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Ike Person Jr

Ike Person Jr

PF

Seattle Thunder · Roll-and-Cut Big / Anchor Big

College: Georgetown · Laguna Beach, California

Physical defensive center

A star-level defensive power forward averaging 8.3 PPG, 11.4 RPG, 1.2 APG. Excels in post defense (19 rating, 99th pctl), offensive rebounding (19 rating, 99th pctl) and strength (19 rating, 99th pctl). Limited by perimeter defense (1 rating, 6th pctl) and off-ball defense (5 rating, 7th pctl).

63
Impact
37
Future
5.0
CA
4.0
PA
29
Age
$31.0M
Salary
3.654
Bal WV

Skill Badges

(8)
O Glass Cleaner (S) O Gravity Generator (S) O Post Hub (B) O Iso Scorer (B) O Floater Game (B) D Paint Wall (S) D Rim Eraser (S) D Help Defender (B)
Dereck Lively II
NBA Comparison
Dereck Lively II
2024-25
78%
Style
78%
Level
7'1" · 230lbs
9.5/7.5/1.5 (PPG/RPG/APG)
Rim protector Rebounder
Alt comp
Rudy Gobert
2024-25 · 74%
2050 Projection
Peak Ridge: 12.4
Stage: Declining
Peak Age: 31 (past peak)
Future Value: 37
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG 8.3 47
RPG 11.4 99
APG 1.2 38
SPG 0.4 33
BPG 2.5 99
MPG 32.8 90
Shooting
FG% 0.511 75
3P% 0.3 29
FT% 0.762 30
TS% 0.58 52
Impact
Impact 63 87
Off Impact 45 34
Def Impact 72 94
Advanced
Player Efficiency Rating 12.0 26
WS 6.8 87
Box Score Impact 2.6 79
Value Over Replacement 2.8 88
Positional BSI 2.16 +0.44

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
Post Defense 19 (coef=0.0333)
Defensive Rebounding 18 (coef=0.0226)
Rim Protection 19 (coef=0.0168)
Offensive Rebounding 19 (coef=0.0160)
Inside Shooting 17 (coef=0.0155)
Weaknesses
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 1 (coef=0.0330)
3PT Shooting 12 (coef=0.0196)
Spacing 6 (coef=0.0196)
Passing 8 (coef=0.0156)
Foul Drawing 10 (coef=0.0102)

Expected vs Actual Production

Stat Actual Expected Delta
PPG 8.3 16.2 -7.9
RPG 11.4 9.2 +2.2
APG 1.2 1.3 -0.1
SPG 0.4 1.2 -0.8
BPG 2.5 1.7 +0.8
TPG - 1.8
FG% 0.511 0.5 +0.0
3P% 0.3 0.3 +0.0
FT% 0.762 0.5 +0.3

Play Style

Driving Frequency
3:97%

Positional Fit

Guard 50%
Wing 50%
Big 90%

Player Impact Breakdown

Solid starter score driven by strong On-Court Impact. Defense is the primary value driver.

63 / 100 #67 of 435
On-Court Impact — 60% weight +0.86z
On-Court Impact +2.18 (Off +0.39, Def +1.79)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight +0.65z
Win Model Score: 3.6379
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.00z
Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
45
#306
Defense
72
#26
Confidence
100%
2394 min
Position Model (C)
Predicted Positional BSI: 2.16 Actual: 2.6 +0.44
Performing in line with C model predictions

Future Value

Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.

37 / 100 #457 of 450
Cumulative Wins — 50% weight 50
Peak Ceiling — 20% weight 51
Contract Surplus — 30% weight 6
Future Value well below current Impact (63) — likely declining asset

League Percentile Profile

PPG
35
TS%
50
BPM
77
WS/48
78
RAPM
76
USG%
3
PA/100
53
BCI
9

Shot Quality

PA/100
-0.13
Points Added
-0.9
Selection
0.984
FGA
685
Zone Breakdown
Rim
56.1%
353 FGA (52%)
Above Break Three
32.3%
133 FGA (19%)
Other
72.7%
11 FGA (2%)
Short Midrange
35.3%
170 FGA (25%)
Long Midrange
33.3%
18 FGA (3%)

Creation & Scoring Load

Box Creation
3.34
Load Tier
Average
Eff Delta
+0.6%
USG%
10.8%
Tendencies
Salary
$31.0M
Years Left
2
Expiry
2052
Option
None
Status
-
Trade Value
0.516

Contract Breakdown

Season Salary Notes
2050-51 $31,000,000
2051-52 $31,000,000
Total Owed $62,000,000

Win Model Development

Win Model Score
3.638
Expected WM
4.042
Dev Residual
-0.4039
Peak Age
31
Peak Win Model
3.754
PA Tier
High
Upside Gap
-1.0
Dev Status
Behind Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
T
Tiago Fernandes Nashville Stars 23 4.0 97.4% Versatile Big / Mobile Big
J
Jamaya Patton Indiana Stonecutters 23 4.5 97.2% Versatile Big / Mobile Big
J
Jose Vazquez Salt Lake City Saints 23 3.0 97.0% Versatile Big / Helper
N
Nikola Kojic Chicago Jailbirds 19 3.0 96.9% Versatile Big / Mobile Big
J
John Ford Denver Dragons 30 4.0 96.8% Versatile Big / Helper

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive

Win Value Development

Stage
Declining
Peak Age
31
Peak Win Value
12.4
Years to Peak
-2
Current Win Value
12.3
Confidence
HIGH

Win Value Trajectory

Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)

Current WV
2.678
Projected Peak WV
2.688
Peak Age
31
Years to Peak
2
WV Growth
+0.009

Rating Trainability

Rating Current Growth/yr Class Peak Age
Foul Drawing 10 +1.23 High Growth 31
Help Defense 17 +0.66 High Growth 27
Off-Ball Defense 5 +0.55 High Growth 28
Ball Dominance 16 +0.55 High Growth 28
Gravity 19 +0.52 High Growth 29
Spacing 6 +0.45 High Growth 18
Post Execution 14 +0.40 High Growth 29
Playmaking 7 +0.40 High Growth 29
Stealing 18 +0.38 High Growth 19
Finishing 11 +0.37 High Growth 27
Defensive Rebounding 18 +0.37 High Growth 18
Offensive Rebounding 19 +0.36 High Growth 18
Strength 19 +0.35 High Growth 18
Pick & Roll Execution 13 +0.34 High Growth 18
Passing 8 +0.33 High Growth 18
Self-Creation 19 +0.32 High Growth 19
Isolation Execution 15 +0.32 High Growth 18
3PT Shooting 12 +0.31 High Growth 19
Ball Handling 5 +0.30 High Growth 19
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 1 +0.30 High Growth 18
Shoot Off Dribble 6 +0.28 Moderate Growth 18
Rim Protection 19 +0.26 Moderate Growth 18
Inside Shooting 17 +0.25 Moderate Growth 18
Post Defense 19 +0.17 Moderate Growth 18
Basketball IQ 16 +0.07 Low Growth 19
Endurance 9 +0.05 Low Growth 20
Speed 5 +0.01 Low Growth 18
Free Throws 14 +0.00 Unknown -
First Step 11 -0.01 Low Growth 18
Mid-Range Shooting 15 -0.03 Low Growth 19
Quickness 11 -0.08 Low Growth 19
Athleticism 9 -0.08 Low Growth 19
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