Desmond NGanga

Seattle Thunder · Primary Ballhandler / Point Of Attack

College: UNLV · Preston, Idaho

Polished 3-and-d guard

A solid point guard averaging 5.6 PPG, 0.7 RPG, 3.8 APG. Excels in free throws (19 rating, 99th pctl), endurance (18 rating, 99th pctl) and three-point shooting (19 rating, 99th pctl). Limited by offensive rebounding (2 rating, 2nd pctl) and strength (1 rating, 2nd pctl).

Impact

Future

3.5

1.5

Age

$5.5M

Salary

2.926

Bal WV

Skill Badges

(10)

O Gravity Generator (S) O Sniper (B) O Lob Threat (B) O Floor General (B) O PnR Maestro (B) O Floater Game (B) O Slasher (B) O Pull-Up Threat (B) O Pop Threat (B) O Ankle Breaker (B)

NBA Comparison

Budget Tyrese Haliburton

2024-25

77%

Style

77%

Level

6'5" · 185lbs

17.0/4.0/9.0 (PPG/RPG/APG)

Efficient scorer Elite playmaker 3PT specialist Ball handler

Alt comp

Kyle Lowry

2021-22 · 58%

2050 Projection

Peak Ridge: 11.3

Stage: Prime

Peak Age: 30 (past peak)

Future Value: 45

Stat	Value	Pctl
Per Game
PPG	5.6	29
RPG	0.7	8
APG	3.8	78
SPG	0.7	52
BPG	-	15
MPG	14.4	28
Shooting
FG%	0.487	64
3P%	0.438	90
FT%	0.882	80
TS%	0.652	95
Impact
Impact	52	59
Off Impact	65	91
Def Impact	34	7
Advanced
Player Efficiency Rating	16.4	70
WS	4.6	73
Box Score Impact	0.6	57
Value Over Replacement	0.7	55
Positional BSI	-1.62	+2.22

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths

3PT Shooting 19 (coef=0.0196)

Passing 17 (coef=0.0156)

Inside Shooting 17 (coef=0.0155)

Ball Dominance 17 (coef=0.0152)

Shoot Off Dribble 16 (coef=0.0134)

Weaknesses

Post Defense 2 (coef=0.0333)

Defensive Rebounding 3 (coef=0.0226)

Rim Protection 1 (coef=0.0168)

Offensive Rebounding 2 (coef=0.0160)

Foul Drawing 9 (coef=0.0102)

Expected vs Actual Production

Stat	Actual	Expected	Delta
PPG	5.6	6.5	-0.9
RPG	0.7	-0.7	+1.4
APG	3.8	3.6	+0.2
SPG	0.7	0.7	+0.0
BPG	0.0	-0.1	+0.1
TPG	-	0.8
FG%	0.487	0.5	+0.0
3P%	0.438	0.4	+0.1
FT%	0.882	0.5	+0.4

Play Style

Driving Frequency

27:73%

Positional Fit

Guard 80%

Wing 80%

Big 40%

Player Impact Breakdown

Average score driven by strong On-Court Impact. Outperforms his ratings on the court. Offense is the primary value driver.

52 / 100 #195 of 435

On-Court Impact — 60% weight +1.09z

On-Court Impact +2.75 (Off +2.58, Def +0.21)

Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight -1.02z

Win Model Score: 2.9087

Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.00z

Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)

Offense

#46

Defense

#411

Confidence

85%

1079 min

Position Model (PG)

Predicted Positional BSI: -1.62 Actual: 0.6 +2.22

Significantly outperforming PG model predictions

Future Value

Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.

45 / 100 #365 of 450

Cumulative Wins — 50% weight 40

Peak Ceiling — 20% weight 40

Contract Surplus — 30% weight 56

Future Value below current Impact (52) — may be approaching decline

League Percentile Profile

PPG

TS%

BPM

WS/48

RAPM

USG%

PA/100

BCI

Shot Quality

PA/100

+19.12

Points Added

+69.2

Selection

0.991

FGA

362

Zone Breakdown

Above Break Three

41.4%

232 FGA (64%)

Long Midrange

72.7%

11 FGA (3%)

Rim

57.8%

90 FGA (25%)

Short Midrange

34.5%

29 FGA (8%)

Creation & Scoring Load

Box Creation

23.47

Load Tier

Elite

Eff Delta

+7.7%

USG%

14.8%

Tendencies

Salary

$5.5M

Years Left

Expiry

2052

Option

None

Status

Trade Value

0.392

Contract Breakdown

Season	Salary	Notes
2050-51	$5,500,000	Re-signed with Seattle Thunder
2051-52	$5,500,000
Total Owed	$11,000,000

Win Model Development

Win Model Score

2.909

Expected WM

3.219

Dev Residual

-0.3104

Peak Age

Peak Win Model

2.909

PA Tier

Low

Upside Gap

-2.0

Dev Status

Behind Curve

Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

	Player	Team	Age	CA	Similarity	Archetype
C	Cory Collins-Carter	Austin Rockets	33	4.0	98.1%	Shot Creator / Point Of Attack
L	Lincoln Rutherford	St Louis Skyhawks	30	4.5	97.7%	Primary Ballhandler / Point Of Attack
M	Merlin Rooks	Toronto Huskies	20	3.0	97.7%	Primary Ballhandler / Point Of Attack
Z	Zach Camara	Minneapolis Blizzards	30	4.5	97.6%	Shot Creator / Point Of Attack
L	Luis Oliveira	Oklahoma City Barons	24	4.0	97.2%	Primary Ballhandler / Point Of Attack

Predicted Archetype

Offensive

Defensive

Win Value Development

Stage

Prime

Peak Age

Peak Win Value

11.3

Years to Peak

Current Win Value

11.3

Confidence

MEDIUM

Win Value Trajectory

Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)

Current WV

1.967

Projected Peak WV

1.967

Peak Age

Years to Peak

WV Growth

+0.000

Rating Trainability

Rating	Current	Growth/yr	Class	Peak Age
Foul Drawing	9	+1.23	High Growth	31
Help Defense	9	+0.66	High Growth	27
Off-Ball Defense	16	+0.55	High Growth	28
Ball Dominance	17	+0.55	High Growth	28
Gravity	17	+0.52	High Growth	29
Spacing	10	+0.45	High Growth	18
Post Execution	5	+0.40	High Growth	29
Playmaking	18	+0.40	High Growth	29
Stealing	14	+0.38	High Growth	19
Finishing	19	+0.37	High Growth	27
Defensive Rebounding	3	+0.37	High Growth	18
Offensive Rebounding	2	+0.36	High Growth	18
Strength	1	+0.35	High Growth	18
Pick & Roll Execution	17	+0.34	High Growth	18
Passing	17	+0.33	High Growth	18
Self-Creation	13	+0.32	High Growth	19
Isolation Execution	12	+0.32	High Growth	18
3PT Shooting	19	+0.31	High Growth	19
Ball Handling	18	+0.30	High Growth	19
On-Ball Perimeter Defense	13	+0.30	High Growth	18
Shoot Off Dribble	16	+0.28	Moderate Growth	18
Rim Protection	1	+0.26	Moderate Growth	18
Inside Shooting	17	+0.25	Moderate Growth	18
Post Defense	2	+0.17	Moderate Growth	18
Basketball IQ	13	+0.07	Low Growth	19
Endurance	18	+0.05	Low Growth	20
Speed	10	+0.01	Low Growth	18
Free Throws	19	+0.00	Unknown	-
First Step	15	-0.01	Low Growth	18
Mid-Range Shooting	13	-0.03	Low Growth	19
Quickness	11	-0.08	Low Growth	19
Athleticism	14	-0.08	Low Growth	19

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