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Andy Nasalo

Andy Nasalo

PF

Charlotte Drones · Post Bully / Mobile Big

College: Northern Colorado · Pottsville, Australia

Tough paint-anchoring forward

A rotation power forward averaging 1.9 PPG, 1.8 RPG, 0.5 APG. Excels in post defense (17 rating, 87th pctl), defensive rebounding (16 rating, 75th pctl) and post execution (12 rating, 73rd pctl). Limited by off-ball defense (4 rating, 3rd pctl) and athleticism (5 rating, 5th pctl).

44
Impact
32
Future
3.0
CA
2.5
PA
23
Age
$1.8M
Salary
2.964
Bal WV

Skill Badges

(1)
O Glass Cleaner (B)
Aaron Gordon
NBA Comparison
Budget Aaron Gordon
2024-25
64%
Style
64%
Level
6'8" · 235lbs
12.5/6.0/3.0 (PPG/RPG/APG)
Alt comp
Dereck Lively II
2024-25 · 66%
2050 Projection
Peak Ridge: 11.4
Stage: Developing
Peak Age: 29 (4yr away)
Future Value: 32
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG 1.9 8
RPG 1.8 27
APG 0.5 14
SPG 0.1 10
BPG 0.4 51
MPG 7.9 13
Shooting
FG% 0.395 12
3P% - 16
FT% 0.667 13
TS% 0.435 4
Impact
Impact 44 28
Off Impact 42 22
Def Impact 49 49
Advanced
Player Efficiency Rating 9.2 15
WS - 9
Box Score Impact -3.6 12
Value Over Replacement -0.1 21
Positional BSI -1.47 -2.13

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
Post Defense 17 (coef=0.0333)
Defensive Rebounding 16 (coef=0.0226)
Offensive Rebounding 15 (coef=0.0160)
Rim Protection 14 (coef=0.0168)
First Step 14 (coef=0.0112)
Weaknesses
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 2 (coef=0.0330)
3PT Shooting 9 (coef=0.0196)
Spacing 2 (coef=0.0196)
Passing 10 (coef=0.0156)
Inside Shooting 14 (coef=0.0155)

Expected vs Actual Production

Stat Actual Expected Delta
PPG 1.9 -1.1 +3.0
RPG 1.8 4.0 -2.2
APG 0.5 -0.7 +1.2
SPG 0.1 -0.4 +0.5
BPG 0.4 0.8 -0.4
TPG - -0.1
FG% 0.395 0.5 -0.1
3P% 0.0 0.2 -0.2
FT% 0.667 0.4 +0.2

Play Style

Driving Frequency
91:9%

Positional Fit

Guard 30%
Wing 40%
Big 80%

Player Impact Breakdown

Limited to 172 min — score regressed toward league average.

44 / 100 #329 of 435
On-Court Impact — 60% weight -1.32z
On-Court Impact -3.22 (Off -2.88, Def -0.35)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight -1.17z
Win Model Score: 2.9527
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.00z
Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
42
#354
Defense
49
#247
Confidence
27%
172 min
Position Model (C)
Predicted Positional BSI: -1.47 Actual: -3.6 -2.13
Significantly underperforming C model predictions

Future Value

Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.

32 / 100 #487 of 450
Cumulative Wins — 50% weight 27
Peak Ceiling — 20% weight 26
Contract Surplus — 30% weight 45
Future Value below current Impact (44) — may be approaching decline

Shot Quality

PA/100
-21.58
Points Added
-10.1
Selection
0.939
FGA
47
Zone Breakdown
Short Midrange
33.3%
12 FGA (26%)
Rim
44.8%
29 FGA (62%)
Long Midrange
0.0%
3 FGA (6%)
Above Break Three
0.0%
2 FGA (4%)
Other
0.0%
1 FGA (2%)
Tendencies
Salary
$1.8M
Years Left
1
Expiry
2051
Option
Team Option
Status
-
Trade Value
0.367

Contract Breakdown

Season Salary Notes
2050-51 $1,750,000

Win Model Development

Win Model Score
2.953
Expected WM
3.384
Dev Residual
-0.4310
Peak Age
31
Peak Win Model
3.343
PA Tier
Low
Upside Gap
-0.5
Dev Status
Behind Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
J
John Ford Denver Dragons 30 4.0 97.4% Versatile Big / Helper
D
Duran Hamdy Detroit Mustangs 20 3.0 97.2% Versatile Big / Helper
I
Ishaq Osten Cleveland Giants 23 5.0 97.2% Versatile Big / Mobile Big
J
Jose Vazquez Salt Lake City Saints 23 3.0 96.9% Versatile Big / Helper
J
Jamaya Patton Indiana Stonecutters 23 4.5 96.9% Versatile Big / Mobile Big

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive

Win Value Development

Stage
Developing
Peak Age
29
Peak Win Value
11.4
Years to Peak
4
Current Win Value
9.8
Confidence
HIGH

Win Value Trajectory

Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)

Current WV
2.193
Projected Peak WV
2.552
Peak Age
29
Years to Peak
6
WV Growth
+0.359

Rating Trainability

Rating Current Growth/yr Class Peak Age
Foul Drawing 11 +1.23 High Growth 31
Help Defense 13 +0.66 High Growth 27
Off-Ball Defense 4 +0.55 High Growth 28
Ball Dominance 9 +0.55 High Growth 28
Gravity 12 +0.52 High Growth 29
Spacing 2 +0.45 High Growth 18
Post Execution 12 +0.40 High Growth 29
Playmaking 12 +0.40 High Growth 29
Stealing 4 +0.38 High Growth 19
Finishing 13 +0.37 High Growth 27
Defensive Rebounding 16 +0.37 High Growth 18
Offensive Rebounding 15 +0.36 High Growth 18
Strength 14 +0.35 High Growth 18
Pick & Roll Execution 5 +0.34 High Growth 18
Passing 10 +0.33 High Growth 18
Self-Creation 15 +0.32 High Growth 19
Isolation Execution 8 +0.32 High Growth 18
3PT Shooting 9 +0.31 High Growth 19
Ball Handling 4 +0.30 High Growth 19
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 2 +0.30 High Growth 18
Shoot Off Dribble 4 +0.28 Moderate Growth 18
Rim Protection 14 +0.26 Moderate Growth 18
Inside Shooting 14 +0.25 Moderate Growth 18
Post Defense 17 +0.17 Moderate Growth 18
Basketball IQ 14 +0.07 Low Growth 19
Endurance 6 +0.05 Low Growth 20
Speed 4 +0.01 Low Growth 18
Free Throws 12 +0.00 Unknown -
First Step 14 -0.01 Low Growth 18
Mid-Range Shooting 11 -0.03 Low Growth 19
Quickness 11 -0.08 Low Growth 19
Athleticism 5 -0.08 Low Growth 19
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