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Khadeem Wills

Khadeem Wills

PF

Austin Rockets · Post Scorer / Anchor Big

College: Oklahoma State · Oak Hill, West Virginia

Relentless defensive forward

A fringe power forward averaging 11.9 PPG, 6.7 RPG, 1.3 APG. Excels in athleticism (17 rating, 93rd pctl), help defense (17 rating, 86th pctl) and 6.7 RPG (83rd pctl). Limited by finishing (7 rating, 3rd pctl) and ball handling (2 rating, 8th pctl).

24
Impact
36
Future
3.5
CA
4.5
PA
20
Age
$5.3M
Salary
2.838
Bal WV

Skill Badges

(3)
D Rim Eraser (B) D Paint Wall (B) D Help Defender (B)
Naz Reid
NBA Comparison
Naz Reid
2024-25
76%
Style
76%
Level
6'9" · 264lbs
12.0/5.5/1.5 (PPG/RPG/APG)
Efficient scorer Free throw merchant
Alt comp
Evan Mobley
2024-25 · 70%
2050 Projection
Peak Ridge: 13.3
Stage: Developing
Peak Age: 29 (7yr away)
Future Value: 36
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG 11.9 66
RPG 6.7 83
APG 1.3 40
SPG 0.5 41
BPG 1.3 82
MPG 29.0 69
Shooting
FG% 0.514 76
3P% - 16
FT% 0.829 53
TS% 0.603 73
Impact
Impact 24 2
Off Impact 23 2
Def Impact 43 22
Advanced
Player Efficiency Rating 13.4 40
WS 3.4 59
Box Score Impact -1.8 26
Value Over Replacement 0.1 35
Positional BSI -2.07 +0.27

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
Post Defense 15 (coef=0.0333)
Defensive Rebounding 15 (coef=0.0226)
Rim Protection 15 (coef=0.0168)
Athleticism 17 (coef=-0.0094)
Post Execution 11 (coef=0.0074)
Weaknesses
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 5 (coef=0.0330)
3PT Shooting 10 (coef=0.0196)
Spacing 2 (coef=0.0196)
Passing 9 (coef=0.0156)
Ball Dominance 10 (coef=0.0152)

Expected vs Actual Production

Stat Actual Expected Delta
PPG 11.9 12.0 -0.1
RPG 6.7 7.7 -1.0
APG 1.3 1.7 -0.4
SPG 0.5 0.6 -0.1
BPG 1.3 1.4 -0.1
TPG - 1.3
FG% 0.514 0.5 +0.0
3P% 0.0 0.3 -0.3
FT% 0.829 0.4 +0.4

Play Style

Driving Frequency
95:5%

Positional Fit

Guard 30%
Wing 60%
Big 80%

Player Impact Breakdown

Replacement-level score driven by weak On-Court Impact. Defense is the primary value driver.

24 / 100 #428 of 435
On-Court Impact — 60% weight -1.52z
On-Court Impact -3.71 (Off -2.98, Def -0.73)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight -1.70z
Win Model Score: 2.8251
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.00z
Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
23
#430
Defense
43
#352
Confidence
98%
1885 min
Position Model (C)
Predicted Positional BSI: -2.07 Actual: -1.8 +0.27
Performing in line with C model predictions

Future Value

Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.

36 / 100 #462 of 450
Cumulative Wins — 50% weight 32
Peak Ceiling — 20% weight 32
Contract Surplus — 30% weight 47
Future Value above current Impact (24) — trajectory is positive

League Percentile Profile

PPG
57
TS%
74
BPM
23
WS/48
40
RAPM
8
USG%
50
PA/100
14
BCI
23

Shot Quality

PA/100
-9.94
Points Added
-72.6
Selection
0.923
FGA
731
Zone Breakdown
Rim
52.3%
421 FGA (58%)
Long Midrange
23.1%
52 FGA (7%)
Short Midrange
26.2%
240 FGA (33%)
Other
54.5%
11 FGA (2%)
Above Break Three
0.0%
7 FGA (1%)

Creation & Scoring Load

Box Creation
4.76
Load Tier
Good
Eff Delta
+2.7%
USG%
19.2%
Tendencies
Salary
$5.3M
Years Left
2
Expiry
2052
Option
Team Option
Status
-
Trade Value
0.300

Contract Breakdown

Season Salary Notes
2050-51 $5,350,000
2051-52 $5,350,000
Total Owed $10,700,000

Win Model Development

Win Model Score
2.825
Expected WM
3.451
Dev Residual
-0.6259
Peak Age
31
Peak Win Model
3.660
PA Tier
High
Upside Gap
1.0
Dev Status
Behind Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
D
Duran Hamdy Detroit Mustangs 20 3.0 98.3% Versatile Big / Helper
J
Jamaya Patton Indiana Stonecutters 23 4.5 98.1% Versatile Big / Mobile Big
I
Ilker Vick Nashville Stars 0 3.5 97.9% Versatile Big / Mobile Big
J
Jack Meyer Washington Pilots 27 4.5 97.8% Versatile Big / Mobile Big
R
Rayvon Nassar Phoenix Vultures 22 3.5 97.7% Versatile Big / Mobile Big

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive

Win Value Development

Stage
Developing
Peak Age
29
Peak Win Value
13.3
Years to Peak
7
Current Win Value
10.2
Confidence
HIGH

Win Value Trajectory

Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)

Current WV
2.222
Projected Peak WV
2.894
Peak Age
29
Years to Peak
9
WV Growth
+0.672

Rating Trainability

Rating Current Growth/yr Class Peak Age
Foul Drawing 14 +1.23 High Growth 31
Help Defense 17 +0.66 High Growth 27
Off-Ball Defense 10 +0.55 High Growth 28
Ball Dominance 10 +0.55 High Growth 28
Gravity 8 +0.52 High Growth 29
Spacing 2 +0.45 High Growth 18
Post Execution 11 +0.40 High Growth 29
Playmaking 3 +0.40 High Growth 29
Stealing 7 +0.38 High Growth 19
Finishing 7 +0.37 High Growth 27
Defensive Rebounding 15 +0.37 High Growth 18
Offensive Rebounding 12 +0.36 High Growth 18
Strength 14 +0.35 High Growth 18
Pick & Roll Execution 9 +0.34 High Growth 18
Passing 9 +0.33 High Growth 18
Self-Creation 12 +0.32 High Growth 19
Isolation Execution 9 +0.32 High Growth 18
3PT Shooting 10 +0.31 High Growth 19
Ball Handling 2 +0.30 High Growth 19
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 5 +0.30 High Growth 18
Shoot Off Dribble 4 +0.28 Moderate Growth 18
Rim Protection 15 +0.26 Moderate Growth 18
Inside Shooting 16 +0.25 Moderate Growth 18
Post Defense 15 +0.17 Moderate Growth 18
Basketball IQ 14 +0.07 Low Growth 19
Endurance 8 +0.05 Low Growth 20
Speed 12 +0.01 Low Growth 18
Free Throws 13 +0.00 Unknown -
First Step 12 -0.01 Low Growth 18
Mid-Range Shooting 8 -0.03 Low Growth 19
Quickness 14 -0.08 Low Growth 19
Athleticism 17 -0.08 Low Growth 19
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