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Keanu Matthews

Keanu Matthews

C

Toronto Huskies · Roll-and-Cut Big / Anchor Big

College: Maryland · Virginia Beach, Virginia

Feisty defensive center

A rotation center averaging 1.1 PPG, 2.4 RPG, 0.1 APG. Excels in post defense (19 rating, 99th pctl), defensive rebounding (19 rating, 99th pctl) and foul drawing (19 rating, 98th pctl). Limited by playmaking (1 rating, 2nd pctl) and mid-range shooting (2 rating, 3rd pctl).

48
Impact
37
Future
4.0
CA
2.5
PA
28
Age
$12.5M
Salary
3.270
Bal WV

Skill Badges

(4)
O Floater Game (B) O Glass Cleaner (B) D Paint Wall (S) D Rim Eraser (B)
Rudy Gobert
NBA Comparison
Budget Rudy Gobert
2024-25
53%
Style
53%
Level
7'1" · 258lbs
11.0/11.0/1.5 (PPG/RPG/APG)
Rim protector Rebounder
Alt comp
Dereck Lively II
2024-25 · 58%
2050 Projection
Peak Ridge: 11.1
Stage: Prime
Peak Age: 29 (past peak)
Future Value: 37
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG 1.1 5
RPG 2.4 36
APG 0.1 3
SPG - 5
BPG 0.5 56
MPG 8.2 14
Shooting
FG% 0.5 70
3P% 0.1 17
FT% 0.8 43
TS% 0.599 70
Impact
Impact 48 45
Off Impact 47 40
Def Impact 50 54
Advanced
Player Efficiency Rating 7.8 13
WS 0.1 12
Box Score Impact -4.0 9
Value Over Replacement -0.1 21
Positional BSI -0.61 -3.39

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
Post Defense 19 (coef=0.0333)
Defensive Rebounding 19 (coef=0.0226)
Inside Shooting 18 (coef=0.0155)
Offensive Rebounding 16 (coef=0.0160)
Rim Protection 15 (coef=0.0168)
Weaknesses
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 2 (coef=0.0330)
Spacing 3 (coef=0.0196)
Passing 4 (coef=0.0156)
Stealing 8 (coef=0.0145)
Shoot Off Dribble 2 (coef=0.0134)

Expected vs Actual Production

Stat Actual Expected Delta
PPG 1.1 0.8 +0.3
RPG 2.4 5.2 -2.8
APG 0.1 -2.9 +3.0
SPG 0.0 -0.2 +0.2
BPG 0.5 0.8 -0.3
TPG - 0.0
FG% 0.5 0.5 -0.0
3P% 0.1 0.3 -0.2
FT% 0.8 0.4 +0.4

Play Style

Driving Frequency
9:91%

Positional Fit

Guard 20%
Wing 40%
Big 80%

Player Impact Breakdown

Limited to 130 min — score regressed toward league average.

48 / 100 #260 of 435
On-Court Impact — 60% weight -0.77z
On-Court Impact -1.84 (Off -1.04, Def -0.78)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight -0.05z
Win Model Score: 3.2543
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.00z
Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
47
#275
Defense
50
#223
Confidence
25%
130 min
Position Model (C)
Predicted Positional BSI: -0.61 Actual: -4.0 -3.39
Significantly underperforming C model predictions

Future Value

Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.

37 / 100 #460 of 450
Cumulative Wins — 50% weight 37
Peak Ceiling — 20% weight 37
Contract Surplus — 30% weight 38
Future Value below current Impact (48) — may be approaching decline
Tendencies
Salary
$12.5M
Years Left
1
Expiry
2051
Option
Player Option
Status
-
Trade Value
0.406

Contract Breakdown

Season Salary Notes
2050-51 $12,500,000 Re-signed with Toronto Huskies

Win Model Development

Win Model Score
3.254
Expected WM
3.455
Dev Residual
-0.2008
Peak Age
28
Peak Win Model
3.254
PA Tier
Low
Upside Gap
-1.5
Dev Status
Behind Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
T
Tommy Mock Cincinnati Kings 28 4.0 98.6% Roll-and-Cut Big / Anchor Big
J
Jadakiss Hollywood Houston Lightning 20 2.5 98.5% Roll-and-Cut Big / Anchor Big
D
Dejon Wright Phoenix Vultures 27 4.0 98.5% Post Scorer / Anchor Big
T
Taron Crosswell Houston Lightning 0 3.0 98.4% Roll-and-Cut Big / Mobile Big
N
Nathaniel Owens Boston Crusaders 0 3.0 98.4% Post Scorer / Anchor Big

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive

Win Value Development

Stage
Prime
Peak Age
29
Peak Win Value
11.1
Years to Peak
-1
Current Win Value
11.0
Confidence
HIGH

Win Value Trajectory

Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)

Current WV
2.526
Projected Peak WV
2.549
Peak Age
29
Years to Peak
1
WV Growth
+0.022

Rating Trainability

Rating Current Growth/yr Class Peak Age
Foul Drawing 19 +1.23 High Growth 31
Help Defense 18 +0.66 High Growth 27
Off-Ball Defense 7 +0.55 High Growth 28
Ball Dominance 13 +0.55 High Growth 28
Gravity 6 +0.52 High Growth 29
Spacing 3 +0.45 High Growth 18
Post Execution 14 +0.40 High Growth 29
Playmaking 1 +0.40 High Growth 29
Stealing 8 +0.38 High Growth 19
Finishing 17 +0.37 High Growth 27
Defensive Rebounding 19 +0.37 High Growth 18
Offensive Rebounding 16 +0.36 High Growth 18
Strength 11 +0.35 High Growth 18
Pick & Roll Execution 10 +0.34 High Growth 18
Passing 4 +0.33 High Growth 18
Self-Creation 15 +0.32 High Growth 19
Isolation Execution 14 +0.32 High Growth 18
3PT Shooting 15 +0.31 High Growth 19
Ball Handling 2 +0.30 High Growth 19
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 2 +0.30 High Growth 18
Shoot Off Dribble 2 +0.28 Moderate Growth 18
Rim Protection 15 +0.26 Moderate Growth 18
Inside Shooting 18 +0.25 Moderate Growth 18
Post Defense 19 +0.17 Moderate Growth 18
Basketball IQ 13 +0.07 Low Growth 19
Endurance 13 +0.05 Low Growth 20
Speed 3 +0.01 Low Growth 18
Free Throws 14 +0.00 Unknown -
First Step 8 -0.01 Low Growth 18
Mid-Range Shooting 2 -0.03 Low Growth 19
Quickness 5 -0.08 Low Growth 19
Athleticism 15 -0.08 Low Growth 19
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