Conner Pearson

St Louis Skyhawks · Roll-and-Cut Big / Anchor Big

College: Syracuse · Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania

Savvy rim-protecting center

A solid center averaging 5.7 PPG, 5.5 RPG, 0.7 APG. Excels in basketball IQ (20 rating, 100th pctl), post execution (19 rating, 99th pctl) and 0.639 TS% (91st pctl). Limited by playmaking (2 rating, 7th pctl) and gravity (6 rating, 9th pctl).

Impact

Future

5.0

4.0

Age

$12.2M

Salary

3.419

Bal WV

Skill Badges

(10)

O Floater Game (S) O Post Hub (S) O Posterizer (B) O Glass Cleaner (B) O Lob Threat (B) O Slasher (B) D Rim Eraser (S) D Paint Wall (S) D Help Defender (B) D Charge Taker (B)

NBA Comparison

Jalen Duren

2024-25

77%

Style

77%

Level

6'10" · 254lbs

10.0/9.5/2.0 (PPG/RPG/APG)

Efficient scorer Rim protector Rebounder

Alt comp

Dereck Lively II

2024-25 · 76%

2050 Projection

Peak Ridge: 11.9

Stage: Declining

Peak Age: 32 (past peak)

Future Value: 44

Stat	Value	Pctl
Per Game
PPG	5.7	30
RPG	5.5	76
APG	0.7	22
SPG	0.2	19
BPG	1.0	73
MPG	16.2	35
Shooting
FG%	0.598	98
3P%	0.571	99
FT%	0.735	24
TS%	0.639	91
Impact
Impact	52	59
Off Impact	46	37
Def Impact	55	72
Advanced
Player Efficiency Rating	14.5	50
WS	3.8	64
Box Score Impact	0.2	53
Value Over Replacement	0.7	55
Positional BSI	0.15	+0.05

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths

Post Defense 17 (coef=0.0333)

Defensive Rebounding 16 (coef=0.0226)

Rim Protection 18 (coef=0.0168)

Inside Shooting 19 (coef=0.0155)

Offensive Rebounding 17 (coef=0.0160)

Weaknesses

On-Ball Perimeter Defense 5 (coef=0.0330)

3PT Shooting 11 (coef=0.0196)

Spacing 3 (coef=0.0196)

Passing 11 (coef=0.0156)

Stealing 7 (coef=0.0145)

Expected vs Actual Production

Stat	Actual	Expected	Delta
PPG	5.7	5.9	-0.2
RPG	5.5	6.3	-0.8
APG	0.7	0.2	+0.5
SPG	0.2	0.0	+0.2
BPG	1.0	1.2	-0.2
TPG	-	0.6
FG%	0.598	0.5	+0.1
3P%	0.571	0.3	+0.3
FT%	0.735	0.4	+0.3

Play Style

Driving Frequency

6:94%

Positional Fit

Guard 40%

Wing 60%

Big 90%

Player Impact Breakdown

Average score driven by solid Hidden Rating Impact.

52 / 100 #195 of 435

On-Court Impact — 60% weight +0.08z

On-Court Impact +0.24 (Off +0.05, Def +0.23)

Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight +0.16z

Win Model Score: 3.4018

Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.00z

Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)

Offense

#289

Defense

#131

Confidence

92%

1295 min

Position Model (C)

Predicted Positional BSI: 0.15 Actual: 0.2 +0.05

Performing in line with C model predictions

Future Value

Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.

44 / 100 #382 of 450

Cumulative Wins — 50% weight 44

Peak Ceiling — 20% weight 46

Contract Surplus — 30% weight 41

Future Value below current Impact (52) — may be approaching decline

League Percentile Profile

PPG

TS%

BPM

WS/48

RAPM

USG%

PA/100

BCI

Shot Quality

PA/100

+14.22

Points Added

+51.6

Selection

0.941

FGA

363

Zone Breakdown

Rim

62.1%

232 FGA (64%)

Short Midrange

31.7%

104 FGA (29%)

Long Midrange

57.1%

7 FGA (2%)

Other

40.0%

5 FGA (1%)

Above Break Three

60.0%

15 FGA (4%)

Creation & Scoring Load

Box Creation

4.16

Load Tier

Elite

Eff Delta

+6.4%

USG%

13.8%

Tendencies

Salary

$12.2M

Years Left

Expiry

2051

Option

Team Option

Status

Trade Value

0.465

Contract Breakdown

Season	Salary	Notes
2050-51	$12,250,000

Win Model Development

Win Model Score

3.402

Expected WM

3.828

Dev Residual

-0.4262

Peak Age

Peak Win Model

3.278

PA Tier

High

Upside Gap

-1.0

Dev Status

Behind Curve

Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

	Player	Team	Age	CA	Similarity	Archetype
K	Khadeem Wills	Austin Rockets	20	3.5	99.0%	Post Scorer / Anchor Big
D	Devon Walton	Philadelphia Warriors	26	4.5	98.4%	Roll-and-Cut Big / Mobile Big
D	DeAndre Swift	Las Vegas Scorpions	0	5.0	98.4%	Roll-and-Cut Big / Mobile Big
C	Chase Camby	New York Renegades	20	3.5	98.4%	Post Scorer / Anchor Big
X	Xavian Millinghaus	Oklahoma City Barons	22	3.0	98.4%	Post Scorer / Anchor Big

Predicted Archetype

Offensive

Defensive

Win Value Development

Stage

Declining

Peak Age

Peak Win Value

11.9

Years to Peak

-3

Current Win Value

11.8

Confidence

HIGH

Win Value Trajectory

Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)

Current WV

2.664

Projected Peak WV

2.684

Peak Age

Years to Peak

WV Growth

+0.019

Rating Trainability

Rating	Current	Growth/yr	Class	Peak Age
Foul Drawing	13	+1.23	High Growth	31
Help Defense	17	+0.66	High Growth	27
Off-Ball Defense	8	+0.55	High Growth	28
Ball Dominance	17	+0.55	High Growth	28
Gravity	6	+0.52	High Growth	29
Spacing	3	+0.45	High Growth	18
Post Execution	19	+0.40	High Growth	29
Playmaking	2	+0.40	High Growth	29
Stealing	7	+0.38	High Growth	19
Finishing	17	+0.37	High Growth	27
Defensive Rebounding	16	+0.37	High Growth	18
Offensive Rebounding	17	+0.36	High Growth	18
Strength	17	+0.35	High Growth	18
Pick & Roll Execution	13	+0.34	High Growth	18
Passing	11	+0.33	High Growth	18
Self-Creation	17	+0.32	High Growth	19
Isolation Execution	12	+0.32	High Growth	18
3PT Shooting	11	+0.31	High Growth	19
Ball Handling	3	+0.30	High Growth	19
On-Ball Perimeter Defense	5	+0.30	High Growth	18
Shoot Off Dribble	4	+0.28	Moderate Growth	18
Rim Protection	18	+0.26	Moderate Growth	18
Inside Shooting	19	+0.25	Moderate Growth	18
Post Defense	17	+0.17	Moderate Growth	18
Basketball IQ	20	+0.07	Low Growth	19
Endurance	10	+0.05	Low Growth	20
Speed	11	+0.01	Low Growth	18
Free Throws	13	+0.00	Unknown	-
First Step	11	-0.01	Low Growth	18
Mid-Range Shooting	6	-0.03	Low Growth	19
Quickness	13	-0.08	Low Growth	19
Athleticism	16	-0.08	Low Growth	19

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