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Reid Frahm

Reid Frahm

PG

Cincinnati Kings · Shot Creator / Point Of Attack

College: UC-Davis · San Marcos, California

Refined shoot-and-defend guard

A star-level point guard averaging 9.2 PPG, 1.4 RPG, 3.4 APG. Excels in isolation scoring (19 rating, 99th pctl), three-point shooting (19 rating, 99th pctl) and ball handling (19 rating, 98th pctl). Limited by post defense (2 rating, 15th pctl) and offensive rebounding (5 rating, 15th pctl).

58
Impact
55
Future
4.0
CA
2.5
PA
30
Age
$3.5M
Salary
3.200
Bal WV

Skill Badges

(12)
O Gravity Generator (S) O Sniper (S) O Ankle Breaker (S) O Catch & Shoot (S) O Iso Scorer (S) O Floor General (B) O Pop Threat (B) O Floater Game (B) O Speed Demon (B) O Pull-Up Threat (B) O Shot Creator (B) D Help Defender (S)
Darius Garland
NBA Comparison
Darius Garland
2024-25
88%
Style
88%
Level
6'1" · 192lbs
20.6/2.9/6.7 (PPG/RPG/APG)
Efficient scorer 3PT specialist Ball handler
Alt comp
Devin Booker
2024-25 · 70%
2050 Projection
Peak Ridge: 12.2
Stage: Prime
Peak Age: 30 (1yr away)
Future Value: 55
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG 9.2 54
RPG 1.4 19
APG 3.4 74
SPG 0.8 56
BPG - 15
MPG 15.9 33
Shooting
FG% 0.473 56
3P% 0.391 71
FT% 0.868 71
TS% 0.615 82
Impact
Impact 58 76
Off Impact 73 98
Def Impact 37 10
Advanced
Player Efficiency Rating 19.3 91
WS 5.0 77
Box Score Impact 3.3 86
Value Over Replacement 1.7 73
Positional BSI 1.55 +1.75

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
3PT Shooting 19 (coef=0.0196)
Spacing 17 (coef=0.0196)
Passing 19 (coef=0.0156)
Inside Shooting 19 (coef=0.0155)
Ball Dominance 14 (coef=0.0152)
Weaknesses
Post Defense 2 (coef=0.0333)
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 12 (coef=0.0330)
Defensive Rebounding 9 (coef=0.0226)
Rim Protection 4 (coef=0.0168)
Offensive Rebounding 5 (coef=0.0160)

Expected vs Actual Production

Stat Actual Expected Delta
PPG 9.2 7.0 +2.2
RPG 1.4 0.8 +0.6
APG 3.4 3.7 -0.3
SPG 0.8 0.6 +0.2
BPG 0.0 -0.1 +0.1
TPG - 0.8
FG% 0.473 0.5 +0.0
3P% 0.391 0.3 +0.0
FT% 0.868 0.5 +0.4

Play Style

Driving Frequency
76:24%

Positional Fit

Guard 80%
Wing 90%
Big 60%

Player Impact Breakdown

Solid starter score driven by strong On-Court Impact. On-court impact exceeds what ratings alone would predict. Offense is the primary value driver.

58 / 100 #117 of 435
On-Court Impact — 60% weight +1.12z
On-Court Impact +2.82 (Off +2.77, Def +0.09)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight -0.20z
Win Model Score: 3.1840
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.00z
Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
73
#14
Defense
37
#398
Confidence
92%
1300 min
Position Model (SG)
Predicted Positional BSI: 1.55 Actual: 3.3 +1.75
Significantly outperforming SG model predictions

Future Value

Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.

55 / 100 #165 of 450
Cumulative Wins — 50% weight 50
Peak Ceiling — 20% weight 49
Contract Surplus — 30% weight 68
Future Value in line with current Impact (58)

League Percentile Profile

PPG
42
TS%
84
BPM
84
WS/48
95
RAPM
96
USG%
77
PA/100
86
BCI
86

Shot Quality

PA/100
+8.87
Points Added
+66.8
Selection
1.000
FGA
754
Zone Breakdown
Rim
51.8%
251 FGA (33%)
Above Break Three
39.1%
402 FGA (53%)
Short Midrange
42.2%
83 FGA (11%)
Long Midrange
55.6%
18 FGA (2%)

Creation & Scoring Load

Box Creation
18.46
Load Tier
Elite
Eff Delta
+3.8%
USG%
23.0%
Tendencies
Salary
$3.5M
Years Left
2
Expiry
2052
Option
Team Option
Status
-
Trade Value
0.499

Contract Breakdown

Season Salary Notes
2050-51 $3,500,000 Re-signed with Cincinnati Kings
2051-52 $3,500,000
Total Owed $7,000,000

Win Model Development

Win Model Score
3.184
Expected WM
3.483
Dev Residual
-0.2993
Peak Age
30
Peak Win Model
3.184
PA Tier
Low
Upside Gap
-1.5
Dev Status
Behind Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
D
Devonne Goldwire Las Vegas Scorpions 24 4.5 98.1% Primary Ballhandler / Point Of Attack
D
Deshaunt Jordan Phoenix Vultures 33 4.0 97.8% Shot Creator / Point Of Attack
S
Sam Forbes Pittsburgh Vipers 0 2.5 97.6% Primary Ballhandler / Point Of Attack
D
Devonte Bell Chicago Jailbirds 24 5.0 97.3% Primary Ballhandler / Point Of Attack
K
Kenny Cokley Washington Pilots 30 4.5 97.2% Primary Ballhandler / Point Of Attack

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive

Win Value Development

Stage
Prime
Peak Age
30
Peak Win Value
12.2
Years to Peak
1
Current Win Value
12.2
Confidence
LOW

Win Value Trajectory

Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)

Current WV
2.321
Projected Peak WV
2.321
Peak Age
30
Years to Peak
0
WV Growth
+0.000

Rating Trainability

Rating Current Growth/yr Class Peak Age
Foul Drawing 18 +1.23 High Growth 31
Help Defense 18 +0.66 High Growth 27
Off-Ball Defense 17 +0.55 High Growth 28
Ball Dominance 14 +0.55 High Growth 28
Gravity 19 +0.52 High Growth 29
Spacing 17 +0.45 High Growth 18
Post Execution 2 +0.40 High Growth 29
Playmaking 15 +0.40 High Growth 29
Stealing 10 +0.38 High Growth 19
Finishing 13 +0.37 High Growth 27
Defensive Rebounding 9 +0.37 High Growth 18
Offensive Rebounding 5 +0.36 High Growth 18
Strength 15 +0.35 High Growth 18
Pick & Roll Execution 13 +0.34 High Growth 18
Passing 19 +0.33 High Growth 18
Self-Creation 15 +0.32 High Growth 19
Isolation Execution 19 +0.32 High Growth 18
3PT Shooting 19 +0.31 High Growth 19
Ball Handling 19 +0.30 High Growth 19
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 12 +0.30 High Growth 18
Shoot Off Dribble 15 +0.28 Moderate Growth 18
Rim Protection 4 +0.26 Moderate Growth 18
Inside Shooting 19 +0.25 Moderate Growth 18
Post Defense 2 +0.17 Moderate Growth 18
Basketball IQ 15 +0.07 Low Growth 19
Endurance 9 +0.05 Low Growth 20
Speed 16 +0.01 Low Growth 18
Free Throws 17 +0.00 Unknown -
First Step 10 -0.01 Low Growth 18
Mid-Range Shooting 17 -0.03 Low Growth 19
Quickness 18 -0.08 Low Growth 19
Athleticism 10 -0.08 Low Growth 19
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