Tommy Mock

Tommy Mock

PF

Cincinnati Kings · Roll-and-Cut Big / Anchor Big

College: Louisville · Walton, Kentucky

Bulldozing defensive center

A star-level two-way power forward averaging 8.6 PPG, 8.8 RPG, 1.0 APG. Excels in post defense (20 rating, 100th pctl), defensive rebounding (19 rating, 99th pctl) and rim protection (19 rating, 99th pctl). Limited by athleticism (4 rating, 2nd pctl) and passing (5 rating, 8th pctl).

64
Impact
47
Future
4.0
CA
2.5
PA
28
Age
$6.0M
Salary
3.508
Bal WV

Skill Badges

(5)
O Glass Cleaner (S) O Post Hub (S) D Paint Wall (S) D Rim Eraser (B) D Help Defender (B)
Jalen Duren
NBA Comparison
Jalen Duren
2024-25
76%
Style
76%
Level
6'10" · 254lbs
10.0/9.5/2.0 (PPG/RPG/APG)
Efficient scorer Rim protector Rebounder
Alt comp
Dereck Lively II
2024-25 · 73%
2050 Projection
Peak Ridge: 11.7
Stage: Prime
Peak Age: 29 (past peak)
Future Value: 47
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG 8.6 51
RPG 8.8 92
APG 1.0 30
SPG 0.3 26
BPG 1.5 86
MPG 25.8 61
Shooting
FG% 0.547 85
3P% 0.432 89
FT% 0.774 33
TS% 0.631 89
Impact
Impact 64 88
Off Impact 62 86
Def Impact 52 66
Advanced
Player Efficiency Rating 14.1 47
WS 6.3 85
Box Score Impact 2.5 78
Value Over Replacement 2.3 82
Positional BSI 0.62 +1.88

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
Post Defense 20 (coef=0.0333)
Defensive Rebounding 19 (coef=0.0226)
Rim Protection 19 (coef=0.0168)
Offensive Rebounding 17 (coef=0.0160)
Inside Shooting 17 (coef=0.0155)
Weaknesses
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 3 (coef=0.0330)
Spacing 4 (coef=0.0196)
Passing 5 (coef=0.0156)
Stealing 9 (coef=0.0145)
Shoot Off Dribble 2 (coef=0.0134)

Expected vs Actual Production

Stat Actual Expected Delta
PPG 8.6 11.7 -3.1
RPG 8.8 8.3 +0.5
APG 1.0 0.1 +0.9
SPG 0.3 0.5 -0.2
BPG 1.5 1.6 -0.1
TPG - 1.2
FG% 0.547 0.5 +0.0
3P% 0.432 0.3 +0.1
FT% 0.774 0.5 +0.3

Play Style

Driving Frequency
11:89%

Positional Fit

Guard 40%
Wing 60%
Big 90%

Player Impact Breakdown

Solid starter score driven by strong On-Court Impact. On-court impact exceeds what ratings alone would predict.

64 / 100 #57 of 435
On-Court Impact — 60% weight +1.28z
On-Court Impact +3.21 (Off +3.94, Def -0.65)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight +0.27z
Win Model Score: 3.4932
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.00z
Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
62
#67
Defense
52
#179
Confidence
99%
2040 min
Position Model (C)
Predicted Positional BSI: 0.62 Actual: 2.5 +1.88
Significantly outperforming C model predictions

Future Value

Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.

47 / 100 #330 of 450
Cumulative Wins — 50% weight 43
Peak Ceiling — 20% weight 43
Contract Surplus — 30% weight 57
Future Value well below current Impact (64) — likely declining asset

League Percentile Profile

PPG
38
TS%
92
BPM
76
WS/48
84
RAPM
89
USG%
9
PA/100
87
BCI
5

Shot Quality

PA/100
+9.47
Points Added
+58.4
Selection
1.006
FGA
617
Zone Breakdown
Rim
59.6%
319 FGA (52%)
Short Midrange
34.1%
129 FGA (21%)
Above Break Three
40.9%
154 FGA (25%)
Long Midrange
60.0%
5 FGA (1%)
Other
80.0%
10 FGA (2%)

Creation & Scoring Load

Box Creation
3.04
Load Tier
Elite
Eff Delta
+5.7%
USG%
12.9%
Tendencies
Salary
$6.0M
Years Left
2
Expiry
2052
Option
None
Status
-
Trade Value
0.544

Contract Breakdown

Season Salary Notes
2050-51 $6,000,000 Re-signed with Cincinnati Kings
2051-52 $6,000,000
Total Owed $12,000,000

Win Model Development

Win Model Score
3.493
Expected WM
3.648
Dev Residual
-0.1546
Peak Age
31
Peak Win Model
3.619
PA Tier
Low
Upside Gap
-1.5
Dev Status
Behind Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
N
Nikola Kojic Chicago Jailbirds 19 3.0 97.6% Versatile Big / Mobile Big
J
Jamaya Patton Indiana Stonecutters 23 4.5 97.5% Versatile Big / Mobile Big
J
John Ford Denver Dragons 30 4.0 97.5% Versatile Big / Helper
J
Jarvis Cannon Oakland Tritons 27 5.0 96.9% Versatile Big / Mobile Big
D
Duran Hamdy Detroit Mustangs 20 3.0 96.9% Versatile Big / Helper

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive

Win Value Development

Stage
Prime
Peak Age
29
Peak Win Value
11.7
Years to Peak
-1
Current Win Value
11.6
Confidence
HIGH

Win Value Trajectory

Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)

Current WV
2.711
Projected Peak WV
2.736
Peak Age
29
Years to Peak
1
WV Growth
+0.025

Rating Trainability

Rating Current Growth/yr Class Peak Age
Foul Drawing 16 +1.23 High Growth 31
Help Defense 16 +0.66 High Growth 27
Off-Ball Defense 8 +0.55 High Growth 28
Ball Dominance 14 +0.55 High Growth 28
Gravity 9 +0.52 High Growth 29
Spacing 4 +0.45 High Growth 18
Post Execution 18 +0.40 High Growth 29
Playmaking 3 +0.40 High Growth 29
Stealing 9 +0.38 High Growth 19
Finishing 10 +0.37 High Growth 27
Defensive Rebounding 19 +0.37 High Growth 18
Offensive Rebounding 17 +0.36 High Growth 18
Strength 17 +0.35 High Growth 18
Pick & Roll Execution 11 +0.34 High Growth 18
Passing 5 +0.33 High Growth 18
Self-Creation 10 +0.32 High Growth 19
Isolation Execution 13 +0.32 High Growth 18
3PT Shooting 15 +0.31 High Growth 19
Ball Handling 6 +0.30 High Growth 19
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 3 +0.30 High Growth 18
Shoot Off Dribble 2 +0.28 Moderate Growth 18
Rim Protection 19 +0.26 Moderate Growth 18
Inside Shooting 17 +0.25 Moderate Growth 18
Post Defense 20 +0.17 Moderate Growth 18
Basketball IQ 15 +0.07 Low Growth 19
Endurance 7 +0.05 Low Growth 20
Speed 16 +0.01 Low Growth 18
Free Throws 14 +0.00 Unknown -
First Step 9 -0.01 Low Growth 18
Mid-Range Shooting 10 -0.03 Low Growth 19
Quickness 13 -0.08 Low Growth 19
Athleticism 4 -0.08 Low Growth 19
← Back to Roster