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Ruben Smith

Ruben Smith

SF

Atlanta Devils · Versatile Big / Helper

College: UNLV · Highlands Ranch, Colorado

Rangy shot-blocking forward

A solid wing averaging 8.6 PPG, 3.1 RPG, 1.2 APG. Excels in post defense (17 rating, 87th pctl), post execution (16 rating, 87th pctl) and isolation scoring (16 rating, 73rd pctl). Limited by self-creation (3 rating, 1st pctl) and athleticism (5 rating, 5th pctl).

55
Impact
48
Future
3.5
CA
3.0
PA
21
Age
$1.8M
Salary
3.653
Bal WV

Skill Badges

(2)
O Post Hub (B) O Floater Game (B)
Kevin Durant
NBA Comparison
Poor Man's Kevin Durant
2024-25
76%
Style
76%
Level
6'11" · 240lbs
26.6/6.0/4.2 (PPG/RPG/APG)
3PT specialist Rim protector Defensive anchor
Alt comp
Jaren Jackson Jr.
2024-25 · 69%
2050 Projection
Peak Ridge: 14.3
Stage: Developing
Peak Age: 29 (8yr away)
Future Value: 48
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG 8.6 51
RPG 3.1 47
APG 1.2 38
SPG 0.6 47
BPG 1.0 73
MPG 15.3 31
Shooting
FG% 0.472 56
3P% 0.415 83
FT% 0.81 46
TS% 0.598 68
Impact
Impact 55 69
Off Impact 60 82
Def Impact 46 33
Advanced
Player Efficiency Rating 17.4 80
WS 1.7 36
Box Score Impact -0.6 39
Value Over Replacement 0.4 48
Positional BSI -1.05 +0.45

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
Post Defense 17 (coef=0.0333)
Inside Shooting 18 (coef=0.0155)
Spacing 14 (coef=0.0196)
Rim Protection 16 (coef=0.0168)
Foul Drawing 15 (coef=0.0102)
Weaknesses
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 5 (coef=0.0330)
Ball Dominance 10 (coef=0.0152)
Playmaking 9 (coef=0.0101)
Endurance 5 (coef=0.0098)
Athleticism 5 (coef=-0.0094)

Expected vs Actual Production

Stat Actual Expected Delta
PPG 8.6 4.2 +4.4
RPG 3.1 4.1 -1.0
APG 1.2 1.0 +0.2
SPG 0.6 0.4 +0.2
BPG 1.0 1.0 -0.0
TPG - 0.5
FG% 0.472 0.5 +0.0
3P% 0.415 0.3 +0.1
FT% 0.81 0.5 +0.4

Play Style

Driving Frequency
32:68%

Positional Fit

Guard 50%
Wing 60%
Big 80%

Player Impact Breakdown

Solid starter score driven by solid On-Court Impact. Offense is the primary value driver.

55 / 100 #150 of 435
On-Court Impact — 60% weight +0.46z
On-Court Impact +1.17 (Off +1.82, Def -0.65)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight +0.21z
Win Model Score: 3.6393
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.00z
Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
60
#90
Defense
46
#313
Confidence
90%
1253 min
Position Model (PF)
Predicted Positional BSI: -1.05 Actual: -0.6 +0.45
Performing in line with PF model predictions

Future Value

Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.

48 / 100 #297 of 450
Cumulative Wins — 50% weight 46
Peak Ceiling — 20% weight 45
Contract Surplus — 30% weight 53
Future Value below current Impact (55) — may be approaching decline

League Percentile Profile

PPG
38
TS%
69
BPM
37
WS/48
24
RAPM
51
USG%
80
PA/100
70
BCI
32

Shot Quality

PA/100
+3.74
Points Added
+21.9
Selection
1.024
FGA
586
Zone Breakdown
Above Break Three
41.4%
261 FGA (44%)
Short Midrange
35.7%
112 FGA (19%)
Long Midrange
43.2%
37 FGA (6%)
Rim
52.3%
174 FGA (30%)
Other
100.0%
2 FGA (0%)

Creation & Scoring Load

Box Creation
6.01
Load Tier
Good
Eff Delta
+2.1%
USG%
23.5%
Tendencies
Salary
$1.8M
Years Left
1
Expiry
2051
Option
Team Option
Status
-
Trade Value
0.495

Contract Breakdown

Season Salary Notes
2050-51 $1,750,000

Win Model Development

Win Model Score
3.639
Expected WM
3.387
Dev Residual
+0.2519
Peak Age
26
Peak Win Model
3.850
PA Tier
Medium
Upside Gap
-0.5
Dev Status
Ahead of Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
D
Derrick Lynch Seattle Thunder 26 5.0 94.3% Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper
K
Kenan Aleksic Mexico City Jaguars 25 4.5 91.7% Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper
L
Lukáš Vintr Atlanta Devils 30 4.5 90.4% Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper
J
Jameel Bucklin New York Renegades 23 3.0 90.0% Glue Guy / Wing Stopper
K
Kyler Amundson New Orleans Hurricanes 25 4.5 89.7% Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive

Win Value Development

Stage
Developing
Peak Age
29
Peak Win Value
14.3
Years to Peak
8
Current Win Value
11.8
Confidence
HIGH

Win Value Trajectory

Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)

Current WV
2.676
Projected Peak WV
3.260
Peak Age
29
Years to Peak
8
WV Growth
+0.584

Rating Trainability

Rating Current Growth/yr Class Peak Age
Foul Drawing 15 +1.23 High Growth 31
Help Defense 11 +0.66 High Growth 27
Off-Ball Defense 7 +0.55 High Growth 28
Ball Dominance 10 +0.55 High Growth 28
Gravity 13 +0.52 High Growth 29
Spacing 14 +0.45 High Growth 18
Post Execution 16 +0.40 High Growth 29
Playmaking 9 +0.40 High Growth 29
Stealing 14 +0.38 High Growth 19
Finishing 14 +0.37 High Growth 27
Defensive Rebounding 12 +0.37 High Growth 18
Offensive Rebounding 13 +0.36 High Growth 18
Strength 14 +0.35 High Growth 18
Pick & Roll Execution 5 +0.34 High Growth 18
Passing 14 +0.33 High Growth 18
Self-Creation 3 +0.32 High Growth 19
Isolation Execution 16 +0.32 High Growth 18
3PT Shooting 14 +0.31 High Growth 19
Ball Handling 8 +0.30 High Growth 19
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 5 +0.30 High Growth 18
Shoot Off Dribble 6 +0.28 Moderate Growth 18
Rim Protection 16 +0.26 Moderate Growth 18
Inside Shooting 18 +0.25 Moderate Growth 18
Post Defense 17 +0.17 Moderate Growth 18
Basketball IQ 13 +0.07 Low Growth 19
Endurance 5 +0.05 Low Growth 20
Speed 5 +0.01 Low Growth 18
Free Throws 13 +0.00 Unknown -
First Step 11 -0.01 Low Growth 18
Mid-Range Shooting 10 -0.03 Low Growth 19
Quickness 6 -0.08 Low Growth 19
Athleticism 5 -0.08 Low Growth 19
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