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Devaugntah Litton

Devaugntah Litton

PF

Denver Dragons · Roll-and-Cut Big / Anchor Big

College: San Francisco · Torrance, California

Lengthy shot-blocking center

A rotation power forward averaging 2.8 PPG, 1.5 RPG, 0.4 APG. Excels in work ethic (17 rating, 100th pctl), 0.74 TS% (100th pctl) and discipline (17 rating, 93rd pctl). Limited by basketball IQ (6 rating, 1st pctl) and off-ball defense (4 rating, 3rd pctl).

48
Impact
32
Future
3.0
CA
2.0
PA
22
Age
$1.8M
Salary
2.901
Bal WV
Jonathan Kuminga
NBA Comparison
Budget Jonathan Kuminga
2024-25
59%
Style
59%
Level
6'8" · 225lbs
13.0/4.5/2.0 (PPG/RPG/APG)
Efficient scorer Rim protector Free throw merchant
Alt comp
Evan Mobley
2024-25 · 66%
2050 Projection
Peak Ridge: 11.7
Stage: Developing
Peak Age: 29 (5yr away)
Future Value: 32
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG 2.8 12
RPG 1.5 21
APG 0.4 9
SPG - 5
BPG 0.4 51
MPG 6.5 10
Shooting
FG% 0.688 99
3P% - 16
FT% 0.87 72
TS% 0.74 100
Impact
Impact 48 45
Off Impact 49 49
Def Impact 48 43
Advanced
Player Efficiency Rating 17.1 78
WS 0.7 23
Box Score Impact 0.2 53
Value Over Replacement 0.1 35
Positional BSI -0.44 +0.64

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
Post Defense 16 (coef=0.0333)
Rim Protection 15 (coef=0.0168)
Offensive Rebounding 15 (coef=0.0160)
Pick & Roll Execution 16 (coef=0.0014)
Weaknesses
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 1 (coef=0.0330)
3PT Shooting 9 (coef=0.0196)
Spacing 7 (coef=0.0196)
Passing 11 (coef=0.0156)
Stealing 9 (coef=0.0145)

Expected vs Actual Production

Stat Actual Expected Delta
PPG 2.8 -1.4 +4.2
RPG 1.5 3.4 -1.9
APG 0.4 -1.5 +1.9
SPG 0.0 -0.2 +0.2
BPG 0.4 0.8 -0.4
TPG - -0.1
FG% 0.688 0.5 +0.2
3P% 0.0 0.2 -0.2
FT% 0.87 0.4 +0.4

Play Style

Driving Frequency
12:88%

Denver Gap Fit

Rating Player Denver Avg Top 3 Delta
Foul Drawing 13 11.4 14.4 +1.6
Defensive Rebounding 13 11.9 14.8 +1.1
Playmaking 2 9.8 12.6 -7.8
Offensive Rebounding 15 10.7 13.4 +4.3
Post Execution 8 6.0 8.6 +2.0
Self-Creation 11 13.5 15.7 -2.5
Ball Handling 4 11.8 13.7 -7.8
Finishing 13 14.4 16.1 -1.4
3PT Shooting 9 14.3 16.0 -5.3
Help Defense 13 14.1 15.7 -1.1

Positional Fit

Guard 30%
Wing 30%
Big 80%

Player Impact Breakdown

Limited to 201 min — score regressed toward league average.

48 / 100 #260 of 435
On-Court Impact — 60% weight +0.41z
On-Court Impact +1.06 (Off +1.71, Def -0.64)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight -1.45z
Win Model Score: 2.8881
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.00z
Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
49
#242
Defense
48
#264
Confidence
29%
201 min
Position Model (C)
Predicted Positional BSI: -0.44 Actual: 0.2 +0.64
Outperforming C model predictions

Future Value

Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.

32 / 100 #489 of 450
Cumulative Wins — 50% weight 27
Peak Ceiling — 20% weight 25
Contract Surplus — 30% weight 45
Future Value well below current Impact (48) — likely declining asset

Shot Quality

PA/100
+24.95
Points Added
+14.2
Selection
0.908
FGA
57
Zone Breakdown
Rim
58.3%
36 FGA (63%)
Other
66.7%
3 FGA (5%)
Short Midrange
52.9%
17 FGA (30%)
Long Midrange
100.0%
1 FGA (2%)
Tendencies
Salary
$1.8M
Years Left
1
Expiry
2051
Option
Team Option
Status
-
Trade Value
0.416

Contract Breakdown

Season Salary Notes
2050-51 $1,750,000

Win Model Development

Win Model Score
2.888
Expected WM
3.247
Dev Residual
-0.3586
Peak Age
31
Peak Win Model
3.287
PA Tier
Low
Upside Gap
-1.0
Dev Status
Behind Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
P
Petar Jovanovic Phoenix Vultures 20 3.0 97.7% Pick-and-Pop Big / Mobile Big
I
Ishaq Osten Cleveland Giants 23 5.0 97.6% Versatile Big / Mobile Big
J
Jose Vazquez Salt Lake City Saints 23 3.0 97.1% Versatile Big / Helper
J
Jamaya Patton Indiana Stonecutters 23 4.5 97.0% Versatile Big / Mobile Big
N
Nikola Kojic Chicago Jailbirds 19 3.0 96.9% Versatile Big / Mobile Big

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive

Win Value Development

Stage
Developing
Peak Age
29
Peak Win Value
11.7
Years to Peak
5
Current Win Value
9.8
Confidence
HIGH

Win Value Trajectory

Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)

Current WV
2.251
Projected Peak WV
2.690
Peak Age
29
Years to Peak
7
WV Growth
+0.439

Rating Trainability

Rating Current Growth/yr Class Peak Age
Foul Drawing 13 +1.23 High Growth 31
Help Defense 13 +0.66 High Growth 27
Off-Ball Defense 4 +0.55 High Growth 28
Ball Dominance 11 +0.55 High Growth 28
Gravity 9 +0.52 High Growth 29
Spacing 7 +0.45 High Growth 18
Post Execution 8 +0.40 High Growth 29
Playmaking 2 +0.40 High Growth 29
Stealing 9 +0.38 High Growth 19
Finishing 13 +0.37 High Growth 27
Defensive Rebounding 13 +0.37 High Growth 18
Offensive Rebounding 15 +0.36 High Growth 18
Strength 12 +0.35 High Growth 18
Pick & Roll Execution 16 +0.34 High Growth 18
Passing 11 +0.33 High Growth 18
Self-Creation 11 +0.32 High Growth 19
Isolation Execution 8 +0.32 High Growth 18
3PT Shooting 9 +0.31 High Growth 19
Ball Handling 4 +0.30 High Growth 19
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 1 +0.30 High Growth 18
Shoot Off Dribble 4 +0.28 Moderate Growth 18
Rim Protection 15 +0.26 Moderate Growth 18
Inside Shooting 16 +0.25 Moderate Growth 18
Post Defense 16 +0.17 Moderate Growth 18
Basketball IQ 6 +0.07 Low Growth 19
Endurance 10 +0.05 Low Growth 20
Speed 3 +0.01 Low Growth 18
Free Throws 9 +0.00 Unknown -
Work Ethic 17 +0.00 Unknown -
Leadership 14 +0.00 Unknown -
Discipline 17 +0.00 Unknown -
Professionalism 5 +0.00 Unknown -
Aggression 5 +0.00 Unknown -
Toughness 9 +0.00 Unknown -
Hustle 9 +0.00 Unknown -
First Step 12 -0.01 Low Growth 18
Mid-Range Shooting 7 -0.03 Low Growth 19
Quickness 5 -0.08 Low Growth 19
Athleticism 12 -0.08 Low Growth 19
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