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Nathaniel Owens

Nathaniel Owens

PF

Boston Crusaders · Post Scorer / Anchor Big

Effort-driven center

A solid power forward. Excels in post execution (16 rating, 87th pctl), endurance (15 rating, 84th pctl) and quickness (15 rating, 76th pctl). Limited by finishing (6 rating, 1st pctl) and ball handling (1 rating, 2nd pctl).

-
Impact
38
Future
3.0
CA
4.0
PA
22
Age
$1.8M
Salary
3.026
Bal WV
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG -
RPG -
APG -
SPG -
BPG -
MPG -
Shooting
FG% -
3P% -
FT% -
TS% -
Impact
Impact -
Off Impact -
Def Impact -
Advanced
Player Efficiency Rating -
WS -
Box Score Impact -
Value Over Replacement -
Positional BSI -2.63

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
Post Defense 15 (coef=0.0333)
Defensive Rebounding 16 (coef=0.0226)
Rim Protection 16 (coef=0.0168)
Offensive Rebounding 14 (coef=0.0160)
Endurance 15 (coef=0.0098)
Weaknesses
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 2 (coef=0.0330)
3PT Shooting 13 (coef=0.0196)
Spacing 3 (coef=0.0196)
Passing 7 (coef=0.0156)
Ball Dominance 9 (coef=0.0152)

Play Style

Driving Frequency
95:5%

Positional Fit

Guard 20%
Wing 40%
Big 80%

Future Value

Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.

38 / 100 #444 of 450
Cumulative Wins — 50% weight 31
Peak Ceiling — 20% weight 30
Contract Surplus — 30% weight 55
Tendencies
Salary
$1.8M
Years Left
2
Expiry
2052
Option
Team Option
Status
-
Trade Value
0.153

Contract Breakdown

Season Salary Notes
2050-51 $1,750,000 Signed rookie scale deal with Boston Crusaders
2051-52 $1,750,000
Total Owed $3,500,000

Win Model Development

Win Model Score
3.013
Expected WM
3.551
Dev Residual
-0.5379
Peak Age
31
Peak Win Model
3.620
PA Tier
High
Upside Gap
1.0
Dev Status
Behind Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
J
John Ford Denver Dragons 30 4.0 98.5% Versatile Big / Helper
D
Duran Hamdy Detroit Mustangs 20 3.0 97.9% Versatile Big / Helper
J
Jamaya Patton Indiana Stonecutters 23 4.5 97.8% Versatile Big / Mobile Big
I
Ilker Vick Nashville Stars 0 3.5 97.2% Versatile Big / Mobile Big
N
Nikola Kojic Chicago Jailbirds 19 3.0 97.1% Versatile Big / Mobile Big

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive

Win Value Development

Stage
Developing
Peak Age
29
Peak Win Value
12.1
Years to Peak
5
Current Win Value
10.1
Confidence
HIGH

Win Value Trajectory

Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)

Current WV
2.226
Projected Peak WV
2.665
Peak Age
29
Years to Peak
7
WV Growth
+0.439

Rating Trainability

Rating Current Growth/yr Class Peak Age
Foul Drawing 14 +1.23 High Growth 31
Help Defense 13 +0.66 High Growth 27
Off-Ball Defense 7 +0.55 High Growth 28
Ball Dominance 9 +0.55 High Growth 28
Gravity 5 +0.52 High Growth 29
Spacing 3 +0.45 High Growth 18
Post Execution 16 +0.40 High Growth 29
Playmaking 3 +0.40 High Growth 29
Stealing 10 +0.38 High Growth 19
Finishing 6 +0.37 High Growth 27
Defensive Rebounding 16 +0.37 High Growth 18
Offensive Rebounding 14 +0.36 High Growth 18
Strength 10 +0.35 High Growth 18
Pick & Roll Execution 5 +0.34 High Growth 18
Passing 7 +0.33 High Growth 18
Self-Creation 10 +0.32 High Growth 19
Isolation Execution 10 +0.32 High Growth 18
3PT Shooting 13 +0.31 High Growth 19
Ball Handling 1 +0.30 High Growth 19
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 2 +0.30 High Growth 18
Shoot Off Dribble 4 +0.28 Moderate Growth 18
Rim Protection 16 +0.26 Moderate Growth 18
Inside Shooting 16 +0.25 Moderate Growth 18
Post Defense 15 +0.17 Moderate Growth 18
Basketball IQ 14 +0.07 Low Growth 19
Endurance 15 +0.05 Low Growth 20
Speed 13 +0.01 Low Growth 18
Free Throws 8 +0.00 Unknown -
First Step 5 -0.01 Low Growth 18
Mid-Range Shooting 12 -0.03 Low Growth 19
Quickness 15 -0.08 Low Growth 19
Athleticism 9 -0.08 Low Growth 19
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