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Gleb Luzan

Gleb Luzan

PF

Indiana Stonecutters · Versatile Big / Mobile Big

Orsha, Belarus

Long-armed paint-anchoring center

A fringe power forward averaging 15.1 PPG, 8.8 RPG, 2.4 APG. Excels in 8.8 RPG (92nd pctl), 1.7 BPG (91st pctl) and isolation scoring (16 rating, 73rd pctl). Limited by gravity (3 rating, 3rd pctl) and first step (5 rating, 6th pctl).

30
Impact
42
Future
4.0
CA
4.5
PA
20
Age
$1.8M
Salary
2.877
Bal WV
Evan Mobley
NBA Comparison
Evan Mobley
2024-25
84%
Style
84%
Level
6'11" · 215lbs
18.0/9.0/3.0 (PPG/RPG/APG)
Inside scorer
Alt comp
Naz Reid
2024-25 · 78%
2050 Projection
Peak Ridge: 13.7
Stage: Developing
Peak Age: 29 (9yr away)
Future Value: 42
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG 15.1 78
RPG 8.8 92
APG 2.4 59
SPG 0.7 52
BPG 1.7 91
MPG 32.2 88
Shooting
FG% 0.534 82
3P% 0.316 34
FT% 0.678 14
TS% 0.57 45
Impact
Impact 30 6
Off Impact 50 52
Def Impact 23 1
Advanced
Player Efficiency Rating 15.4 60
WS 3.0 54
Box Score Impact -2.0 24
Value Over Replacement - 29
Positional BSI -1.05 -0.95

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
Post Defense 14 (coef=0.0333)
Spacing 12 (coef=0.0196)
Passing 15 (coef=0.0156)
Isolation Execution 16 (coef=0.0062)
Post Execution 11 (coef=0.0074)
Weaknesses
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 2 (coef=0.0330)
3PT Shooting 10 (coef=0.0196)
Stealing 10 (coef=0.0145)
Shoot Off Dribble 4 (coef=0.0134)
First Step 5 (coef=0.0112)

Expected vs Actual Production

Stat Actual Expected Delta
PPG 15.1 14.6 +0.5
RPG 8.8 6.7 +2.1
APG 2.4 4.7 -2.3
SPG 0.7 0.9 -0.2
BPG 1.7 1.1 +0.6
TPG - 1.6
FG% 0.534 0.5 +0.0
3P% 0.316 0.3 +0.1
FT% 0.678 0.4 +0.2

Play Style

Driving Frequency
86:14%

Positional Fit

Guard 70%
Wing 50%
Big 80%

Player Impact Breakdown

Below-average score driven by weak Win Model Score. Offense is the primary value driver.

30 / 100 #411 of 435
On-Court Impact — 60% weight -0.70z
On-Court Impact -1.69 (Off +0.99, Def -2.67)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight -1.86z
Win Model Score: 2.8628
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.00z
Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
50
#221
Defense
23
#431
Confidence
100%
2509 min
Position Model (PF)
Predicted Positional BSI: -1.05 Actual: -2.0 -0.95
Underperforming PF model predictions

Future Value

Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.

42 / 100 #402 of 450
Cumulative Wins — 50% weight 35
Peak Ceiling — 20% weight 34
Contract Surplus — 30% weight 58
Future Value above current Impact (30) — trajectory is positive

League Percentile Profile

PPG
72
TS%
42
BPM
22
WS/48
19
RAPM
26
USG%
56
PA/100
68
BCI
40

Shot Quality

PA/100
+3.18
Points Added
+32.7
Selection
0.919
FGA
1028
Zone Breakdown
Short Midrange
35.8%
377 FGA (37%)
Rim
55.2%
553 FGA (54%)
Above Break Three
30.8%
39 FGA (4%)
Long Midrange
51.0%
51 FGA (5%)
Other
62.5%
8 FGA (1%)

Creation & Scoring Load

Box Creation
6.90
Load Tier
Average
Eff Delta
-0.6%
USG%
20.0%
Tendencies
Salary
$1.8M
Years Left
2
Expiry
2052
Option
Team Option
Status
-
Trade Value
0.381

Contract Breakdown

Season Salary Notes
2050-51 $1,750,000
2051-52 $1,750,000
Total Owed $3,500,000

Win Model Development

Win Model Score
2.863
Expected WM
3.451
Dev Residual
-0.5882
Peak Age
31
Peak Win Model
3.697
PA Tier
High
Upside Gap
0.5
Dev Status
Behind Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
R
Ruben Smith Atlanta Devils 21 3.5 97.4% Versatile Big / Helper
T
Tiago Fernandes Nashville Stars 23 4.0 97.1% Versatile Big / Mobile Big
I
Ishaq Osten Cleveland Giants 23 5.0 96.9% Versatile Big / Mobile Big
L
LeAndre Kokal Louisville Colonels 25 4.5 96.0% Versatile Big / Mobile Big
P
Petar Jovanovic Phoenix Vultures 20 3.0 95.8% Pick-and-Pop Big / Mobile Big

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive

Win Value Development

Stage
Developing
Peak Age
29
Peak Win Value
13.7
Years to Peak
9
Current Win Value
10.5
Confidence
HIGH

Win Value Trajectory

Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)

Current WV
2.257
Projected Peak WV
2.930
Peak Age
29
Years to Peak
9
WV Growth
+0.672

Rating Trainability

Rating Current Growth/yr Class Peak Age
Foul Drawing 13 +1.23 High Growth 31
Help Defense 10 +0.66 High Growth 27
Off-Ball Defense 11 +0.55 High Growth 28
Ball Dominance 12 +0.55 High Growth 28
Gravity 3 +0.52 High Growth 29
Spacing 12 +0.45 High Growth 18
Post Execution 11 +0.40 High Growth 29
Playmaking 9 +0.40 High Growth 29
Stealing 10 +0.38 High Growth 19
Finishing 13 +0.37 High Growth 27
Defensive Rebounding 12 +0.37 High Growth 18
Offensive Rebounding 12 +0.36 High Growth 18
Strength 12 +0.35 High Growth 18
Pick & Roll Execution 14 +0.34 High Growth 18
Passing 15 +0.33 High Growth 18
Self-Creation 14 +0.32 High Growth 19
Isolation Execution 16 +0.32 High Growth 18
3PT Shooting 10 +0.31 High Growth 19
Ball Handling 14 +0.30 High Growth 19
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 2 +0.30 High Growth 18
Shoot Off Dribble 4 +0.28 Moderate Growth 18
Rim Protection 10 +0.26 Moderate Growth 18
Inside Shooting 16 +0.25 Moderate Growth 18
Post Defense 14 +0.17 Moderate Growth 18
Basketball IQ 11 +0.07 Low Growth 19
Endurance 8 +0.05 Low Growth 20
Speed 11 +0.01 Low Growth 18
Free Throws 10 +0.00 Unknown -
First Step 5 -0.01 Low Growth 18
Mid-Range Shooting 11 -0.03 Low Growth 19
Quickness 12 -0.08 Low Growth 19
Athleticism 13 -0.08 Low Growth 19
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