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Laurynas Linartas

Laurynas Linartas

PG

Atlanta Devils · Shot Creator / Wing Stopper

Kupiškis, Lithuania

Polished 3-and-d guard

A fringe scoring point guard averaging 16.6 PPG, 4.7 RPG, 4.2 APG. Excels in ball dominance (19 rating, 99th pctl), foul drawing (19 rating, 98th pctl) and self-creation (19 rating, 98th pctl). Limited by strength (4 rating, 11th pctl) and quickness (8 rating, 16th pctl).

29
Impact
57
Future
4.5
CA
4.0
PA
21
Age
$6.2M
Salary
3.550
Bal WV

Skill Badges

(4)
O Ankle Breaker (B) O Shot Creator (B) O Floater Game (B) D Interceptor (B)
Jalen Green
NBA Comparison
Jalen Green
2024-25
77%
Style
77%
Level
6'4" · 186lbs
21.0/4.6/3.4 (PPG/RPG/APG)
Alt comp
Malik Monk
2024-25 · 68%
2050 Projection
Peak Ridge: 15.8
Stage: Developing
Peak Age: 29 (5yr away)
Future Value: 57
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG 16.6 86
RPG 4.7 70
APG 4.2 83
SPG 1.2 72
BPG 0.2 43
MPG 31.8 85
Shooting
FG% 0.386 10
3P% 0.228 21
FT% 0.818 48
TS% 0.498 8
Impact
Impact 29 6
Off Impact 28 4
Def Impact 47 39
Advanced
Player Efficiency Rating - 12
WS -1.3 1
Box Score Impact -2.8 18
Value Over Replacement -0.5 9
Positional BSI -0.90 -1.90

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
Spacing 16 (coef=0.0196)
Ball Dominance 19 (coef=0.0152)
Passing 17 (coef=0.0156)
Stealing 18 (coef=0.0145)
Foul Drawing 19 (coef=0.0102)
Weaknesses
Post Defense 5 (coef=0.0333)
3PT Shooting 12 (coef=0.0196)
Playmaking 9 (coef=0.0101)
Endurance 8 (coef=0.0098)
Post Execution 2 (coef=0.0074)

Expected vs Actual Production

Stat Actual Expected Delta
PPG 16.6 17.4 -0.8
RPG 4.7 5.6 -0.9
APG 4.2 4.9 -0.7
SPG 1.2 1.5 -0.3
BPG 0.2 0.8 -0.6
TPG - 1.9
FG% 0.386 0.5 -0.1
3P% 0.228 0.3 -0.1
FT% 0.818 0.5 +0.4

Play Style

Driving Frequency
69:31%

Positional Fit

Guard 80%
Wing 90%
Big 70%

Player Impact Breakdown

Replacement-level score driven by weak On-Court Impact. Underperforms what his visible ratings predict. Defense is the primary value driver.

29 / 100 #415 of 435
On-Court Impact — 60% weight -1.83z
On-Court Impact -4.49 (Off -4.29, Def -0.20)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight +0.06z
Win Model Score: 3.5328
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.00z
Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
28
#422
Defense
47
#290
Confidence
100%
2532 min
Position Model (SF)
Predicted Positional BSI: -0.90 Actual: -2.8 -1.90
Significantly underperforming SF model predictions

Future Value

Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.

57 / 100 #123 of 450
Cumulative Wins — 50% weight 59
Peak Ceiling — 20% weight 58
Contract Surplus — 30% weight 53
Future Value significantly exceeds current Impact (29) — buy-low candidate with major upside

League Percentile Profile

PPG
82
TS%
3
BPM
15
WS/48
1
RAPM
4
USG%
93
PA/100
9
BCI
61

Shot Quality

PA/100
-12.26
Points Added
-171.9
Selection
0.931
FGA
1403
Zone Breakdown
Rim
46.6%
502 FGA (36%)
Long Midrange
36.4%
176 FGA (12%)
Above Break Three
24.0%
434 FGA (31%)
Short Midrange
38.8%
291 FGA (21%)

Creation & Scoring Load

Box Creation
10.72
Load Tier
Poor
Eff Delta
-8.0%
USG%
28.3%
Tendencies
Salary
$6.2M
Years Left
1
Expiry
2051
Option
None
Status
-
Trade Value
0.356

Contract Breakdown

Season Salary Notes
2050-51 $6,250,000 Atlanta Devils exercised option

Win Model Development

Win Model Score
3.533
Expected WM
3.120
Dev Residual
+0.4124
Peak Age
30
Peak Win Model
4.292
PA Tier
High
Upside Gap
-0.5
Dev Status
Ahead of Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
F
Fabio Tinto Salt Lake City Saints 21 3.5 98.0% Secondary Creator / Point Of Attack
C
CJ LaCruz Philadelphia Warriors 24 4.5 97.6% Shot Creator / Point Of Attack
K
Kostas Zonas Vancouver Wolves 29 5.0 97.5% Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper
J
Josiah Peters New York Renegades 23 4.0 97.5% Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper
J
Jacob Nazarian Cincinnati Kings 28 4.5 97.2% Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive

Win Value Development

Stage
Developing
Peak Age
29
Peak Win Value
15.8
Years to Peak
5
Current Win Value
13.1
Confidence
LOW

Win Value Trajectory

Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)

Current WV
2.654
Projected Peak WV
3.216
Peak Age
29
Years to Peak
8
WV Growth
+0.562

Rating Trainability

Rating Current Growth/yr Class Peak Age
Foul Drawing 19 +1.23 High Growth 31
Help Defense 16 +0.66 High Growth 27
Off-Ball Defense 16 +0.55 High Growth 28
Ball Dominance 19 +0.55 High Growth 28
Gravity 10 +0.52 High Growth 29
Spacing 16 +0.45 High Growth 18
Post Execution 2 +0.40 High Growth 29
Playmaking 9 +0.40 High Growth 29
Stealing 18 +0.38 High Growth 19
Finishing 12 +0.37 High Growth 27
Defensive Rebounding 14 +0.37 High Growth 18
Offensive Rebounding 13 +0.36 High Growth 18
Strength 4 +0.35 High Growth 18
Pick & Roll Execution 9 +0.34 High Growth 18
Passing 17 +0.33 High Growth 18
Self-Creation 19 +0.32 High Growth 19
Isolation Execution 9 +0.32 High Growth 18
3PT Shooting 12 +0.31 High Growth 19
Ball Handling 19 +0.30 High Growth 19
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 14 +0.30 High Growth 18
Shoot Off Dribble 13 +0.28 Moderate Growth 18
Rim Protection 9 +0.26 Moderate Growth 18
Inside Shooting 16 +0.25 Moderate Growth 18
Post Defense 5 +0.17 Moderate Growth 18
Basketball IQ 16 +0.07 Low Growth 19
Endurance 8 +0.05 Low Growth 20
Speed 17 +0.01 Low Growth 18
Free Throws 15 +0.00 Unknown -
First Step 15 -0.01 Low Growth 18
Mid-Range Shooting 16 -0.03 Low Growth 19
Quickness 8 -0.08 Low Growth 19
Athleticism 12 -0.08 Low Growth 19
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