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Orkun Ozcan

Orkun Ozcan

PG

Vancouver Wolves · Shot Creator / Point Of Attack

Bursa

Crafty shoot-and-defend guard

A star-level two-way point guard averaging 18.5 PPG, 2.7 RPG, 7.2 APG. Excels in finishing (20 rating, 100th pctl), passing (20 rating, 100th pctl) and help defense (19 rating, 99th pctl). Limited by mid-range shooting (6 rating, 12th pctl) and basketball IQ (10 rating, 13th pctl).

59
Impact
49
Future
4.0
CA
2.5
PA
29
Age
$25.8M
Salary
3.456
Bal WV

Skill Badges

(14)
O Slasher (S) O Iso Scorer (S) O Posterizer (S) O Lob Threat (S) O Gravity Generator (S) O Sniper (S) O Ankle Breaker (S) O Floor General (B) O Shot Creator (B) O Floater Game (B) O Speed Demon (B) D Clamps (S) D Help Defender (B) D Pick Dodger (B)
Darius Garland
NBA Comparison
Darius Garland
2024-25
87%
Style
87%
Level
6'1" · 192lbs
20.6/2.9/6.7 (PPG/RPG/APG)
3PT specialist Ball handler
Alt comp
Jalen Brunson
2024-25 · 82%
2050 Projection
Peak Ridge: 13.2
Stage: Prime
Peak Age: 29 (1yr away)
Future Value: 49
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG 18.5 92
RPG 2.7 40
APG 7.2 96
SPG 1.3 76
BPG 0.1 33
MPG 33.2 94
Shooting
FG% 0.458 45
3P% 0.385 67
FT% 0.848 63
TS% 0.578 50
Impact
Impact 59 78
Off Impact 63 89
Def Impact 52 66
Advanced
Player Efficiency Rating 17.1 78
WS 7.8 93
Box Score Impact 2.1 74
Value Over Replacement 2.8 88
Positional BSI 0.17 +1.93

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 19 (coef=0.0330)
3PT Shooting 18 (coef=0.0196)
Spacing 16 (coef=0.0196)
Passing 20 (coef=0.0156)
Inside Shooting 18 (coef=0.0155)
Weaknesses
Post Defense 5 (coef=0.0333)
Defensive Rebounding 8 (coef=0.0226)
Rim Protection 3 (coef=0.0168)
Offensive Rebounding 6 (coef=0.0160)
Stealing 7 (coef=0.0145)

Expected vs Actual Production

Stat Actual Expected Delta
PPG 18.5 18.7 -0.2
RPG 2.7 4.2 -1.5
APG 7.2 5.8 +1.4
SPG 1.3 1.1 +0.2
BPG 0.1 0.6 -0.5
TPG - 1.9
FG% 0.458 0.5 -0.0
3P% 0.385 0.4 +0.0
FT% 0.848 0.5 +0.4

Play Style

Driving Frequency
40:60%

Positional Fit

Guard 90%
Wing 90%
Big 80%

Player Impact Breakdown

Solid starter score driven by strong On-Court Impact.

59 / 100 #106 of 435
On-Court Impact — 60% weight +0.86z
On-Court Impact +2.17 (Off +0.61, Def +1.56)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight +0.12z
Win Model Score: 3.4387
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.00z
Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
63
#60
Defense
52
#179
Confidence
100%
2721 min
Position Model (PG)
Predicted Positional BSI: 0.17 Actual: 2.1 +1.93
Significantly outperforming PG model predictions

Future Value

Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.

49 / 100 #294 of 450
Cumulative Wins — 50% weight 60
Peak Ceiling — 20% weight 59
Contract Surplus — 30% weight 25
Future Value below current Impact (59) — may be approaching decline

League Percentile Profile

PPG
89
TS%
47
BPM
71
WS/48
79
RAPM
74
USG%
76
PA/100
71
BCI
87

Shot Quality

PA/100
+3.89
Points Added
+60.5
Selection
0.994
FGA
1556
Zone Breakdown
Above Break Three
37.5%
731 FGA (47%)
Long Midrange
34.7%
173 FGA (11%)
Short Midrange
39.6%
212 FGA (14%)
Rim
56.6%
440 FGA (28%)

Creation & Scoring Load

Box Creation
19.18
Load Tier
Average
Eff Delta
+0.1%
USG%
22.8%
Tendencies
Salary
$25.8M
Years Left
2
Expiry
2052
Option
None
Status
-
Trade Value
0.457

Contract Breakdown

Season Salary Notes
2050-51 $25,750,000
2051-52 $25,750,000
Total Owed $51,500,000

Win Model Development

Win Model Score
3.439
Expected WM
3.435
Dev Residual
+0.0039
Peak Age
30
Peak Win Model
3.487
PA Tier
Low
Upside Gap
-1.5
Dev Status
On Track
Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
A
Albe DeCicco Austin Rockets 23 3.0 98.4% Shot Creator / Point Of Attack
M
Malik Jefferson Toronto Huskies 21 4.0 98.2% Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper
O
Omari Swift Baltimore Bullets 21 3.5 98.2% Shot Creator / Point Of Attack
D
Devonte Bell Chicago Jailbirds 24 5.0 98.0% Primary Ballhandler / Point Of Attack
L
Luis Oliveira Oklahoma City Barons 24 4.0 97.9% Primary Ballhandler / Point Of Attack

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive

Win Value Development

Stage
Prime
Peak Age
29
Peak Win Value
13.2
Years to Peak
1
Current Win Value
13.2
Confidence
MEDIUM

Win Value Trajectory

Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)

Current WV
2.635
Projected Peak WV
2.635
Peak Age
29
Years to Peak
0
WV Growth
+0.000

Rating Trainability

Rating Current Growth/yr Class Peak Age
Foul Drawing 12 +1.23 High Growth 31
Help Defense 19 +0.66 High Growth 27
Off-Ball Defense 17 +0.55 High Growth 28
Ball Dominance 17 +0.55 High Growth 28
Gravity 18 +0.52 High Growth 29
Spacing 16 +0.45 High Growth 18
Post Execution 3 +0.40 High Growth 29
Playmaking 18 +0.40 High Growth 29
Stealing 7 +0.38 High Growth 19
Finishing 20 +0.37 High Growth 27
Defensive Rebounding 8 +0.37 High Growth 18
Offensive Rebounding 6 +0.36 High Growth 18
Strength 15 +0.35 High Growth 18
Pick & Roll Execution 15 +0.34 High Growth 18
Passing 20 +0.33 High Growth 18
Self-Creation 17 +0.32 High Growth 19
Isolation Execution 19 +0.32 High Growth 18
3PT Shooting 18 +0.31 High Growth 19
Ball Handling 17 +0.30 High Growth 19
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 19 +0.30 High Growth 18
Shoot Off Dribble 18 +0.28 Moderate Growth 18
Rim Protection 3 +0.26 Moderate Growth 18
Inside Shooting 18 +0.25 Moderate Growth 18
Post Defense 5 +0.17 Moderate Growth 18
Basketball IQ 10 +0.07 Low Growth 19
Endurance 12 +0.05 Low Growth 20
Speed 11 +0.01 Low Growth 18
Free Throws 17 +0.00 Unknown -
First Step 17 -0.01 Low Growth 18
Mid-Range Shooting 6 -0.03 Low Growth 19
Quickness 18 -0.08 Low Growth 19
Athleticism 18 -0.08 Low Growth 19
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