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Malik Jefferson

Malik Jefferson

SG

Toronto Huskies · Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper

College: Duke · Washington, D.C.

Inventive 3-and-d wing

A fringe shooting guard averaging 15.8 PPG, 3.4 RPG, 3.5 APG. Excels in shoot off dribble (19 rating, 100th pctl), perimeter defense (19 rating, 99th pctl) and gravity (19 rating, 99th pctl). Limited by defensive rebounding (5 rating, 10th pctl) and strength (4 rating, 11th pctl).

31
Impact
56
Future
4.0
CA
3.0
PA
21
Age
$3.5M
Salary
3.452
Bal WV

Skill Badges

(7)
O Gravity Generator (S) O Pull-Up Threat (B) O Iso Scorer (B) O Shot Creator (B) O Sniper (B) O Lob Threat (B) D Interceptor (B)
Jaylen Brown
NBA Comparison
Jaylen Brown
2024-25
79%
Style
79%
Level
6'6" · 223lbs
22.2/5.8/4.5 (PPG/RPG/APG)
3PT specialist Lockdown defender
Alt comp
Paul George
2023-24 · 78%
2050 Projection
Peak Ridge: 15.6
Stage: Developing
Peak Age: 29 (9yr away)
Future Value: 56
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG 15.8 83
RPG 3.4 52
APG 3.5 76
SPG 1.9 98
BPG 0.3 48
MPG 31.8 85
Shooting
FG% 0.43 27
3P% 0.378 64
FT% 0.791 40
TS% 0.554 34
Impact
Impact 31 8
Off Impact 43 26
Def Impact 26 2
Advanced
Player Efficiency Rating 14.4 50
WS 2.2 42
Box Score Impact -0.8 37
Value Over Replacement 0.8 57
Positional BSI 0.22 -1.02

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 19 (coef=0.0330)
3PT Shooting 16 (coef=0.0196)
Spacing 14 (coef=0.0196)
Passing 17 (coef=0.0156)
Inside Shooting 17 (coef=0.0155)
Weaknesses
Post Defense 5 (coef=0.0333)
Defensive Rebounding 5 (coef=0.0226)
Rim Protection 2 (coef=0.0168)
Offensive Rebounding 9 (coef=0.0160)
Basketball IQ 13 (coef=0.0078)

Expected vs Actual Production

Stat Actual Expected Delta
PPG 15.8 17.6 -1.8
RPG 3.4 3.6 -0.2
APG 3.5 4.8 -1.3
SPG 1.9 1.5 +0.4
BPG 0.3 0.5 -0.2
TPG - 1.9
FG% 0.43 0.5 -0.0
3P% 0.378 0.4 +0.0
FT% 0.791 0.5 +0.3

Play Style

Driving Frequency
69:31%

Positional Fit

Guard 80%
Wing 80%
Big 70%

Player Impact Breakdown

Below-average score driven by weak On-Court Impact. Offense is the primary value driver.

31 / 100 #407 of 435
On-Court Impact — 60% weight -1.58z
On-Court Impact -3.86 (Off -1.74, Def -2.12)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight +0.05z
Win Model Score: 3.4358
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.00z
Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
43
#339
Defense
26
#429
Confidence
100%
2547 min
Position Model (SG)
Predicted Positional BSI: 0.22 Actual: -0.8 -1.02
Significantly underperforming SG model predictions

Future Value

Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.

56 / 100 #164 of 450
Cumulative Wins — 50% weight 57
Peak Ceiling — 20% weight 56
Contract Surplus — 30% weight 56
Future Value significantly exceeds current Impact (31) — buy-low candidate with major upside

League Percentile Profile

PPG
79
TS%
30
BPM
35
WS/48
12
RAPM
8
USG%
75
PA/100
24
BCI
50

Shot Quality

PA/100
-5.86
Points Added
-66.3
Selection
1.008
FGA
1131
Zone Breakdown
Above Break Three
37.7%
488 FGA (43%)
Rim
45.8%
421 FGA (37%)
Short Midrange
29.0%
183 FGA (16%)
Long Midrange
36.8%
38 FGA (3%)
Other
100.0%
1 FGA (0%)

Creation & Scoring Load

Box Creation
9.10
Load Tier
Below Average
Eff Delta
-2.3%
USG%
22.6%
Tendencies
Salary
$3.5M
Years Left
1
Expiry
2051
Option
None
Status
-
Trade Value
0.352

Contract Breakdown

Season Salary Notes
2050-51 $3,550,000 Toronto Huskies exercised option

Win Model Development

Win Model Score
3.436
Expected WM
3.206
Dev Residual
+0.2295
Peak Age
33
Peak Win Model
3.947
PA Tier
Medium
Upside Gap
-1.0
Dev Status
Ahead of Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
D
Darius Blackwell New Orleans Hurricanes 21 4.0 98.2% Primary Ballhandler / Point Of Attack
N
Nico Gillespie Mexico City Jaguars 30 4.0 97.9% Shot Creator / Point Of Attack
M
Martynas Rutkauskas Charlotte Drones 23 3.0 97.6% Secondary Creator / Chaser
D
Denzel Cruz Dallas Predators 21 4.0 97.5% Slasher / Chaser
M
Marcus Pendleton Oakland Tritons 21 3.0 97.3% Secondary Creator / Chaser

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive

Win Value Development

Stage
Developing
Peak Age
29
Peak Win Value
15.6
Years to Peak
9
Current Win Value
12.9
Confidence
HIGH

Win Value Trajectory

Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)

Current WV
2.428
Projected Peak WV
2.940
Peak Age
29
Years to Peak
8
WV Growth
+0.512

Rating Trainability

Rating Current Growth/yr Class Peak Age
Foul Drawing 16 +1.23 High Growth 31
Help Defense 11 +0.66 High Growth 27
Off-Ball Defense 17 +0.55 High Growth 28
Ball Dominance 15 +0.55 High Growth 28
Gravity 19 +0.52 High Growth 29
Spacing 14 +0.45 High Growth 18
Post Execution 5 +0.40 High Growth 29
Playmaking 13 +0.40 High Growth 29
Stealing 16 +0.38 High Growth 19
Finishing 14 +0.37 High Growth 27
Defensive Rebounding 5 +0.37 High Growth 18
Offensive Rebounding 9 +0.36 High Growth 18
Strength 4 +0.35 High Growth 18
Pick & Roll Execution 15 +0.34 High Growth 18
Passing 17 +0.33 High Growth 18
Self-Creation 15 +0.32 High Growth 19
Isolation Execution 16 +0.32 High Growth 18
3PT Shooting 16 +0.31 High Growth 19
Ball Handling 16 +0.30 High Growth 19
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 19 +0.30 High Growth 18
Shoot Off Dribble 19 +0.28 Moderate Growth 18
Rim Protection 2 +0.26 Moderate Growth 18
Inside Shooting 17 +0.25 Moderate Growth 18
Post Defense 5 +0.17 Moderate Growth 18
Basketball IQ 13 +0.07 Low Growth 19
Endurance 16 +0.05 Low Growth 20
Speed 9 +0.01 Low Growth 18
Free Throws 14 +0.00 Unknown -
First Step 15 -0.01 Low Growth 18
Mid-Range Shooting 12 -0.03 Low Growth 19
Quickness 10 -0.08 Low Growth 19
Athleticism 16 -0.08 Low Growth 19
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