Jalen Humphrey

Miami Cyclones · Roll-and-Cut Big / Anchor Big

College:
· El Paso, Texas

Gritty rim-protecting center

A rotation center averaging 7.5 PPG, 11.1 RPG, 1.2 APG. Excels in basketball IQ (20 rating, 100th pctl), help defense (19 rating, 99th pctl) and post defense (19 rating, 99th pctl). Limited by shoot off dribble (1 rating, 2nd pctl) and playmaking (1 rating, 2nd pctl).

Impact

Future

4.5

3.0

Age

$23.0M

Salary

3.381

Bal WV

Skill Badges

(7)

O Glass Cleaner (S) O Floater Game (B) O Post Hub (B) D Paint Wall (S) D Rim Eraser (S) D Help Defender (B) D Charge Taker (B)

NBA Comparison

Rudy Gobert

2024-25

79%

Style

79%

Level

7'1" · 258lbs

11.0/11.0/1.5 (PPG/RPG/APG)

Rim protector Rebounder

Alt comp

Dereck Lively II

2024-25 · 76%

2050 Projection

Peak Ridge: 11.4

Stage: Declining

Peak Age: 32 (past peak)

Future Value: 36

Stat	Value	Pctl
Per Game
PPG	7.5	42
RPG	11.1	98
APG	1.2	38
SPG	0.5	41
BPG	2.2	97
MPG	29.8	74
Shooting
FG%	0.547	85
3P%	-	16
FT%	0.701	17
TS%	0.579	51
Impact
Impact	48	45
Off Impact	37	12
Def Impact	58	78
Advanced
Player Efficiency Rating	12.4	29
WS	4.9	76
Box Score Impact	-1.1	33
Value Over Replacement	0.6	52
Positional BSI	-1.14	+0.04

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths

Post Defense 19 (coef=0.0333)

Defensive Rebounding 19 (coef=0.0226)

Offensive Rebounding 19 (coef=0.0160)

Rim Protection 17 (coef=0.0168)

Inside Shooting 18 (coef=0.0155)

Weaknesses

On-Ball Perimeter Defense 1 (coef=0.0330)

3PT Shooting 9 (coef=0.0196)

Spacing 3 (coef=0.0196)

Passing 9 (coef=0.0156)

Shoot Off Dribble 1 (coef=0.0134)

Expected vs Actual Production

Stat	Actual	Expected	Delta
PPG	7.5	13.0	-5.5
RPG	11.1	9.5	+1.6
APG	1.2	1.7	-0.5
SPG	0.5	0.7	-0.2
BPG	2.2	1.6	+0.6
TPG	-	1.4
FG%	0.547	0.5	+0.0
3P%	0.0	0.3	-0.3
FT%	0.701	0.4	+0.3

Play Style

Driving Frequency

7:93%

Positional Fit

Guard 40%

Wing 40%

Big 90%

Player Impact Breakdown

Average score driven by modest On-Court Impact. Defense is the primary value driver.

48 / 100 #260 of 435

On-Court Impact — 60% weight -0.47z

On-Court Impact -1.10 (Off -1.31, Def +0.20)

Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight +0.30z

Win Model Score: 3.3639

Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.00z

Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)

Offense

#390

Defense

#105

Confidence

100%

2447 min

Position Model (C)

Predicted Positional BSI: -1.14 Actual: -1.1 +0.04

Performing in line with C model predictions

Future Value

Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.

36 / 100 #464 of 450

Cumulative Wins — 50% weight 40

Peak Ceiling — 20% weight 40

Contract Surplus — 30% weight 27

Future Value below current Impact (48) — may be approaching decline

League Percentile Profile

PPG

TS%

BPM

WS/48

RAPM

USG%

PA/100

BCI

Shot Quality

PA/100

+2.05

Points Added

+10.8

Selection

0.945

FGA

528

Zone Breakdown

Rim

53.5%

353 FGA (67%)

Short Midrange

35.8%

159 FGA (30%)

Above Break Three

0.0%

1 FGA (0%)

Long Midrange

60.0%

10 FGA (2%)

Other

60.0%

5 FGA (1%)

Creation & Scoring Load

Box Creation

3.25

Load Tier

Average

Eff Delta

+0.5%

USG%

11.5%

Tendencies

Salary

$23.0M

Years Left

Expiry

2051

Option

None

Status

Trade Value

0.395

Contract Breakdown

Season	Salary	Notes
2050-51	$23,000,000

Win Model Development

Win Model Score

3.364

Expected WM

3.591

Dev Residual

-0.2267

Peak Age

Peak Win Model

3.312

PA Tier

Medium

Upside Gap

-1.5

Dev Status

Behind Curve

Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

	Player	Team	Age	CA	Similarity	Archetype
A	Al-Amir Geyen	New Orleans Hurricanes	24	4.0	98.6%	Roll-and-Cut Big / Anchor Big
T	TreDarius Love	Los Angeles Fireballs	24	4.5	98.6%	Roll-and-Cut Big / Anchor Big
X	Xavier Pierce	Pittsburgh Vipers	32	3.0	98.6%	Roll-and-Cut Big / Mobile Big
T	Taron Crosswell	Houston Lightning	0	3.0	98.4%	Roll-and-Cut Big / Mobile Big
R	Raheem Barkley	Las Vegas Scorpions	25	5.0	98.2%	Post Bully / Mobile Big

Predicted Archetype

Offensive

Defensive

Win Value Development

Stage

Declining

Peak Age

Peak Win Value

11.4

Years to Peak

-2

Current Win Value

11.3

Confidence

HIGH

Win Value Trajectory

Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)

Current WV

2.596

Projected Peak WV

2.609

Peak Age

Years to Peak

WV Growth

+0.013

Rating Trainability

Rating	Current	Growth/yr	Class	Peak Age
Foul Drawing	17	+1.23	High Growth	31
Help Defense	19	+0.66	High Growth	27
Off-Ball Defense	7	+0.55	High Growth	28
Ball Dominance	17	+0.55	High Growth	28
Gravity	5	+0.52	High Growth	29
Spacing	3	+0.45	High Growth	18
Post Execution	16	+0.40	High Growth	29
Playmaking	1	+0.40	High Growth	29
Stealing	12	+0.38	High Growth	19
Finishing	8	+0.37	High Growth	27
Defensive Rebounding	19	+0.37	High Growth	18
Offensive Rebounding	19	+0.36	High Growth	18
Strength	15	+0.35	High Growth	18
Pick & Roll Execution	12	+0.34	High Growth	18
Passing	9	+0.33	High Growth	18
Self-Creation	8	+0.32	High Growth	19
Isolation Execution	10	+0.32	High Growth	18
3PT Shooting	9	+0.31	High Growth	19
Ball Handling	6	+0.30	High Growth	19
On-Ball Perimeter Defense	1	+0.30	High Growth	18
Shoot Off Dribble	1	+0.28	Moderate Growth	18
Rim Protection	17	+0.26	Moderate Growth	18
Inside Shooting	18	+0.25	Moderate Growth	18
Post Defense	19	+0.17	Moderate Growth	18
Basketball IQ	20	+0.07	Low Growth	19
Endurance	5	+0.05	Low Growth	20
Speed	5	+0.01	Low Growth	18
Free Throws	11	+0.00	Unknown	-
First Step	6	-0.01	Low Growth	18
Mid-Range Shooting	14	-0.03	Low Growth	19
Quickness	6	-0.08	Low Growth	19
Athleticism	14	-0.08	Low Growth	19

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