Kenny Cokley

Washington Pilots · Primary Ballhandler / Point Of Attack

College: Northern Kentucky · Union, Kentucky

Smooth offense-first guard

A solid point guard averaging 15.6 PPG, 2.9 RPG, 6.7 APG. Excels in off-ball defense (20 rating, 100th pctl), isolation scoring (19 rating, 99th pctl) and ball dominance (19 rating, 99th pctl). Limited by post defense (2 rating, 15th pctl) and defensive rebounding (7 rating, 20th pctl).

Impact

Future

4.5

3.0

Age

$15.5M

Salary

3.496

Bal WV

Skill Badges

(13)

O Iso Scorer (S) O Gravity Generator (S) O Sniper (S) O Slasher (B) O Floater Game (B) O Ankle Breaker (B) O Catch & Shoot (B) O Speed Demon (B) O Shot Creator (B) O Pop Threat (B) O Floor General (B) O Pull-Up Threat (B) O Posterizer (B)

NBA Comparison

Darius Garland

2024-25

83%

Style

83%

Level

6'1" · 192lbs

20.6/2.9/6.7 (PPG/RPG/APG)

Ball handler

Alt comp

Dejounte Murray

2024-25 · 78%

2050 Projection

Peak Ridge: 13.3

Stage: Prime

Peak Age: 30 (past peak)

Future Value: 55

Stat	Value	Pctl
Per Game
PPG	15.6	81
RPG	2.9	44
APG	6.7	95
SPG	1.6	89
BPG	0.2	43
MPG	33.3	94
Shooting
FG%	0.46	46
3P%	0.36	55
FT%	0.878	77
TS%	0.578	50
Impact
Impact	57	73
Off Impact	57	74
Def Impact	54	70
Advanced
Player Efficiency Rating	16.5	71
WS	3.8	64
Box Score Impact	0.2	53
Value Over Replacement	1.0	63
Positional BSI	0.46	-0.26

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths

On-Ball Perimeter Defense 17 (coef=0.0330)

3PT Shooting 19 (coef=0.0196)

Inside Shooting 19 (coef=0.0155)

Ball Dominance 19 (coef=0.0152)

Passing 18 (coef=0.0156)

Weaknesses

Post Defense 2 (coef=0.0333)

Defensive Rebounding 7 (coef=0.0226)

Rim Protection 6 (coef=0.0168)

Stealing 10 (coef=0.0145)

Help Defense 12 (coef=0.0040)

Expected vs Actual Production

Stat	Actual	Expected	Delta
PPG	15.6	19.2	-3.6
RPG	2.9	4.0	-1.1
APG	6.7	5.3	+1.4
SPG	1.6	1.3	+0.3
BPG	0.2	0.6	-0.4
TPG	-	2.1
FG%	0.46	0.5	-0.0
3P%	0.36	0.4	-0.0
FT%	0.878	0.5	+0.4

Play Style

Driving Frequency

80:20%

Positional Fit

Guard 90%

Wing 90%

Big 60%

Player Impact Breakdown

Solid starter score driven by solid Win Model Score.

57 / 100 #125 of 435

On-Court Impact — 60% weight +0.28z

On-Court Impact +0.73 (Off -1.23, Def +2.02)

Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight +0.55z

Win Model Score: 3.4772

Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.00z

Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)

Offense

#122

Defense

#142

Confidence

98%

1734 min

Position Model (PG)

Predicted Positional BSI: 0.46 Actual: 0.2 -0.26

Performing in line with PG model predictions

Future Value

Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.

55 / 100 #185 of 450

Cumulative Wins — 50% weight 61

Peak Ceiling — 20% weight 60

Contract Surplus — 30% weight 44

Future Value in line with current Impact (57)

League Percentile Profile

PPG

TS%

BPM

WS/48

RAPM

USG%

PA/100

BCI

Shot Quality

PA/100

-3.35

Points Added

-23.1

Selection

0.978

FGA

690

Zone Breakdown

Above Break Three

35.9%

223 FGA (32%)

Long Midrange

40.4%

52 FGA (8%)

Rim

48.8%

281 FGA (41%)

Short Midrange

35.1%

131 FGA (19%)

Other

66.7%

3 FGA (0%)

Creation & Scoring Load

Box Creation

18.63

Load Tier

Average

Eff Delta

+0.2%

USG%

19.8%

Tendencies

Salary

$15.5M

Years Left

Expiry

2051

Option

None

Status

Trade Value

0.464

Contract Breakdown

Season	Salary	Notes
2050-51	$15,500,000

Win Model Development

Win Model Score

3.477

Expected WM

3.615

Dev Residual

-0.1382

Peak Age

Peak Win Model

3.477

PA Tier

Medium

Upside Gap

-1.5

Dev Status

Behind Curve

Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

	Player	Team	Age	CA	Similarity	Archetype
D	Devonte Bell	Chicago Jailbirds	24	5.0	99.0%	Primary Ballhandler / Point Of Attack
M	Mandela Osayande	Mexico City Jaguars	29	4.5	99.0%	Shot Creator / Point Of Attack
L	Luis Oliveira	Oklahoma City Barons	24	4.0	98.8%	Primary Ballhandler / Point Of Attack
D	Dantrell Blackman	Louisville Colonels	24	4.0	98.4%	Primary Ballhandler / Point Of Attack
M	Merlin Rooks	Toronto Huskies	20	3.0	98.4%	Primary Ballhandler / Point Of Attack

Predicted Archetype

Offensive

Defensive

Win Value Development

Stage

Prime

Peak Age

Peak Win Value

13.3

Years to Peak

Current Win Value

13.3

Confidence

HIGH

Win Value Trajectory

Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)

Current WV

2.569

Projected Peak WV

2.569

Peak Age

Years to Peak

WV Growth

+0.000

Rating Trainability

Rating	Current	Growth/yr	Class	Peak Age
Foul Drawing	17	+1.23	High Growth	31
Help Defense	12	+0.66	High Growth	27
Off-Ball Defense	20	+0.55	High Growth	28
Ball Dominance	19	+0.55	High Growth	28
Gravity	17	+0.52	High Growth	29
Spacing	13	+0.45	High Growth	18
Post Execution	5	+0.40	High Growth	29
Playmaking	14	+0.40	High Growth	29
Stealing	10	+0.38	High Growth	19
Finishing	17	+0.37	High Growth	27
Defensive Rebounding	7	+0.37	High Growth	18
Offensive Rebounding	12	+0.36	High Growth	18
Strength	12	+0.35	High Growth	18
Pick & Roll Execution	11	+0.34	High Growth	18
Passing	18	+0.33	High Growth	18
Self-Creation	17	+0.32	High Growth	19
Isolation Execution	19	+0.32	High Growth	18
3PT Shooting	19	+0.31	High Growth	19
Ball Handling	18	+0.30	High Growth	19
On-Ball Perimeter Defense	17	+0.30	High Growth	18
Shoot Off Dribble	17	+0.28	Moderate Growth	18
Rim Protection	6	+0.26	Moderate Growth	18
Inside Shooting	19	+0.25	Moderate Growth	18
Post Defense	2	+0.17	Moderate Growth	18
Basketball IQ	14	+0.07	Low Growth	19
Endurance	10	+0.05	Low Growth	20
Speed	19	+0.01	Low Growth	18
Free Throws	17	+0.00	Unknown	-
First Step	17	-0.01	Low Growth	18
Mid-Range Shooting	18	-0.03	Low Growth	19
Quickness	13	-0.08	Low Growth	19
Athleticism	15	-0.08	Low Growth	19

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