0.1
BPG	1.1	1.3	-0.2
TPG	-	0.8
FG%	0.504	0.5	+0.0
3P%	0.0	0.3	-0.3
FT%	0.8	0.5	+0.3

Play Style

Driving Frequency

86:14%

Positional Fit

Guard 20%

Wing 40%

Big 80%

Player Impact Breakdown

Below-average score driven by weak Win Model Score. Defense is the primary value driver.

34 / 100 #395 of 435

On-Court Impact — 60% weight -0.76z

On-Court Impact -1.82 (Off -2.17, Def +0.34)

Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight -1.31z

Win Model Score: 2.8433

Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.00z

Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)

Offense

#430

Defense

#150

Confidence

98%

1806 min

Position Model (C)

Predicted Positional BSI: -1.82 Actual: -4.3 -2.48

Significantly underperforming C model predictions

Future Value

Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.

29 / 100 #507 of 450

Cumulative Wins — 50% weight 23

Peak Ceiling — 20% weight 24

Contract Surplus — 30% weight 43

Future Value below current Impact (34) — may be approaching decline

League Percentile Profile

PPG

TS%

BPM

WS/48

RAPM

USG%

PA/100

BCI

Shot Quality

PA/100

-4.81

Points Added

-20.8

Selection

0.916

FGA

433

Zone Breakdown

Rim

50.0%

252 FGA (58%)

Short Midrange

34.0%

153 FGA (35%)

Long Midrange

28.0%

25 FGA (6%)

Other

100.0%

3 FGA (1%)

Creation & Scoring Load

Box Creation

3.04

Load Tier

Below Average

Eff Delta

-1.1%

USG%

12.1%

Tendencies

Salary

$2.0M

Years Left

Expiry

2051

Option

Team Option

Status

Trade Value

0.331

Contract Breakdown

Season	Salary	Notes
2050-51	$2,050,000

Win Model Development

Win Model Score

2.843

Expected WM

3.058

Dev Residual

-0.2143

Peak Age

Peak Win Model

3.407

PA Tier

Medium

Upside Gap

1.0

Dev Status

Behind Curve

Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

	Player	Team	Age	CA	Similarity	Archetype
D	Dejon Wright	Phoenix Vultures	27	4.0	98.8%	Post Scorer / Anchor Big
A	Al-Amir Geyen	New Orleans Hurricanes	24	4.0	98.7%	Roll-and-Cut Big / Anchor Big
D	Donte Billings	Portland Lumberjacks	0	3.0	98.6%	Roll-and-Cut Big / Anchor Big
T	Tommy Mock	Cincinnati Kings	28	4.0	98.6%	Roll-and-Cut Big / Anchor Big
K	Keanu Matthews	Toronto Huskies	28	4.0	98.5%	Roll-and-Cut Big / Anchor Big

Predicted Archetype

Offensive

Defensive

Win Value Development

Stage

Developing

Peak Age

Peak Win Value

12.3

Years to Peak

Current Win Value

9.3

Confidence

HIGH

Win Value Trajectory

Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)

Current WV

2.087

Projected Peak WV

2.741

Peak Age

Years to Peak

WV Growth

+0.654

Rating Trainability

Rating	Current	Growth/yr	Class	Peak Age
Foul Drawing	14	+1.23	High Growth	31
Help Defense	16	+0.66	High Growth	27
Off-Ball Defense	6	+0.55	High Growth	28
Ball Dominance	7	+0.55	High Growth	28
Gravity	8	+0.52	High Growth	29
Spacing	3	+0.45	High Growth	18
Post Execution	8	+0.40	High Growth	29
Playmaking	3	+0.40	High Growth	29
Stealing	10	+0.38	High Growth	19
Finishing	13	+0.37	High Growth	27
Defensive Rebounding	16	+0.37	High Growth	18
Offensive Rebounding	15	+0.36	High Growth	18
Strength	11	+0.35	High Growth	18
Pick & Roll Execution	8	+0.34	High Growth	18
Passing	3	+0.33	High Growth	18
Self-Creation	7	+0.32	High Growth	19
Isolation Execution	10	+0.32	High Growth	18
3PT Shooting	9	+0.31	High Growth	19
Ball Handling	3	+0.30	High Growth	19
On-Ball Perimeter Defense	2	+0.30	High Growth	18
Shoot Off Dribble	3	+0.28	Moderate Growth	18
Rim Protection	15	+0.26	Moderate Growth	18
Inside Shooting	16	+0.25	Moderate Growth	18
Post Defense	16	+0.17	Moderate Growth	18
Basketball IQ	15	+0.07	Low Growth	19
Endurance	10	+0.05	Low Growth	20
Speed	4	+0.01	Low Growth	18
Free Throws	15	+0.00	Unknown	-
First Step	10	-0.01	Low Growth	18
Mid-Range Shooting	4	-0.03	Low Growth	19
Quickness	9	-0.08	Low Growth	19
Athleticism	7	-0.08	Low Growth	19

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