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Elijah Worthing

Elijah Worthing

PF

Nashville Stars · Post Scorer / Helper

College: Oklahoma State · Cibolo, Texas

Skilled defensive forward

A fringe power forward averaging 7.9 PPG, 4.0 RPG, 1.0 APG. Excels in ball handling (19 rating, 98th pctl), foul drawing (18 rating, 93rd pctl) and post defense (17 rating, 87th pctl). Limited by first step (4 rating, 2nd pctl) and self-creation (5 rating, 4th pctl).

42
Impact
47
Future
4.0
CA
3.5
PA
21
Age
$4.3M
Salary
3.293
Bal WV

Skill Badges

(1)
D Paint Wall (B)
Evan Mobley
NBA Comparison
Evan Mobley
2024-25
79%
Style
79%
Level
6'11" · 215lbs
18.0/9.0/3.0 (PPG/RPG/APG)
Free throw merchant Inside scorer
Alt comp
Naz Reid
2024-25 · 77%
2050 Projection
Peak Ridge: 14.4
Stage: Developing
Peak Age: 29 (6yr away)
Future Value: 47
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG 7.9 45
RPG 4.0 61
APG 1.0 30
SPG 0.4 33
BPG 0.7 62
MPG 16.8 37
Shooting
FG% 0.494 67
3P% 0.4 75
FT% 0.783 36
TS% 0.595 66
Impact
Impact 42 21
Off Impact 43 26
Def Impact 48 43
Advanced
Player Efficiency Rating 16.2 68
WS 1.4 32
Box Score Impact -2.6 19
Value Over Replacement -0.1 21
Positional BSI 0.55 -3.15

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
Post Defense 17 (coef=0.0333)
Defensive Rebounding 15 (coef=0.0226)
Rim Protection 16 (coef=0.0168)
Offensive Rebounding 14 (coef=0.0160)
Foul Drawing 18 (coef=0.0102)
Weaknesses
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 2 (coef=0.0330)
3PT Shooting 9 (coef=0.0196)
Ball Dominance 9 (coef=0.0152)
Shoot Off Dribble 3 (coef=0.0134)
First Step 4 (coef=0.0112)

Expected vs Actual Production

Stat Actual Expected Delta
PPG 7.9 4.6 +3.3
RPG 4.0 5.1 -1.1
APG 1.0 2.0 -1.0
SPG 0.4 0.4 -0.0
BPG 0.7 1.0 -0.3
TPG - 0.5
FG% 0.494 0.5 -0.0
3P% 0.4 0.2 +0.1
FT% 0.783 0.4 +0.3

Play Style

Driving Frequency
22:78%

Positional Fit

Guard 70%
Wing 50%
Big 80%

Player Impact Breakdown

Below-average score driven by modest On-Court Impact.

42 / 100 #353 of 435
On-Court Impact — 60% weight -0.66z
On-Court Impact -1.58 (Off -1.01, Def -0.58)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight -0.61z
Win Model Score: 3.2809
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.00z
Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
43
#339
Defense
48
#264
Confidence
72%
806 min
Position Model (C)
Predicted Positional BSI: 0.55 Actual: -2.6 -3.15
Significantly underperforming C model predictions

Future Value

Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.

47 / 100 #332 of 450
Cumulative Wins — 50% weight 46
Peak Ceiling — 20% weight 45
Contract Surplus — 30% weight 50
Future Value above current Impact (42) — trajectory is positive

League Percentile Profile

PPG
32
TS%
66
BPM
17
WS/48
39
RAPM
6
USG%
59
PA/100
24
BCI
38

Shot Quality

PA/100
-5.97
Points Added
-18.7
Selection
0.922
FGA
313
Zone Breakdown
Rim
54.5%
132 FGA (42%)
Short Midrange
29.4%
109 FGA (35%)
Long Midrange
21.7%
23 FGA (7%)
Above Break Three
40.0%
40 FGA (13%)
Other
22.2%
9 FGA (3%)

Creation & Scoring Load

Box Creation
6.71
Load Tier
Good
Eff Delta
+1.9%
USG%
20.6%
Tendencies
Salary
$4.3M
Years Left
1
Expiry
2051
Option
None
Status
-
Trade Value
0.422

Contract Breakdown

Season Salary Notes
2050-51 $4,300,000 Nashville Stars exercised option

Win Model Development

Win Model Score
3.281
Expected WM
3.400
Dev Residual
-0.1189
Peak Age
31
Peak Win Model
3.911
PA Tier
Medium
Upside Gap
-0.5
Dev Status
Behind Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
G
Gleb Luzan Indiana Stonecutters 20 4.0 98.1% Versatile Big / Mobile Big
I
Ishaq Osten Cleveland Giants 23 5.0 97.3% Versatile Big / Mobile Big
L
LeAndre Kokal Louisville Colonels 25 4.5 97.1% Versatile Big / Mobile Big
R
Ruben Smith Atlanta Devils 21 3.5 96.9% Versatile Big / Helper
J
Jamaya Patton Indiana Stonecutters 23 4.5 96.5% Versatile Big / Mobile Big

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive

Win Value Development

Stage
Developing
Peak Age
29
Peak Win Value
14.4
Years to Peak
6
Current Win Value
11.7
Confidence
HIGH

Win Value Trajectory

Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)

Current WV
2.457
Projected Peak WV
3.014
Peak Age
29
Years to Peak
8
WV Growth
+0.557

Rating Trainability

Rating Current Growth/yr Class Peak Age
Foul Drawing 18 +1.23 High Growth 31
Help Defense 15 +0.66 High Growth 27
Off-Ball Defense 8 +0.55 High Growth 28
Ball Dominance 9 +0.55 High Growth 28
Gravity 11 +0.52 High Growth 29
Spacing 11 +0.45 High Growth 18
Post Execution 14 +0.40 High Growth 29
Playmaking 14 +0.40 High Growth 29
Stealing 13 +0.38 High Growth 19
Finishing 13 +0.37 High Growth 27
Defensive Rebounding 15 +0.37 High Growth 18
Offensive Rebounding 14 +0.36 High Growth 18
Strength 14 +0.35 High Growth 18
Pick & Roll Execution 7 +0.34 High Growth 18
Passing 14 +0.33 High Growth 18
Self-Creation 5 +0.32 High Growth 19
Isolation Execution 10 +0.32 High Growth 18
3PT Shooting 9 +0.31 High Growth 19
Ball Handling 19 +0.30 High Growth 19
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 2 +0.30 High Growth 18
Shoot Off Dribble 3 +0.28 Moderate Growth 18
Rim Protection 16 +0.26 Moderate Growth 18
Inside Shooting 16 +0.25 Moderate Growth 18
Post Defense 17 +0.17 Moderate Growth 18
Basketball IQ 15 +0.07 Low Growth 19
Endurance 14 +0.05 Low Growth 20
Speed 12 +0.01 Low Growth 18
Free Throws 12 +0.00 Unknown -
First Step 4 -0.01 Low Growth 18
Mid-Range Shooting 12 -0.03 Low Growth 19
Quickness 11 -0.08 Low Growth 19
Athleticism 10 -0.08 Low Growth 19
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