John Jones

Vancouver Wolves · Glue Guy / Helper

College: Georgetown · Highlands Ranch, Colorado

Steely defensive forward

A star-level two-way wing averaging 13.1 PPG, 7.2 RPG, 0.9 APG. Excels in isolation scoring (19 rating, 99th pctl), rim protection (19 rating, 99th pctl) and interior scoring (19 rating, 97th pctl). Limited by self-creation (8 rating, 13th pctl) and passing (7 rating, 14th pctl).

Impact

Future

5.0

4.0

Age

$10.5M

Salary

3.888

Bal WV

Skill Badges

(8)

O Floater Game (B) O Lob Threat (B) D Rim Eraser (S) D Paint Wall (S) D Help Defender (B) D Interceptor (B) D Versatile Defender (B) D Clamps (B)

NBA Comparison

Naz Reid

2024-25

76%

Style

76%

Level

6'9" · 264lbs

12.0/5.5/1.5 (PPG/RPG/APG)

Efficient scorer Rim protector Defensive anchor

Alt comp

Evan Mobley

2024-25 · 71%

2050 Projection

Peak Ridge: 13.7

Stage: Prime

Peak Age: 29 (1yr away)

Future Value: 66

Stat	Value	Pctl
Per Game
PPG	13.1	71
RPG	7.2	85
APG	0.9	27
SPG	1.6	89
BPG	1.8	92
MPG	30.0	75
Shooting
FG%	0.526	79
3P%	0.407	78
FT%	0.818	48
TS%	0.63	88
Impact
Impact	62	85
Off Impact	55	68
Def Impact	69	92
Advanced
Player Efficiency Rating	16.3	68
WS	7.1	89
Box Score Impact	5.1	97
Value Over Replacement	3.7	93
Positional BSI	2.22	+2.88

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths

Post Defense 16 (coef=0.0333)

On-Ball Perimeter Defense 16 (coef=0.0330)

Rim Protection 19 (coef=0.0168)

Inside Shooting 19 (coef=0.0155)

Stealing 17 (coef=0.0145)

Weaknesses

Spacing 6 (coef=0.0196)

Passing 7 (coef=0.0156)

Endurance 8 (coef=0.0098)

Ball Handling 6 (coef=-0.0080)

Basketball IQ 13 (coef=0.0078)

Expected vs Actual Production

Stat	Actual	Expected	Delta
PPG	13.1	16.2	-3.1
RPG	7.2	6.5	+0.8
APG	0.9	1.1	-0.2
SPG	1.6	1.2	+0.4
BPG	1.8	1.6	+0.2
TPG	-	1.7
FG%	0.526	0.5	+0.0
3P%	0.407	0.3	+0.1
FT%	0.818	0.5	+0.4

Play Style

Driving Frequency

84:16%

Positional Fit

Guard 60%

Wing 80%

Big 90%

Player Impact Breakdown

Solid starter score driven by strong On-Court Impact. Hidden intangibles add significant value beyond visible skills. Defense is the primary value driver.

62 / 100 #77 of 435

On-Court Impact — 60% weight +0.93z

On-Court Impact +2.33 (Off +1.06, Def +1.18)

Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight +0.54z

Win Model Score: 3.8707

Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.00z

Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)

Offense

#151

Defense

#38

Confidence

99%

2071 min

Position Model (PF)

Predicted Positional BSI: 2.22 Actual: 5.1 +2.88

Significantly outperforming PF model predictions

Future Value

Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.

66 / 100 #44 of 450

Cumulative Wins — 50% weight 63

Peak Ceiling — 20% weight 62

Contract Surplus — 30% weight 74

Future Value in line with current Impact (62)

League Percentile Profile

PPG

TS%

BPM

WS/48

RAPM

USG%

PA/100

BCI

Shot Quality

PA/100

+0.34

Points Added

+3.1

Selection

1.032

FGA

898

Zone Breakdown

Above Break Three

40.2%

266 FGA (30%)

Short Midrange

31.4%

175 FGA (20%)

Rim

55.8%

425 FGA (47%)

Long Midrange

37.5%

24 FGA (3%)

Other

50.0%

8 FGA (1%)

Creation & Scoring Load

Box Creation

3.25

Load Tier

Elite

Eff Delta

+5.5%

USG%

16.1%

Tendencies

Salary

$10.5M

Years Left

Expiry

2053

Option

None

Status

Trade Value

0.559

Contract Breakdown

Season	Salary	Notes
2050-51	$10,500,000	Re-signed with Vancouver Wolves
2051-52	$10,500,000
2052-53	$10,500,000
Total Owed	$31,500,000

Win Model Development

Win Model Score

3.871

Expected WM

3.887

Dev Residual

-0.0160

Peak Age

Peak Win Model

3.772

PA Tier

High

Upside Gap

-1.0

Dev Status

Behind Curve

Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

	Player	Team	Age	CA	Similarity	Archetype
K	Kyler Amundson	New Orleans Hurricanes	25	4.5	97.3%	Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper
D	Derrick Lynch	Seattle Thunder	26	5.0	96.1%	Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper
J	Jameel Bucklin	New York Renegades	23	3.0	95.5%	Glue Guy / Wing Stopper
M	Marcus Hayes	Minneapolis Blizzards	25	5.0	95.3%	Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper
A	Andre Wright	Louisville Colonels	33	4.5	95.2%	Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper

Predicted Archetype

Offensive

Defensive

Win Value Development

Stage

Prime

Peak Age

Peak Win Value

13.7

Years to Peak

Current Win Value

13.5

Confidence

HIGH

Win Value Trajectory

Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)

Current WV

2.971

Projected Peak WV

3.007

Peak Age

Years to Peak

WV Growth

+0.036

Rating Trainability

Rating	Current	Growth/yr	Class	Peak Age
Foul Drawing	16	+1.23	High Growth	31
Help Defense	18	+0.66	High Growth	27
Off-Ball Defense	18	+0.55	High Growth	28
Ball Dominance	16	+0.55	High Growth	28
Gravity	15	+0.52	High Growth	29
Spacing	6	+0.45	High Growth	18
Post Execution	5	+0.40	High Growth	29
Playmaking	10	+0.40	High Growth	29
Stealing	17	+0.38	High Growth	19
Finishing	17	+0.37	High Growth	27
Defensive Rebounding	13	+0.37	High Growth	18
Offensive Rebounding	15	+0.36	High Growth	18
Strength	12	+0.35	High Growth	18
Pick & Roll Execution	17	+0.34	High Growth	18
Passing	7	+0.33	High Growth	18
Self-Creation	8	+0.32	High Growth	19
Isolation Execution	19	+0.32	High Growth	18
3PT Shooting	15	+0.31	High Growth	19
Ball Handling	6	+0.30	High Growth	19
On-Ball Perimeter Defense	16	+0.30	High Growth	18
Shoot Off Dribble	9	+0.28	Moderate Growth	18
Rim Protection	19	+0.26	Moderate Growth	18
Inside Shooting	19	+0.25	Moderate Growth	18
Post Defense	16	+0.17	Moderate Growth	18
Basketball IQ	13	+0.07	Low Growth	19
Endurance	8	+0.05	Low Growth	20
Speed	13	+0.01	Low Growth	18
Free Throws	14	+0.00	Unknown	-
First Step	13	-0.01	Low Growth	18
Mid-Range Shooting	7	-0.03	Low Growth	19
Quickness	17	-0.08	Low Growth	19
Athleticism	14	-0.08	Low Growth	19

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