Triston Dantley

Los Angeles Fireballs · Post Scorer / Anchor Big

College: Marquette · Halstead, Kansas

Shot-blocking center

A rotation power forward averaging 15.3 PPG, 12.6 RPG, 1.2 APG. Excels in 2.6 BPG (100th pctl), 12.6 RPG (99th pctl) and strength (17 rating, 88th pctl). Limited by pick-and-roll execution (4 rating, 2nd pctl) and three-point shooting (6 rating, 7th pctl).

Impact

Future

4.0

5.0

Age

$4.8M

Salary

3.042

Bal WV

Skill Badges

(3)

O Glass Cleaner (B) D Rim Eraser (S) D Paint Wall (B)

NBA Comparison

Ivica Zubac

2024-25

80%

Style

80%

Level

7'1" · 270lbs

16.0/12.0/2.0 (PPG/RPG/APG)

Rim protector Rebounder Inside scorer

Alt comp

Jarrett Allen

2024-25 · 73%

2050 Projection

Peak Ridge: 13.8

Stage: Developing

Peak Age: 29 (7yr away)

Future Value: 41

Stat	Value	Pctl
Per Game
PPG	15.3	79
RPG	12.6	99
APG	1.2	38
SPG	0.5	41
BPG	2.6	100
MPG	33.2	94
Shooting
FG%	0.552	86
3P%	-	16
FT%	0.679	14
TS%	0.582	54
Impact
Impact	44	28
Off Impact	35	9
Def Impact	58	78
Advanced
Player Efficiency Rating	16.2	68
WS	6.4	86
Box Score Impact	-2.3	22
Value Over Replacement	-0.2	14
Positional BSI	-1.21	-1.09

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths

Post Defense 16 (coef=0.0333)

Defensive Rebounding 17 (coef=0.0226)

Rim Protection 19 (coef=0.0168)

Offensive Rebounding 15 (coef=0.0160)

Foul Drawing 15 (coef=0.0102)

Weaknesses

On-Ball Perimeter Defense 6 (coef=0.0330)

3PT Shooting 6 (coef=0.0196)

Spacing 2 (coef=0.0196)

Passing 10 (coef=0.0156)

Inside Shooting 14 (coef=0.0155)

Expected vs Actual Production

Stat	Actual	Expected	Delta
PPG	15.3	14.8	+0.5
RPG	12.6	9.3	+3.3
APG	1.2	2.3	-1.1
SPG	0.5	0.8	-0.3
BPG	2.6	1.8	+0.8
TPG	-	1.6
FG%	0.552	0.5	+0.0
3P%	0.0	0.2	-0.2
FT%	0.679	0.5	+0.2

Play Style

Driving Frequency

79:21%

Positional Fit

Guard 50%

Wing 60%

Big 80%

Player Impact Breakdown

Below-average score driven by weak Win Model Score. Defense is the primary value driver.

44 / 100 #329 of 435

On-Court Impact — 60% weight +0.37z

On-Court Impact +0.96 (Off +0.46, Def +0.51)

Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight -1.25z

Win Model Score: 3.0308

Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.00z

Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)

Offense

#401

Defense

#105

Confidence

100%

2724 min

Position Model (C)

Predicted Positional BSI: -1.21 Actual: -2.3 -1.09

Significantly underperforming C model predictions

Future Value

Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.

41 / 100 #414 of 450

Cumulative Wins — 50% weight 39

Peak Ceiling — 20% weight 39

Contract Surplus — 30% weight 46

Future Value in line with current Impact (44)

League Percentile Profile

PPG

TS%

BPM

WS/48

RAPM

USG%

PA/100

BCI

Shot Quality

PA/100

+4.34

Points Added

+47.4

Selection

0.923

FGA

1090

Zone Breakdown

Short Midrange

34.0%

391 FGA (36%)

Rim

58.7%

625 FGA (57%)

Long Midrange

33.9%

59 FGA (5%)

Other

53.8%

13 FGA (1%)

Above Break Three

0.0%

2 FGA (0%)

Creation & Scoring Load

Box Creation

4.42

Load Tier

Average

Eff Delta

+0.6%

USG%

18.7%

Tendencies

Salary

$4.8M

Years Left

Expiry

2051

Option

Team Option

Status

Trade Value

0.451

Contract Breakdown

Season	Salary	Notes
2050-51	$4,750,000

Win Model Development

Win Model Score

3.031

Expected WM

3.516

Dev Residual

-0.4848

Peak Age

Peak Win Model

3.929

PA Tier

High

Upside Gap

1.0

Dev Status

Behind Curve

Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

	Player	Team	Age	CA	Similarity	Archetype
D	Duran Hamdy	Detroit Mustangs	20	3.0	98.3%	Versatile Big / Helper
J	Jack Meyer	Washington Pilots	27	4.5	98.1%	Versatile Big / Mobile Big
J	Jamaya Patton	Indiana Stonecutters	23	4.5	97.7%	Versatile Big / Mobile Big
S	Steve Comino	Vancouver Wolves	27	4.5	97.7%	Versatile Big / Mobile Big
R	Rayvon Nassar	Phoenix Vultures	22	3.5	97.7%	Versatile Big / Mobile Big

Predicted Archetype

Offensive

Defensive

Win Value Development

Stage

Developing

Peak Age

Peak Win Value

13.8

Years to Peak

Current Win Value

10.9

Confidence

HIGH

Win Value Trajectory

Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)

Current WV

2.354

Projected Peak WV

2.988

Peak Age

Years to Peak

WV Growth

+0.634

Rating Trainability

Rating	Current	Growth/yr	Class	Peak Age
Foul Drawing	15	+1.23	High Growth	31
Help Defense	16	+0.66	High Growth	27
Off-Ball Defense	13	+0.55	High Growth	28
Ball Dominance	10	+0.55	High Growth	28
Gravity	10	+0.52	High Growth	29
Spacing	2	+0.45	High Growth	18
Post Execution	14	+0.40	High Growth	29
Playmaking	5	+0.40	High Growth	29
Stealing	9	+0.38	High Growth	19
Finishing	15	+0.37	High Growth	27
Defensive Rebounding	17	+0.37	High Growth	18
Offensive Rebounding	15	+0.36	High Growth	18
Strength	17	+0.35	High Growth	18
Pick & Roll Execution	4	+0.34	High Growth	18
Passing	10	+0.33	High Growth	18
Self-Creation	13	+0.32	High Growth	19
Isolation Execution	8	+0.32	High Growth	18
3PT Shooting	6	+0.31	High Growth	19
Ball Handling	7	+0.30	High Growth	19
On-Ball Perimeter Defense	6	+0.30	High Growth	18
Shoot Off Dribble	6	+0.28	Moderate Growth	18
Rim Protection	19	+0.26	Moderate Growth	18
Inside Shooting	14	+0.25	Moderate Growth	18
Post Defense	16	+0.17	Moderate Growth	18
Basketball IQ	12	+0.07	Low Growth	19
Endurance	9	+0.05	Low Growth	20
Speed	10	+0.01	Low Growth	18
Free Throws	11	+0.00	Unknown	-
First Step	12	-0.01	Low Growth	18
Mid-Range Shooting	6	-0.03	Low Growth	19
Quickness	14	-0.08	Low Growth	19
Athleticism	13	-0.08	Low Growth	19

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