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Jamal Carter

Jamal Carter

PF

Toronto Huskies · Post Scorer / Helper

College: Cornell · Canonsburg, Pennsylvania

Bruising paint-anchoring center

A rotation power forward averaging 4.4 PPG, 3.7 RPG, 0.4 APG. Excels in rim protection (19 rating, 99th pctl), foul drawing (19 rating, 98th pctl) and post execution (18 rating, 95th pctl). Limited by off-ball defense (5 rating, 7th pctl) and ball dominance (7 rating, 7th pctl).

46
Impact
32
Future
3.5
CA
3.5
PA
21
Age
$2.6M
Salary
3.048
Bal WV

Skill Badges

(3)
O Post Hub (B) D Paint Wall (B) D Rim Eraser (B)
Jarrett Allen
NBA Comparison
Budget Jarrett Allen
2024-25
81%
Style
81%
Level
6'11" · 243lbs
14.0/10.0/1.5 (PPG/RPG/APG)
Efficient scorer Rim protector Rebounder Free throw merchant Defensive anchor
Alt comp
Nic Claxton
2023-24 · 76%
2050 Projection
Peak Ridge: 12.3
Stage: Developing
Peak Age: 29 (6yr away)
Future Value: 32
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG 4.4 21
RPG 3.7 56
APG 0.4 9
SPG 0.3 26
BPG 0.9 69
MPG 11.8 19
Shooting
FG% 0.53 81
3P% - 16
FT% 0.844 61
TS% 0.619 84
Impact
Impact 46 37
Off Impact 42 22
Def Impact 49 49
Advanced
Player Efficiency Rating 16.0 65
WS 1.7 36
Box Score Impact -1.1 33
Value Over Replacement 0.1 35
Positional BSI -0.08 -1.02

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
Post Defense 16 (coef=0.0333)
Defensive Rebounding 15 (coef=0.0226)
Rim Protection 19 (coef=0.0168)
Foul Drawing 19 (coef=0.0102)
Post Execution 18 (coef=0.0074)
Weaknesses
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 2 (coef=0.0330)
3PT Shooting 9 (coef=0.0196)
Spacing 3 (coef=0.0196)
Passing 8 (coef=0.0156)
Ball Dominance 7 (coef=0.0152)

Expected vs Actual Production

Stat Actual Expected Delta
PPG 4.4 1.0 +3.4
RPG 3.7 5.2 -1.5
APG 0.4 -0.5 +0.9
SPG 0.3 -0.2 +0.6
BPG 0.9 1.1 -0.2
TPG - 0.1
FG% 0.53 0.5 +0.0
3P% 0.0 0.2 -0.2
FT% 0.844 0.4 +0.4

Play Style

Driving Frequency
96:4%

Positional Fit

Guard 20%
Wing 40%
Big 80%

Player Impact Breakdown

Average score driven by modest Win Model Score.

46 / 100 #293 of 435
On-Court Impact — 60% weight -0.28z
On-Court Impact -0.66 (Off -0.65, Def -0.01)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight -0.64z
Win Model Score: 3.0368
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.00z
Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
42
#354
Defense
49
#247
Confidence
60%
638 min
Position Model (C)
Predicted Positional BSI: -0.08 Actual: -1.1 -1.02
Significantly underperforming C model predictions

Future Value

Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.

32 / 100 #495 of 450
Cumulative Wins — 50% weight 28
Peak Ceiling — 20% weight 26
Contract Surplus — 30% weight 45
Future Value below current Impact (46) — may be approaching decline

League Percentile Profile

PPG
5
TS%
87
BPM
31
WS/48
74
RAPM
76
USG%
18
PA/100
18
BCI
22

Shot Quality

PA/100
-7.85
Points Added
-15.0
Selection
0.916
FGA
191
Zone Breakdown
Short Midrange
33.3%
60 FGA (31%)
Rim
48.3%
120 FGA (63%)
Other
40.0%
5 FGA (3%)
Long Midrange
0.0%
6 FGA (3%)

Creation & Scoring Load

Box Creation
4.72
Load Tier
Elite
Eff Delta
+4.4%
USG%
14.7%
Tendencies
Salary
$2.6M
Years Left
1
Expiry
2051
Option
None
Status
-
Trade Value
0.415

Contract Breakdown

Season Salary Notes
2050-51 $2,650,000 Toronto Huskies exercised option

Win Model Development

Win Model Score
3.037
Expected WM
3.400
Dev Residual
-0.3630
Peak Age
31
Peak Win Model
3.667
PA Tier
Medium
Upside Gap
0.0
Dev Status
Behind Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
D
Duran Hamdy Detroit Mustangs 20 3.0 98.2% Versatile Big / Helper
J
Jamaya Patton Indiana Stonecutters 23 4.5 97.7% Versatile Big / Mobile Big
J
Jose Vazquez Salt Lake City Saints 23 3.0 97.4% Versatile Big / Helper
I
Ishaq Osten Cleveland Giants 23 5.0 97.4% Versatile Big / Mobile Big
J
John Ford Denver Dragons 30 4.0 97.2% Versatile Big / Helper

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive

Win Value Development

Stage
Developing
Peak Age
29
Peak Win Value
12.3
Years to Peak
6
Current Win Value
9.9
Confidence
HIGH

Win Value Trajectory

Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)

Current WV
2.178
Projected Peak WV
2.709
Peak Age
29
Years to Peak
8
WV Growth
+0.531

Rating Trainability

Rating Current Growth/yr Class Peak Age
Foul Drawing 19 +1.23 High Growth 31
Help Defense 16 +0.66 High Growth 27
Off-Ball Defense 5 +0.55 High Growth 28
Ball Dominance 7 +0.55 High Growth 28
Gravity 8 +0.52 High Growth 29
Spacing 3 +0.45 High Growth 18
Post Execution 18 +0.40 High Growth 29
Playmaking 7 +0.40 High Growth 29
Stealing 6 +0.38 High Growth 19
Finishing 14 +0.37 High Growth 27
Defensive Rebounding 15 +0.37 High Growth 18
Offensive Rebounding 13 +0.36 High Growth 18
Strength 15 +0.35 High Growth 18
Pick & Roll Execution 10 +0.34 High Growth 18
Passing 8 +0.33 High Growth 18
Self-Creation 10 +0.32 High Growth 19
Isolation Execution 10 +0.32 High Growth 18
3PT Shooting 9 +0.31 High Growth 19
Ball Handling 2 +0.30 High Growth 19
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 2 +0.30 High Growth 18
Shoot Off Dribble 6 +0.28 Moderate Growth 18
Rim Protection 19 +0.26 Moderate Growth 18
Inside Shooting 16 +0.25 Moderate Growth 18
Post Defense 16 +0.17 Moderate Growth 18
Basketball IQ 14 +0.07 Low Growth 19
Endurance 7 +0.05 Low Growth 20
Speed 3 +0.01 Low Growth 18
Free Throws 16 +0.00 Unknown -
First Step 7 -0.01 Low Growth 18
Mid-Range Shooting 6 -0.03 Low Growth 19
Quickness 5 -0.08 Low Growth 19
Athleticism 8 -0.08 Low Growth 19
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