Fard Bales
SFChicago Jailbirds · Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper
Rangy scoring wing
A solid wing. Excels in pick-and-roll execution (18 rating, 93rd pctl), gravity (18 rating, 92nd pctl) and free throws (17 rating, 88th pctl). Limited by basketball IQ (7 rating, 3rd pctl) and help defense (7 rating, 4th pctl).
-
Impact
42
Future
3.0
CA
0.5
PA
22
Age
$1.8M
3.022
Bal WV
Skill Badges
(2)
O
Gravity Generator
(B)
O
Sniper
(B)
Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)
Strengths
Spacing 15 (coef=0.0196)
Stealing 15 (coef=0.0145)
Shoot Off Dribble 14 (coef=0.0134)
Playmaking 14 (coef=0.0101)
Gravity 18 (coef=-0.0039)
Weaknesses
Post Defense 6 (coef=0.0333)
Defensive Rebounding 9 (coef=0.0226)
Rim Protection 7 (coef=0.0168)
Offensive Rebounding 8 (coef=0.0160)
Inside Shooting 14 (coef=0.0155)
Play Style
Driving Frequency
30:70%
Positional Fit
Guard
70%
Wing
80%
Big
70%
Future Value
Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.
42
/ 100
#398 of 450
Cumulative Wins — 50% weight
39
Peak Ceiling — 20% weight
38
Contract Surplus — 30% weight
50
Tendencies
Salary
$1.8M
Years Left
1
Expiry
2051
Option
None
Status
-
Trade Value
0.140
Contract Breakdown
| Season | Salary | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| 2050-51 | $1,750,000 | Signed contract via Free Agency with Chicago Jailbirds |
Win Model Development
Win Model Score
3.008
Expected WM
3.098
Dev Residual
-0.0893
Peak Age
26
Peak Win Model
3.037
PA Tier
Low
Upside Gap
-2.5
Dev Status
Behind Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.
Win Model Trajectory
Most Similar Players
Predicted Archetype
Offensive
Defensive
Win Value Development
Stage
Developing
Peak Age
29
Peak Win Value
13.4
Years to Peak
4
Current Win Value
11.1
Confidence
LOW
Win Value Trajectory
Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)
Current WV
2.282
Projected Peak WV
2.766
Peak Age
29
Years to Peak
7
WV Growth
+0.484
Rating Trainability
| Rating | Current | Growth/yr | Class | Peak Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Foul Drawing | 14 | +1.23 | High Growth | 31 |
| Help Defense | 7 | +0.66 | High Growth | 27 |
| Off-Ball Defense | 11 | +0.55 | High Growth | 28 |
| Ball Dominance | 13 | +0.55 | High Growth | 28 |
| Gravity | 18 | +0.52 | High Growth | 29 |
| Spacing | 15 | +0.45 | High Growth | 18 |
| Post Execution | 3 | +0.40 | High Growth | 29 |
| Playmaking | 14 | +0.40 | High Growth | 29 |
| Stealing | 15 | +0.38 | High Growth | 19 |
| Finishing | 12 | +0.37 | High Growth | 27 |
| Defensive Rebounding | 9 | +0.37 | High Growth | 18 |
| Offensive Rebounding | 8 | +0.36 | High Growth | 18 |
| Strength | 5 | +0.35 | High Growth | 18 |
| Pick & Roll Execution | 18 | +0.34 | High Growth | 18 |
| Passing | 13 | +0.33 | High Growth | 18 |
| Self-Creation | 16 | +0.32 | High Growth | 19 |
| Isolation Execution | 10 | +0.32 | High Growth | 18 |
| 3PT Shooting | 15 | +0.31 | High Growth | 19 |
| Ball Handling | 9 | +0.30 | High Growth | 19 |
| On-Ball Perimeter Defense | 13 | +0.30 | High Growth | 18 |
| Shoot Off Dribble | 14 | +0.28 | Moderate Growth | 18 |
| Rim Protection | 7 | +0.26 | Moderate Growth | 18 |
| Inside Shooting | 14 | +0.25 | Moderate Growth | 18 |
| Post Defense | 6 | +0.17 | Moderate Growth | 18 |
| Basketball IQ | 7 | +0.07 | Low Growth | 19 |
| Endurance | 9 | +0.05 | Low Growth | 20 |
| Speed | 10 | +0.01 | Low Growth | 18 |
| Free Throws | 17 | +0.00 | Unknown | - |
| First Step | 6 | -0.01 | Low Growth | 18 |
| Mid-Range Shooting | 10 | -0.03 | Low Growth | 19 |
| Quickness | 14 | -0.08 | Low Growth | 19 |
| Athleticism | 12 | -0.08 | Low Growth | 19 |