Dashboard›JBL Players›Jarion Swerlein
Jarion Swerlein

Jarion Swerlein

PG

Cincinnati Kings · Slasher / Helper

College: UC-Davis · Hayward, California

Scrappy playmaking forward

A solid point guard averaging 0.7 PPG, 1.0 RPG, 0.7 APG. Excels in stealing (19 rating, 99th pctl), playmaking (19 rating, 99th pctl) and interior scoring (19 rating, 97th pctl). Limited by athleticism (8 rating, 13th pctl) and quickness (8 rating, 16th pctl).

52
Impact
73
Future
4.5
CA
3.0
PA
25
Age
$2.8M
Salary
4.034
Bal WV

Skill Badges

(6)
O Floater Game (S) O Floor General (S) O Shot Creator (S) O Glass Cleaner (B) D Interceptor (S) D Help Defender (B)
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG 0.7 3
RPG 1.0 11
APG 0.7 22
SPG 0.7 52
BPG - 15
MPG 3.9 5
Shooting
FG% 0.5 70
3P% - 16
FT% - 4
TS% 0.5 9
Impact
Impact 52 59
Off Impact 48 44
Def Impact 55 72
Advanced
Player Efficiency Rating 18.3 85
WS 0.1 12
Box Score Impact 12.9 100
Value Over Replacement - 29
Positional BSI 1.13 +11.77

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 18 (coef=0.0330)
Post Defense 15 (coef=0.0333)
Defensive Rebounding 18 (coef=0.0226)
Inside Shooting 19 (coef=0.0155)
Stealing 19 (coef=0.0145)
Weaknesses
3PT Shooting 9 (coef=0.0196)
Spacing 4 (coef=0.0196)
Ball Dominance 9 (coef=0.0152)
Foul Drawing 12 (coef=0.0102)
Athleticism 8 (coef=-0.0094)

Expected vs Actual Production

Stat Actual Expected Delta
PPG 0.7 -2.6 +3.3
RPG 1.0 2.3 -1.3
APG 0.7 0.6 +0.1
SPG 0.7 0.3 +0.4
BPG 0.0 0.2 -0.2
TPG - -0.4
FG% 0.5 0.5 +0.0
3P% 0.0 0.2 -0.2
FT% 0.0 0.5 -0.5

Play Style

Driving Frequency
90:10%

Positional Fit

Guard 80%
Wing 90%
Big 90%

Player Impact Breakdown

Limited to 11 min — score regressed toward league average.

52 / 100 #195 of 435
On-Court Impact — 60% weight +0.43z
On-Court Impact +1.10 (Off -1.18, Def +2.25)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight +0.97z
Win Model Score: 4.0199
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.00z
Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
48
#259
Defense
55
#131
Confidence
19%
11 min
Position Model (PF)
Predicted Positional BSI: 1.13 Actual: 12.9 +11.77
Significantly outperforming PF model predictions

Future Value

Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.

73 / 100 #9 of 450
Cumulative Wins — 50% weight 69
Peak Ceiling — 20% weight 68
Contract Surplus — 30% weight 84
Future Value significantly exceeds current Impact (52) — buy-low candidate with major upside
Tendencies
Salary
$2.8M
Years Left
2
Expiry
2052
Option
Team Option
Status
-
Trade Value
0.478

Contract Breakdown

Season Salary Notes
2050-51 $2,750,000 Re-signed with Cincinnati Kings
2051-52 $2,750,000
Total Owed $5,500,000

Win Model Development

Win Model Score
4.020
Expected WM
3.305
Dev Residual
+0.7150
Peak Age
30
Peak Win Model
4.330
PA Tier
Medium
Upside Gap
-1.5
Dev Status
Ahead of Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
D
DJ McCants Phoenix Vultures 24 5.0 96.1% Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper
T
T.J. Kyungu Oakland Tritons 25 5.0 95.1% Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper
A
Anvar Makiev Oakland Tritons 21 3.5 94.9% Stationary Shooter / Wing Stopper
B
Bakari Humphrey Miami Cyclones 30 5.0 94.8% Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper
P
Paolo Belli Cleveland Giants 30 4.5 94.8% Primary Ballhandler / Chaser

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive

Win Value Development

Stage
Developing
Peak Age
29
Peak Win Value
14.9
Years to Peak
4
Current Win Value
14.1
Confidence
HIGH

Win Value Trajectory

Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)

Current WV
2.840
Projected Peak WV
3.012
Peak Age
29
Years to Peak
4
WV Growth
+0.172

Rating Trainability

Rating Current Growth/yr Class Peak Age
Foul Drawing 12 +1.23 High Growth 31
Help Defense 19 +0.66 High Growth 27
Off-Ball Defense 18 +0.55 High Growth 28
Ball Dominance 9 +0.55 High Growth 28
Gravity 15 +0.52 High Growth 29
Spacing 4 +0.45 High Growth 18
Post Execution 6 +0.40 High Growth 29
Playmaking 19 +0.40 High Growth 29
Stealing 19 +0.38 High Growth 19
Finishing 16 +0.37 High Growth 27
Defensive Rebounding 18 +0.37 High Growth 18
Offensive Rebounding 17 +0.36 High Growth 18
Strength 10 +0.35 High Growth 18
Pick & Roll Execution 9 +0.34 High Growth 18
Passing 16 +0.33 High Growth 18
Self-Creation 17 +0.32 High Growth 19
Isolation Execution 9 +0.32 High Growth 18
3PT Shooting 9 +0.31 High Growth 19
Ball Handling 15 +0.30 High Growth 19
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 18 +0.30 High Growth 18
Shoot Off Dribble 17 +0.28 Moderate Growth 18
Rim Protection 8 +0.26 Moderate Growth 18
Inside Shooting 19 +0.25 Moderate Growth 18
Post Defense 15 +0.17 Moderate Growth 18
Basketball IQ 17 +0.07 Low Growth 19
Endurance 17 +0.05 Low Growth 20
Speed 11 +0.01 Low Growth 18
Free Throws 15 +0.00 Unknown -
First Step 14 -0.01 Low Growth 18
Mid-Range Shooting 15 -0.03 Low Growth 19
Quickness 8 -0.08 Low Growth 19
Athleticism 8 -0.08 Low Growth 19
← Back to Roster