Taron Crosswell
PFHouston Lightning · Roll-and-Cut Big / Mobile Big
Bulldozing paint-dominant forward
A solid power forward. Excels in post defense (17 rating, 87th pctl), strength (16 rating, 80th pctl) and defensive rebounding (16 rating, 75th pctl). Limited by endurance (4 rating, 4th pctl) and free throws (9 rating, 6th pctl).
-
Impact
33
Future
3.0
CA
5.0
PA
21
Age
$4.6M
2.866
Bal WV
Skill Badges
(1)
O
Glass Cleaner
(B)
Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)
Strengths
Post Defense 17 (coef=0.0333)
Defensive Rebounding 16 (coef=0.0226)
Offensive Rebounding 15 (coef=0.0160)
Post Execution 10 (coef=0.0074)
Strength 16 (coef=0.0012)
Weaknesses
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 2 (coef=0.0330)
3PT Shooting 11 (coef=0.0196)
Spacing 3 (coef=0.0196)
Passing 10 (coef=0.0156)
Ball Dominance 9 (coef=0.0152)
Play Style
Driving Frequency
7:93%
Positional Fit
Guard
20%
Wing
40%
Big
80%
Future Value
Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.
33
/ 100
#483 of 450
Cumulative Wins — 50% weight
26
Peak Ceiling — 20% weight
27
Contract Surplus — 30% weight
48
Tendencies
Salary
$4.6M
Years Left
3
Expiry
2053
Option
Team Option
Status
-
Trade Value
0.167
Contract Breakdown
| Season | Salary | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| 2050-51 | $4,600,000 | Signed rookie scale deal with Houston Lightning |
| 2051-52 | $4,600,000 | |
| 2052-53 | $4,600,000 | |
| Total Owed | $13,800,000 |
Win Model Development
Win Model Score
2.854
Expected WM
3.611
Dev Residual
-0.7572
Peak Age
31
Peak Win Model
3.656
PA Tier
High
Upside Gap
2.0
Dev Status
Behind Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.
Win Model Trajectory
Most Similar Players
Predicted Archetype
Offensive
Defensive
Win Value Development
Stage
Developing
Peak Age
29
Peak Win Value
12.0
Years to Peak
6
Current Win Value
9.6
Confidence
HIGH
Win Value Trajectory
Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)
Current WV
2.266
Projected Peak WV
2.822
Peak Age
29
Years to Peak
8
WV Growth
+0.557
Rating Trainability
| Rating | Current | Growth/yr | Class | Peak Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Foul Drawing | 13 | +1.23 | High Growth | 31 |
| Help Defense | 11 | +0.66 | High Growth | 27 |
| Off-Ball Defense | 5 | +0.55 | High Growth | 28 |
| Ball Dominance | 9 | +0.55 | High Growth | 28 |
| Gravity | 6 | +0.52 | High Growth | 29 |
| Spacing | 3 | +0.45 | High Growth | 18 |
| Post Execution | 10 | +0.40 | High Growth | 29 |
| Playmaking | 3 | +0.40 | High Growth | 29 |
| Stealing | 8 | +0.38 | High Growth | 19 |
| Finishing | 15 | +0.37 | High Growth | 27 |
| Defensive Rebounding | 16 | +0.37 | High Growth | 18 |
| Offensive Rebounding | 15 | +0.36 | High Growth | 18 |
| Strength | 16 | +0.35 | High Growth | 18 |
| Pick & Roll Execution | 13 | +0.34 | High Growth | 18 |
| Passing | 10 | +0.33 | High Growth | 18 |
| Self-Creation | 12 | +0.32 | High Growth | 19 |
| Isolation Execution | 9 | +0.32 | High Growth | 18 |
| 3PT Shooting | 11 | +0.31 | High Growth | 19 |
| Ball Handling | 2 | +0.30 | High Growth | 19 |
| On-Ball Perimeter Defense | 2 | +0.30 | High Growth | 18 |
| Shoot Off Dribble | 3 | +0.28 | Moderate Growth | 18 |
| Rim Protection | 13 | +0.26 | Moderate Growth | 18 |
| Inside Shooting | 16 | +0.25 | Moderate Growth | 18 |
| Post Defense | 17 | +0.17 | Moderate Growth | 18 |
| Basketball IQ | 11 | +0.07 | Low Growth | 19 |
| Endurance | 4 | +0.05 | Low Growth | 20 |
| Speed | 7 | +0.01 | Low Growth | 18 |
| Free Throws | 9 | +0.00 | Unknown | - |
| First Step | 8 | -0.01 | Low Growth | 18 |
| Mid-Range Shooting | 8 | -0.03 | Low Growth | 19 |
| Quickness | 5 | -0.08 | Low Growth | 19 |
| Athleticism | 12 | -0.08 | Low Growth | 19 |