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Zavyean Murray

Zavyean Murray

SG

San Diego Calaveras · Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper

College: North Carolina · Lake Zurich, Illinois

Heady 3-and-d wing

A fringe shooting guard averaging 15.2 PPG, 3.1 RPG, 2.0 APG. Excels in stealing (19 rating, 99th pctl), gravity (18 rating, 92nd pctl) and 1.6 SPG (89th pctl). Limited by strength (3 rating, 7th pctl) and rim protection (1 rating, 7th pctl).

16
Impact
44
Future
3.5
CA
4.0
PA
20
Age
$3.9M
Salary
2.998
Bal WV

Skill Badges

(7)
O Gravity Generator (B) O Slasher (B) O Floater Game (B) O Speed Demon (B) O Lob Threat (B) D Interceptor (S) D Pick Dodger (B)
Jalen Green
NBA Comparison
Jalen Green
2024-25
80%
Style
80%
Level
6'4" · 186lbs
21.0/4.6/3.4 (PPG/RPG/APG)
3PT specialist
Alt comp
Donte DiVincenzo
2023-24 · 75%
2050 Projection
Peak Ridge: 14.6
Stage: Developing
Peak Age: 29 (6yr away)
Future Value: 44
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG 15.2 78
RPG 3.1 47
APG 2.0 54
SPG 1.6 89
BPG 0.2 43
MPG 30.3 77
Shooting
FG% 0.421 21
3P% 0.292 28
FT% 0.8 43
TS% 0.527 17
Impact
Impact 16 0
Off Impact 27 3
Def Impact 27 3
Advanced
Player Efficiency Rating 11.5 22
WS -1.6 0
Box Score Impact -4.7 6
Value Over Replacement -1.7 2
Positional BSI -2.77 -1.93

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 19 (coef=0.0330)
Spacing 16 (coef=0.0196)
Stealing 19 (coef=0.0145)
Foul Drawing 17 (coef=0.0102)
First Step 15 (coef=0.0112)
Weaknesses
Post Defense 2 (coef=0.0333)
Defensive Rebounding 6 (coef=0.0226)
3PT Shooting 13 (coef=0.0196)
Rim Protection 1 (coef=0.0168)
Offensive Rebounding 9 (coef=0.0160)

Expected vs Actual Production

Stat Actual Expected Delta
PPG 15.2 17.0 -1.8
RPG 3.1 3.2 -0.1
APG 2.0 3.1 -1.1
SPG 1.6 1.6 +0.0
BPG 0.2 0.4 -0.2
TPG - 1.9
FG% 0.421 0.5 -0.1
3P% 0.292 0.3 -0.0
FT% 0.8 0.5 +0.3

Play Style

Driving Frequency
77:23%

Positional Fit

Guard 70%
Wing 80%
Big 70%

Player Impact Breakdown

Replacement-level score driven by weak On-Court Impact. Underperforms what his visible ratings predict.

16 / 100 #435 of 435
On-Court Impact — 60% weight -2.01z
On-Court Impact -4.91 (Off -3.17, Def -1.74)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight -1.36z
Win Model Score: 2.9834
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.00z
Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
27
#425
Defense
27
#427
Confidence
100%
2484 min
Position Model (SF)
Predicted Positional BSI: -2.77 Actual: -4.7 -1.93
Significantly underperforming SF model predictions

Future Value

Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.

44 / 100 #381 of 450
Cumulative Wins — 50% weight 43
Peak Ceiling — 20% weight 42
Contract Surplus — 30% weight 49
Future Value significantly exceeds current Impact (16) — buy-low candidate with major upside

League Percentile Profile

PPG
73
TS%
12
BPM
4
WS/48
1
RAPM
2
USG%
78
PA/100
9
BCI
27

Shot Quality

PA/100
-11.98
Points Added
-140.4
Selection
1.026
FGA
1172
Zone Breakdown
Short Midrange
32.0%
147 FGA (12%)
Long Midrange
42.3%
71 FGA (6%)
Above Break Three
29.0%
518 FGA (44%)
Rim
52.5%
436 FGA (37%)

Creation & Scoring Load

Box Creation
5.33
Load Tier
Poor
Eff Delta
-5.0%
USG%
23.2%
Tendencies
Salary
$3.9M
Years Left
1
Expiry
2051
Option
Team Option
Status
-
Trade Value
0.257

Contract Breakdown

Season Salary Notes
2050-51 $3,850,000

Win Model Development

Win Model Score
2.983
Expected WM
3.235
Dev Residual
-0.2518
Peak Age
33
Peak Win Model
3.651
PA Tier
High
Upside Gap
0.5
Dev Status
Behind Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
Q
Quintin Tomlinson Baltimore Bullets 24 4.0 97.5% Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper
D
Darius Blackwell New Orleans Hurricanes 21 4.0 97.3% Primary Ballhandler / Point Of Attack
M
Martynas Rutkauskas Charlotte Drones 23 3.0 96.9% Secondary Creator / Chaser
I
Isaiah Harris Kansas City Knights 23 3.5 96.7% Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper
A
Anthony Beamer Miami Cyclones 24 4.0 96.6% Shot Creator / Point Of Attack

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive

Win Value Development

Stage
Developing
Peak Age
29
Peak Win Value
14.6
Years to Peak
6
Current Win Value
11.3
Confidence
LOW

Win Value Trajectory

Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)

Current WV
2.112
Projected Peak WV
2.720
Peak Age
29
Years to Peak
9
WV Growth
+0.608

Rating Trainability

Rating Current Growth/yr Class Peak Age
Foul Drawing 17 +1.23 High Growth 31
Help Defense 9 +0.66 High Growth 27
Off-Ball Defense 17 +0.55 High Growth 28
Ball Dominance 13 +0.55 High Growth 28
Gravity 18 +0.52 High Growth 29
Spacing 16 +0.45 High Growth 18
Post Execution 3 +0.40 High Growth 29
Playmaking 10 +0.40 High Growth 29
Stealing 19 +0.38 High Growth 19
Finishing 17 +0.37 High Growth 27
Defensive Rebounding 6 +0.37 High Growth 18
Offensive Rebounding 9 +0.36 High Growth 18
Strength 3 +0.35 High Growth 18
Pick & Roll Execution 13 +0.34 High Growth 18
Passing 8 +0.33 High Growth 18
Self-Creation 17 +0.32 High Growth 19
Isolation Execution 8 +0.32 High Growth 18
3PT Shooting 13 +0.31 High Growth 19
Ball Handling 7 +0.30 High Growth 19
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 19 +0.30 High Growth 18
Shoot Off Dribble 12 +0.28 Moderate Growth 18
Rim Protection 1 +0.26 Moderate Growth 18
Inside Shooting 15 +0.25 Moderate Growth 18
Post Defense 2 +0.17 Moderate Growth 18
Basketball IQ 15 +0.07 Low Growth 19
Endurance 12 +0.05 Low Growth 20
Speed 15 +0.01 Low Growth 18
Free Throws 14 +0.00 Unknown -
First Step 15 -0.01 Low Growth 18
Mid-Range Shooting 9 -0.03 Low Growth 19
Quickness 16 -0.08 Low Growth 19
Athleticism 15 -0.08 Low Growth 19
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