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Petar Jovanovic

Petar Jovanovic

SF

Phoenix Vultures · Pick-and-Pop Big / Mobile Big

Surdulica, Serbia

Board-crashing forward

A fringe wing averaging 8.4 PPG, 4.8 RPG, 1.4 APG. Excels in foul drawing (17 rating, 88th pctl), defensive rebounding (17 rating, 81st pctl) and off-ball defense (17 rating, 80th pctl). Limited by shoot off dribble (1 rating, 2nd pctl) and help defense (5 rating, 2nd pctl).

42
Impact
39
Future
3.0
CA
3.5
PA
20
Age
$4.0M
Salary
3.178
Bal WV

Skill Badges

(1)
O Glass Cleaner (B)
Naz Reid
NBA Comparison
Naz Reid
2024-25
79%
Style
79%
Level
6'9" · 264lbs
12.0/5.5/1.5 (PPG/RPG/APG)
3PT specialist
Alt comp
Jabari Smith Jr.
2024-25 · 71%
2050 Projection
Peak Ridge: 13.7
Stage: Developing
Peak Age: 29 (9yr away)
Future Value: 39
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG 8.4 49
RPG 4.8 71
APG 1.4 44
SPG 0.4 33
BPG 1.1 75
MPG 21.2 49
Shooting
FG% 0.449 39
3P% 0.301 29
FT% 0.736 24
TS% 0.564 42
Impact
Impact 42 21
Off Impact 47 40
Def Impact 40 16
Advanced
Player Efficiency Rating 13.4 40
WS 2.8 52
Box Score Impact 0.5 56
Value Over Replacement 1.0 63
Positional BSI -0.35 +0.85

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
Post Defense 16 (coef=0.0333)
Defensive Rebounding 17 (coef=0.0226)
Passing 17 (coef=0.0156)
Offensive Rebounding 16 (coef=0.0160)
Rim Protection 14 (coef=0.0168)
Weaknesses
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 3 (coef=0.0330)
3PT Shooting 13 (coef=0.0196)
Spacing 8 (coef=0.0196)
Inside Shooting 14 (coef=0.0155)
Ball Dominance 7 (coef=0.0152)

Expected vs Actual Production

Stat Actual Expected Delta
PPG 8.4 8.0 +0.4
RPG 4.8 7.1 -2.3
APG 1.4 1.4 -0.0
SPG 0.4 0.3 +0.1
BPG 1.1 1.2 -0.1
TPG - 0.8
FG% 0.449 0.5 -0.0
3P% 0.301 0.3 -0.0
FT% 0.736 0.5 +0.3

Play Style

Driving Frequency
11:89%

Positional Fit

Guard 20%
Wing 40%
Big 80%

Player Impact Breakdown

Below-average score driven by weak Win Model Score.

42 / 100 #353 of 435
On-Court Impact — 60% weight -0.04z
On-Court Impact -0.05 (Off +1.07, Def -1.13)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight -1.06z
Win Model Score: 3.1677
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.00z
Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
47
#275
Defense
40
#373
Confidence
96%
1569 min
Position Model (PF)
Predicted Positional BSI: -0.35 Actual: 0.5 +0.85
Outperforming PF model predictions

Future Value

Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.

39 / 100 #438 of 450
Cumulative Wins — 50% weight 36
Peak Ceiling — 20% weight 35
Contract Surplus — 30% weight 46
Future Value in line with current Impact (42)

League Percentile Profile

PPG
36
TS%
39
BPM
53
WS/48
38
RAPM
35
USG%
35
PA/100
20
BCI
34

Shot Quality

PA/100
-7.29
Points Added
-39.4
Selection
1.042
FGA
541
Zone Breakdown
Above Break Three
29.9%
274 FGA (51%)
Short Midrange
33.3%
69 FGA (13%)
Rim
59.8%
189 FGA (35%)
Long Midrange
37.5%
8 FGA (2%)
Other
0.0%
1 FGA (0%)

Creation & Scoring Load

Box Creation
6.22
Load Tier
Below Average
Eff Delta
-1.1%
USG%
17.4%
Tendencies
Salary
$4.0M
Years Left
1
Expiry
2051
Option
Team Option
Status
-
Trade Value
0.381

Contract Breakdown

Season Salary Notes
2050-51 $4,000,000

Win Model Development

Win Model Score
3.168
Expected WM
3.393
Dev Residual
-0.2254
Peak Age
26
Peak Win Model
3.468
PA Tier
Medium
Upside Gap
0.5
Dev Status
Behind Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
D
Derrick Lynch Seattle Thunder 26 5.0 90.0% Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper
R
Rubin Wingfield II Toronto Huskies 0 3.0 86.4% Glue Guy / Wing Stopper
J
Jameel Bucklin New York Renegades 23 3.0 85.3% Glue Guy / Wing Stopper
D
Damone Tongamoa Boston Crusaders 22 3.5 85.1% Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper
C
Cedric Rodgers Los Angeles Fireballs 30 5.0 84.4% Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive

Win Value Development

Stage
Developing
Peak Age
29
Peak Win Value
13.7
Years to Peak
9
Current Win Value
10.6
Confidence
HIGH

Win Value Trajectory

Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)

Current WV
2.505
Projected Peak WV
3.229
Peak Age
29
Years to Peak
9
WV Growth
+0.724

Rating Trainability

Rating Current Growth/yr Class Peak Age
Foul Drawing 17 +1.23 High Growth 31
Help Defense 5 +0.66 High Growth 27
Off-Ball Defense 17 +0.55 High Growth 28
Ball Dominance 7 +0.55 High Growth 28
Gravity 9 +0.52 High Growth 29
Spacing 8 +0.45 High Growth 18
Post Execution 10 +0.40 High Growth 29
Playmaking 3 +0.40 High Growth 29
Stealing 8 +0.38 High Growth 19
Finishing 11 +0.37 High Growth 27
Defensive Rebounding 17 +0.37 High Growth 18
Offensive Rebounding 16 +0.36 High Growth 18
Strength 14 +0.35 High Growth 18
Pick & Roll Execution 12 +0.34 High Growth 18
Passing 17 +0.33 High Growth 18
Self-Creation 6 +0.32 High Growth 19
Isolation Execution 8 +0.32 High Growth 18
3PT Shooting 13 +0.31 High Growth 19
Ball Handling 2 +0.30 High Growth 19
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 3 +0.30 High Growth 18
Shoot Off Dribble 1 +0.28 Moderate Growth 18
Rim Protection 14 +0.26 Moderate Growth 18
Inside Shooting 14 +0.25 Moderate Growth 18
Post Defense 16 +0.17 Moderate Growth 18
Basketball IQ 7 +0.07 Low Growth 19
Endurance 12 +0.05 Low Growth 20
Speed 4 +0.01 Low Growth 18
Free Throws 10 +0.00 Unknown -
First Step 12 -0.01 Low Growth 18
Mid-Range Shooting 12 -0.03 Low Growth 19
Quickness 9 -0.08 Low Growth 19
Athleticism 10 -0.08 Low Growth 19
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