Marquese Henshaw

Miami Cyclones · Roll-and-Cut Big / Mobile Big

College: Oklahoma State · Terry, Mississippi

Bulldozing paint-anchoring center

A solid center averaging 12.3 PPG, 9.0 RPG, 1.3 APG. Excels in finishing (20 rating, 100th pctl), help defense (19 rating, 99th pctl) and offensive rebounding (19 rating, 99th pctl). Limited by shoot off dribble (1 rating, 2nd pctl) and pick-and-roll execution (4 rating, 2nd pctl).

Impact

Future

5.0

3.5

Age

$14.0M

Salary

3.252

Bal WV

Skill Badges

(7)

O Glass Cleaner (S) O Posterizer (S) O Floater Game (S) O Post Hub (S) D Rim Eraser (S) D Paint Wall (S) D Help Defender (B)

NBA Comparison

Nic Claxton

2023-24

82%

Style

82%

Level

6'11" · 215lbs

12.0/8.0/2.0 (PPG/RPG/APG)

Efficient scorer Rim protector Rebounder Free throw merchant

Alt comp

Mark Williams

2023-24 · 81%

2050 Projection

Peak Ridge: 12.0

Stage: Developing

Peak Age: 29 (2yr away)

Future Value: 40

Stat	Value	Pctl
Per Game
PPG	12.3	68
RPG	9.0	93
APG	1.3	40
SPG	0.6	47
BPG	2.5	99
MPG	31.3	81
Shooting
FG%	0.562	89
3P%	-	16
FT%	0.899	87
TS%	0.647	93
Impact
Impact	56	71
Off Impact	49	49
Def Impact	59	81
Advanced
Player Efficiency Rating	16.6	72
WS	8.6	95
Box Score Impact	1.1	63
Value Over Replacement	2.0	77
Positional BSI	-0.02	+1.12

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths

Post Defense 17 (coef=0.0333)

Defensive Rebounding 17 (coef=0.0226)

Rim Protection 19 (coef=0.0168)

Offensive Rebounding 19 (coef=0.0160)

Inside Shooting 17 (coef=0.0155)

Weaknesses

On-Ball Perimeter Defense 6 (coef=0.0330)

3PT Shooting 6 (coef=0.0196)

Spacing 3 (coef=0.0196)

Passing 9 (coef=0.0156)

Ball Dominance 9 (coef=0.0152)

Expected vs Actual Production

Stat	Actual	Expected	Delta
PPG	12.3	13.4	-1.1
RPG	9.0	9.2	-0.2
APG	1.3	1.9	-0.7
SPG	0.6	0.7	-0.1
BPG	2.5	1.7	+0.8
TPG	-	1.4
FG%	0.562	0.5	+0.0
3P%	0.0	0.2	-0.2
FT%	0.899	0.4	+0.5

Play Style

Driving Frequency

90:10%

Positional Fit

Guard 50%

Wing 60%

Big 90%

Player Impact Breakdown

Solid starter score driven by strong On-Court Impact. Outperforms his ratings on the court.

56 / 100 #133 of 435

On-Court Impact — 60% weight +0.92z

On-Court Impact +2.32 (Off +2.12, Def +0.20)

Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight -0.38z

Win Model Score: 3.2394

Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.00z

Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)

Offense

#242

Defense

#94

Confidence

100%

2562 min

Position Model (C)

Predicted Positional BSI: -0.02 Actual: 1.1 +1.12

Significantly outperforming C model predictions

Future Value

Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.

40 / 100 #423 of 450

Cumulative Wins — 50% weight 41

Peak Ceiling — 20% weight 41

Contract Surplus — 30% weight 37

Future Value well below current Impact (56) — likely declining asset

League Percentile Profile

PPG

TS%

BPM

WS/48

RAPM

USG%

PA/100

BCI

Shot Quality

PA/100

-0.27

Points Added

-2.1

Selection

0.934

FGA

767

Zone Breakdown

Rim

54.3%

501 FGA (65%)

Short Midrange

33.6%

238 FGA (31%)

Long Midrange

8.7%

23 FGA (3%)

Other

60.0%

5 FGA (1%)

Creation & Scoring Load

Box Creation

5.48

Load Tier

Elite

Eff Delta

+7.2%

USG%

14.7%

Tendencies

Salary

$14.0M

Years Left

Expiry

2051

Option

None

Status

Trade Value

0.482

Contract Breakdown

Season	Salary	Notes
2050-51	$14,000,000

Win Model Development

Win Model Score

3.239

Expected WM

3.431

Dev Residual

-0.1918

Peak Age

Peak Win Model

3.430

PA Tier

Medium

Upside Gap

-1.5

Dev Status

Behind Curve

Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

	Player	Team	Age	CA	Similarity	Archetype
X	Xavian Millinghaus	Oklahoma City Barons	22	3.0	98.5%	Post Scorer / Anchor Big
T	Triston Dantley	Los Angeles Fireballs	20	4.0	98.4%	Post Scorer / Anchor Big
E	Emeka Nyambi	Pittsburgh Vipers	33	3.5	98.2%	Post Scorer / Anchor Big
I	Isaac Lopez	Portland Lumberjacks	23	4.0	98.0%	Post Scorer / Mobile Big
T	Tafari Stephens	Salt Lake City Saints	23	4.5	98.0%	Roll-and-Cut Big / Anchor Big

Predicted Archetype

Offensive

Defensive

Win Value Development

Stage

Developing

Peak Age

Peak Win Value

12.0

Years to Peak

Current Win Value

11.3

Confidence

HIGH

Win Value Trajectory

Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)

Current WV

2.487

Projected Peak WV

2.630

Peak Age

Years to Peak

WV Growth

+0.143

Rating Trainability

Rating	Current	Growth/yr	Class	Peak Age
Foul Drawing	19	+1.23	High Growth	31
Help Defense	19	+0.66	High Growth	27
Off-Ball Defense	8	+0.55	High Growth	28
Ball Dominance	9	+0.55	High Growth	28
Gravity	10	+0.52	High Growth	29
Spacing	3	+0.45	High Growth	18
Post Execution	16	+0.40	High Growth	29
Playmaking	9	+0.40	High Growth	29
Stealing	10	+0.38	High Growth	19
Finishing	20	+0.37	High Growth	27
Defensive Rebounding	17	+0.37	High Growth	18
Offensive Rebounding	19	+0.36	High Growth	18
Strength	19	+0.35	High Growth	18
Pick & Roll Execution	4	+0.34	High Growth	18
Passing	9	+0.33	High Growth	18
Self-Creation	14	+0.32	High Growth	19
Isolation Execution	18	+0.32	High Growth	18
3PT Shooting	6	+0.31	High Growth	19
Ball Handling	6	+0.30	High Growth	19
On-Ball Perimeter Defense	6	+0.30	High Growth	18
Shoot Off Dribble	1	+0.28	Moderate Growth	18
Rim Protection	19	+0.26	Moderate Growth	18
Inside Shooting	17	+0.25	Moderate Growth	18
Post Defense	17	+0.17	Moderate Growth	18
Basketball IQ	17	+0.07	Low Growth	19
Endurance	6	+0.05	Low Growth	20
Speed	4	+0.01	Low Growth	18
Free Throws	17	+0.00	Unknown	-
First Step	4	-0.01	Low Growth	18
Mid-Range Shooting	5	-0.03	Low Growth	19
Quickness	11	-0.08	Low Growth	19
Athleticism	15	-0.08	Low Growth	19

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